How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
NY Rangers 3 Edmonton 2 (ot)*-0.7
*-0.1
Florida 4 Vancouver 3 (ot)*-0.5
*-0.1
Philadelphia 1 Vegas 3 +0.3
Nashville 5 NY Islanders 0 +0.3
Ottawa 2 Los Angeles 5 +0.2
Arizona 3 Buffalo 5 -0.2
Minnesota 2 Carolina 3 (so)*-0.1
Tampa Bay 3 Columbus 2 (ot)*+0.1
Montreal 3 Pittsburgh 2 (ot)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
New Jersey vs San Jose+3.6+3.5+3.1*-0.5*-0.6-4.5
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5
Winnipeg vs Carolina+0.3*+0.1*-0.2*-0.3*-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Jersey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
120-164In100677*
1195621-3In1000360*
1185521-4In991498*
1175522-3In991694*
1165422-4In991977*
1155423-3In9911,416*
1145323-4In9821,922*
1135324-3In9732,629*
1125224-4In9643,575*
1115225-3In95504,884*
1105125-4In93706,414*
1095025-5In891008,276*
1085026-4In851410010,676*
1075027-3In801810013,470*
1064927-4In75223016,782*
1054827-5In6828400020,918*
1044828-4In60336100025,321*
1034728-5In5137101000029,876*
1024729-4In4241152000035,366*
1014629-5In3342205100040,855*
1004630-4In2440268101046,941*
994530-5In17373012201052,928*
984531-4In11303418512059,126*
974431-5100.0%62333249140065,338*
964432-4100.03162929143610070,290*
954332-599.9192430206910076,196*
944333-499.61516282591330079,604*
934233-599.0021022271517510083,598*
924234-497.3015162620219200086,160*
914134-593.80029222422155100086,810*
904135-486.50015162520201031087,789*
894035-575.300211231723167200085,871*
884036-459.90161912222213410084,448*
873936-543.00031471825209300080,763*
863937-427.600210313232516610077,040*
853837-515.70161718262312410072,576*
843838-47.90040312232819820066,808*
833738-53.60020171727261451060,792*
823739-41.5010031122292292055,091*
813639-50.6000016172828155049,199*
803640-40.2000003102331239143,401*
793540-50.10001517302915337,155*
783541-40.00000311263421531,695*
773441-50.000016203429926,973*
763442-40.000031432351522,907*
753342-5Out002928392218,557*
743343-4Out001622413014,787*
733243-5Out00316423812,278*
723244-4Out021239479,382*
713245-3Out01836557,531*
703145-4Out0530645,721*
693045-5Out0326714,235*
683046-4Out0220783,299*
672946-5Out117822,401*
662947-4Out112871,743*
652847-5Out010901,327*
642848-4Out793887*
632748-5Out0694652*
622749-4Out397411*
612750-3Out496300*
602650-4Out298213*
592651-3Out496132*
4-58Out100359*
Total:62.7%99888876666554331,899,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Florida 4 Vancouver 3 (ot)*+0.1
NY Rangers 3 Edmonton 2 (ot)*+0.1
Montreal 3 Pittsburgh 2 (ot)*-0.0
Tampa Bay 3 Columbus 2 (ot)*-0.0
Washington 2 Toronto 3 (so)+0.0
Boston 2 Detroit 5 *+0.0
Nashville 5 NY Islanders 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs San Jose-0.8-0.8-0.7+0.2+0.1+1.0
Winnipeg vs Carolina-0.0-0.0*+0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
122-164100
1215619-5991
1205620-4100
1195621-3991
1185521-4991
1175522-3991
1165422-4991
1155423-3982
1145323-49730
1135324-3955
1125224-49460
1115225-39090
1105125-488111
1095025-5821710
1085026-4752230
1075027-36629400
1064927-45833810
1054827-5493812200
1044828-43741174000
1034728-52840237100
1024729-4193629123000
1014629-5113032197100
1004630-46213225124100
994530-531326281982000
984531-4161827251562000
974431-5031021262212510000
964432-401412222520114100000
954332-5001513222419104100000
944333-4002614212418104100000
934233-5000026132123181041000100
924234-400025122023191141002000
914134-500014101822201251051000
904135-4000139162119124110310
894035-50001271419181141572000
884036-40000251117169191451000
873936-50000141015131820125100
863937-400014914122120125100
853837-5000141151523211352000
843838-400162716232214721000
833738-5000302715232216831000
823739-400100271522231793100
813639-501001271422231893100
803640-4000000271422241893100
793540-50000027152324178200
783541-400012817252416610
773441-50001391926241241
763442-4000141223292181
753342-500026172828164
743343-4013102431247
733243-5001517323213
723244-400311283721
713245-3016224129
703145-403174040
693045-502123849
683046-4183260
672946-5052768
662947-40022276
652847-521880
642848-4011485
632748-501288
622749-4595
612750-300694
602650-4496
592651-3595
582551-4100
572552-3298
562452-4397
4-55100
Total:5555444444443332443333322222211