How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Tampa Bay 2 NY Islanders 3 (ot)+2.1
+0.4
Ottawa 3 Boston 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Los Angeles vs NY Rangers+0.3*-0.2*+0.1*-0.4*+0.1-0.2
Edmonton vs Carolina+0.2*-0.1*+0.2*+0.3*-0.6-0.2
+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.0
Dallas vs New Jersey+0.1*-0.3*+0.4*+0.2*-0.2-0.2
+0.0-0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the NY Islanders finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
119-148In1001,235*
1183714-2In1000709*
1173614-3In10001,069*
1163615-2In10001,482*
1153515-3In10002,308*
1143516-2In10003,084*
1133416-3In9914,500*
1123417-2In99105,850*
1113317-3In98207,619*
1103318-2In97309,542*
1093218-3In954012,330*
1083219-2In946015,221*
1073119-3In9190018,286*
1063120-2In8713021,839*
1053020-3In81181025,020*
1043021-2In75232028,537*
1032921-3In672940031,816*
1022922-2In5835600035,086*
1012822-3In48401110037,419*
1002823-2In38431630039,133*
992723-3In284323610039,323*
982724-2In18402911200040,268*
972624-3In11323417401039,555*
962625-2In6243525811038,630*
952525-3100.0%315313114320036,465*
942526-2100.018233422651033,826*
932426-399.70415312911820030,866*
922427-299.001723331912410027,779*
912327-396.6003143026159310024,241*
902328-290.301723291614720020,800*
892228-378.4003152912191461017,472*
882229-261.3018249192112410014,636*
872129-341.0041741523211131011,695*
862130-224.20211292126198209,230*
852030-311.30016141425261661007,202*
842031-24.303017192725134105,563*
831931-31.801003112329219204,108*
821932-20.6101516282816503,041*
811832-30.000282131261022,244*
801833-2Out151428321731,518*
791733-3Out002722342871,051*
781734-2Out0514343313689*
771634-3Out029273922470*
761635-2Out15184332276*
751535-3Out13134241150*
741536-2Out244450131*
731436-3Out5375860*
721437-2Out277344*
711337-3Out4138323*
701338-2Out178318*
42-69Out10075*
Total:92.7%34191210753222111000713,534

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 2 NY Islanders 3 (ot)-0.8
Ottawa 3 Boston 2 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Edmonton vs Carolina-0.0*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1+0.1+0.0
Los Angeles vs NY Rangers-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.1*-0.1+0.0
Vegas vs Chicago-0.0-0.0*+0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Dallas vs New Jersey+0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
122-148100
1213812-3991
1203813-2100
1193713-3991
1183714-2991
1173614-3982
1163615-2982
1153515-3982
1143516-29640
1133416-39450
1123417-292800
1113317-388110
1103318-2831510
1093218-3772020
1083219-2692740
1073119-360337100
1063120-2503811100
1053020-3384117300
1043021-22741247100
1032921-318373012300
1022922-2103033196100
1012822-35213226123100
1002823-22122630208200
992723-3161728261561000
982724-2029202723135100
972624-300311212621114100
962625-20014122225201141000
952525-30015122125201141000
942526-20014112025201251000
932426-300141018242113620000
922427-20013817242315720100
912327-30002715232417723100
902328-200025132225176731000
892228-30014122124161173100
882229-200141222231114941000
872129-3014132271617125200
862130-200161731119201463000
852030-30002914122022169310
842031-20140151121241910310
831931-3020151220242011410
821932-20100151320252110410
811832-300151121252012300
801833-201514242719720
791733-30251526271861
781734-200292027261330
771634-30131127292251
761635-2116133229163
751535-31292933215
741536-2152133329
731436-317353315
721437-225235020
711337-39223930
701338-2116722
691339-1104050
681239-23367
671240-16733
42-65100
Total:1512108766544333222111111100000000