How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Florida 3 Vegas 1 -0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
San Jose vs Pittsburgh-5.5*-0.2*-0.2+5.3+6.1+6.2
-0.5-0.0-0.0+0.4+0.5+0.5
Detroit vs Carolina+0.9*-0.2*-0.1-0.9-1.0-1.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Colorado vs NY Rangers+0.6*-0.1*-0.2-0.7-0.6-0.6
Chicago vs NY Islanders+0.4*-0.2*-0.0-0.5*-0.5-0.6
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.4*-0.0*-0.3-0.6*-0.4-0.2
Montreal vs Boston-0.5*-0.3*-0.3*+0.1*-0.1+0.4
Nashville vs Florida+0.5*+0.5*+0.1*-0.2*-0.1-0.3
Buffalo vs Dallas-0.4*-0.4*-0.2*+0.0*+0.2+0.4
Minnesota vs Tampa Bay+0.2*-0.1*-0.0*-0.3*-0.3-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
123340-0In982248
117291-4In1001
116303-1In1003
115293-2In307010*
114294-1In4350714*
113284-2In37461735*
112285-1In27462691*
111275-2In135434237*
110276-1In1247401384*
109266-2In545491828*
108267-1In33955201,451*
107257-2In23162502,738*
106258-1In12467804,606*
105248-2In117691307,891*
104249-1In01269181012,013*
103239-2In0864262019,285*
1022310-1In05583430026,927*
1012210-2In3494260039,972*
1002211-1In013849111053,051*
992111-2In0129521710073,551*
982112-1100.0%0195225300090,958*
972012-2100.001148346000116,198*
962013-1100.006414111100136,731*
951913-299.9033145182100163,655*
941914-199.50122462732000180,408*
931814-298.300144235442000202,685*
921815-195.1083442474100209,713*
911715-288.60426454109300221,442*
901716-177.0021743312157100215,362*
891616-261.31103721120144100213,551*
881617-142.8052818222310200195,363*
871517-226.50219051929196100182,611*
861518-114.601120212282813300156,160*
851418-27.00060162232238100137,761*
841419-12.9030213293117510110,122*
831319-21.001016203226112091,881*
821320-10.400002112733206168,749*
811220-20.1001518332912253,894*
801221-10.0000210273521537,449*
791121-20.000151935311027,538*
781122-10.00021131391818,155*
771022-2Out01522432812,560*
761023-1Out031642407,675*
75923-2Out01939514,956*
74924-1Out0531642,869*
73824-2Out224741,604*
72825-1Out011783833*
71725-2Out01189473*
70726-1Out0694234*
69626-2Out496115*
68627-1Out49649*
67527-2Out49623*
55-66Out100263*
Total:64.1%00513192124787543213,105,376

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 3 Vegas 1 +0.0
Washington 3 Montreal 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
San Jose vs Pittsburgh+0.8+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-0.9
Buffalo vs Dallas+0.0+0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.0
Nashville vs Florida-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Montreal vs Boston+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0
Minnesota vs Tampa Bay+0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0
Chicago vs NY Islanders-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
123340-0982
117291-4100
116303-1100
115293-22080
114294-1364321
113284-22946206
112285-121343510
111275-2833411610
110276-152742224
109266-2120413061
108267-111336351420
107257-20728392051
106258-1031837301020
105248-2111313517300
104249-106233625810
103239-20214313216410
1022310-1017233424920
1012210-2003143031175100
1002211-1016203226113000
992111-20031226312071000
982112-100151729281551000
972012-200282130241131000
962013-1000311242921920000
951913-2001515262718720000
941914-1001617272615510000
931814-2002819272413402000
921815-10003102128221024100
911715-200131123281858300
901716-1001413242411147100
891616-2001515241718155100
881617-1001616191823123100
871517-20002816132622103000
861518-100311721282082000
851418-2001621224271872000
841419-1000314152626177200
831319-201016162625166200
821320-1000027182625155100
811220-200002819272414510
801221-1001310212823123100
791121-200014122328219200
781122-10014142629186100
771022-20001718292714300
761023-100210233224810
75923-20141529311730
74924-1001722352681
73824-203133335141
72825-1182638253
71725-2131744296
70726-1111324114
69626-29294023
68627-12293535
67527-24133943
66528-1175033
65529-0113356
55034-00100
Total:0000123456778875666543221110000