"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colorado 0 Calgary 3 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Vancouver vs Toronto+3.6+3.7+3.3*-0.1*-0.0-4.0
+0.4+0.4+0.3*-0.0*-0.0-0.4
Los Angeles vs NY Rangers-0.4*-0.4*-0.3*+0.2*-0.4+0.4
Vegas vs Chicago-0.3*-0.6*-0.3*-0.1*-0.3+0.4
Dallas vs New Jersey-0.3*-0.4*+0.2*+0.4*+0.0+0.3
-0.0-0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Minnesota vs Anaheim+0.3*+0.0*+0.1*-0.6*-0.1-0.2
Edmonton vs Carolina-0.2*-0.2*-0.5*+0.1*+0.2+0.3
Arizona vs Calgary+0.2*+0.4*-0.0*+0.1*-0.7-0.2
Nashville vs San Jose*+0.0*+0.1*-0.0-0.8-1.0*+0.1
+0.0*+0.0+0.0*-0.1*-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Vancouver finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
118-143In100275*
1173812-2In991184*
1163712-3In991242*
1153713-2In982406*
1143613-3In973633*
1133614-2In964966*
1123514-3In95501,358*
1113515-2In92802,137*
1103415-3In891102,919*
1093416-2In8514104,012*
1083316-3In7920105,533*
1073317-2In72253007,265*
1063217-3In643150009,425*
1053218-2In553681012,285*
1043118-3In4640122014,823*
1033119-2In354318300018,256*
1023019-3In274324610021,149*
1013020-2In1840301020024,909*
1002920-3In1133341740028,567*
992921-2In7263624711031,732*
982821-3In31833301221034,665*
972822-2100.0%211273419430037,107*
962722-3100.016203327851039,106*
952723-299.90212293213920040,236*
942623-399.401621342013410040,643*
932624-298.100313312617820040,013*
922524-395.301724292014410038,778*
912525-288.900317291921920037,065*
902425-378.2011025162616510033,981*
892426-263.6005191127241020031,424*
882326-347.00213724301751028,059*
872327-229.901841832251120024,831*
862227-316.70411127321951021,129*
852228-28.30216213326102017,696*
842128-34.001031329321740014,523*
832129-21.5000172235268111,855*
822029-30.500315313215209,377*
812030-20.20029253822507,099*
801930-30.0015183730905,409*
791931-2Out021234361514,125*
781831-3Out1826402322,928*
771832-2Out0421412952,073*
761732-3Out0115413491,478*
751733-2Out273743111,004*
741633-3Out05294719658*
731634-2Out02255121440*
721534-3Out3145231252*
711535-2Out2125036189*
701435-3Out18464497*
691436-2Out1445582*
681437-1Out9306133*
671337-2Out336721*
661237-3Out336715*
651137-4Out17836*
641239-1Out1002*
631139-2Out50502*
39052-0Out10057
Total:78.6%91111121210777543210713,534

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 2 NY Islanders 3 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Vancouver vs Toronto-0.9-0.9-0.7+0.1+0.1+1.0
Dallas vs New Jersey+0.0*+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0
Los Angeles vs NY Rangers+0.0+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
118-143100
1173812-2991
1163712-3982
1153713-2973
1143613-3964
1133614-29370
1123514-39280
1113515-288121
1103415-38316100
1093416-2772120
1083316-3692840
1073317-25934610
1063217-350381020
1053218-23941163000
1043118-3284124710
1033119-218373012300
1023019-3113033186100
1013020-2521322512310
1002920-321226292082000
992921-2161728261561000
982821-3029212723124100
972822-2014122226211031000
962722-3015132225201031000
952723-200151322251910310000
942623-30015132124191041000100
932624-20001512202420114100200
922524-30001410192420125104100
912525-20013916222013519200
902425-300027142019124155100
892426-2000151218181021113100
882326-300014101616211993000
872327-20131016142319104100
862227-300141271623201151000
852228-2017281723211462000
842128-300040281623221572000
832129-20100271624241672000
822029-3100126152424178200
812030-200127152326178200
801930-30002716242616610
791931-2002917282513410
781831-3012112228231020
771832-200151526301751
761732-3028193128121
751733-2003122737173
741633-3162236306
731634-21415373310
721534-30111274020
711535-2115224626
701435-315124734
691436-265539
681437-1363358
671337-2102962
661237-33367
651137-41783
641239-1100
631139-25050
39052-0100
Total:6666666555444333433222111110000