DIRTS Playoff Chances 2021
Lost to FREDDY 106.6-151.1, playoff odds down 12.4 to 35.7%
204.06 points 0-2-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting #1 playoff seed | 100.0* | Odds of getting last seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DIRTS 106.6 FREDDY 151.1 | -11.1 | -2.5 | +6.5 | -0.7 | ||||
| ROB 146.76 ADAM 95.48 | +0.1 | -0.2 | -0.4 | |||||
| RICE 101.92 FRENCH 101.04 | +0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| JACK 95.72 STINK 117.32 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| HENDZEL 85.22 CHEESE 163.3 | -0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||||||
| Week of 9/26 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Odds of getting #1 playoff seed | 100.0* | Odds of getting last seed | 100.0* | Average seed |
| DIRTS vs RICE | +11.1-7.0-9.2 | +1.5-0.9-1.3 | -7.6+5.0+6.3 | +0.7-0.4-0.6 | ||||
| ADAM vs JACK | *-0.0+2.3-0.1 | +0.2-2.3-0.1 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||||
| FREDDY vs HENDZEL | *+0.0+2.1-0.1 | -0.0+0.2+0.0 | +0.1-1.1-0.0 | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
| FRENCH vs ROB | -0.4+1.7+0.4 | +0.1+0.4-0.1 | +0.5-0.6-0.5 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||
| CHEESE vs STINK | +0.4+1.5-0.5 | -0.2+0.3+0.2 | -0.4-0.5+0.4 | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the DIRTS finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | Odds of getting #1 playoff seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Odds of getting last seed | Count | |||||
| 0 | 6 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 24.0 | % | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0.7 | % | 4,617,053 | |||||
| 5 | - | 7 | - | 0 | 0.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 31 | 43 | 17 | 17.2 | 4,264,603 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 87.6 | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 30 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 3,672,429 | ||||||
| 4 | - | 8 | - | 0 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 36 | 59 | 58.6 | 2,870,005 | |||||||||||
| 8 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 99.9 | 1.8 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,131,367 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | 88.2 | 1,374,996 | ||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 1.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 39 | 13 | 12.9 | 934,780 | |||||||||
| 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | In | 25.0 | 25 | 46 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 877,646 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 32.8 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 26 | 38 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 0.4 | 869,090 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 40 | 53 | 52.7 | 721,095 | |||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 92.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 575,719 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | 98.0 | 443,789 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 14 | 85 | 85.5 | 388,516 | ||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 3.1 | 3 | 21 | 39 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 267,331 | |||||||||
| 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 67.7 | 68 | 29 | 3 | 0 | No | 243,457 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | 97.4 | 139,199 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 2.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 35 | 9 | 9.4 | 87,795 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 11 | - | 0 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | 86,643 | ||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 31.4 | 31 | 47 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 82,812 | |||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 43 | 47 | 47.0 | 79,176 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 42.9 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0.2 | 68,044 | ||||||||
| 3 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | No | 1 | 16 | 83 | 83.1 | 48,792 | |||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 92.6 | 93 | 7 | 0 | No | 41,129 | |||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 95.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 36,008 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 10 | - | 1 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | 29,632 | ||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | No | 3 | 97 | 96.7 | 19,667 | ||||||||||||||
| 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 73.7 | 74 | 25 | 2 | 0 | No | 15,426 | ||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 12 | - | 0 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 14,022 | |||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 5.4 | 5 | 27 | 39 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 12,443 | |||||||||
| 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99.6 | 100 | 0 | No | 9,422 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 41.6 | 4,919 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 9 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 99.6 | 4,748 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 3.6 | No | 0 | 4 | 19 | 41 | 30 | 6 | 6.3 | 4,577 | ||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | No | 1 | 19 | 80 | 80.2 | 3,453 | |||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 54.0 | No | 2 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 2 | No | 2,925 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 11 | - | 1 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 2,881 | |||||||||||||||
| 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 38.4 | 38 | 45 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 2,590 | |||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | No | 5 | 95 | 94.7 | 1,668 | ||||||||||||||
| 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 92.7 | 93 | 7 | 1 | No | 1,376 | * | ||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 97.7 | No | 3 | 15 | 36 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,141 | * | ||||||||
| 0 | - | 10 | - | 2 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 484 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 8 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | 99.8 | 452 | ||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 8.5 | 8 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 4 | 1 | No | 295 | ||||||||||
| 10 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 76.8 | 77 | 23 | No | 246 | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | No | 2 | 12 | 52 | 35 | 34.5 | 194 | * | |||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | No | 1 | 20 | 79 | 79.3 | 184 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 4.0 | No | 1 | 3 | 27 | 41 | 24 | 4 | 4.0 | 150 | ||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 1.0 | No | 1 | 10 | 90 | 89.5 | 105 | * | ||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 61.5 | No | 5 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 8 | 2 | No | 65 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 9 | - | 3 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 81 | * | ||||||||||||||
| Total: | 35.7 | % | 2.1 | % | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 17 | 21 | 21.2 | % | 25,054,620 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:35 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
