How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colorado 0 Calgary 3 *-0.2
+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Minnesota vs Anaheim+3.8+3.3+3.4-0.7*-0.2-4.2
+0.4+0.4+0.3-0.1*-0.0-0.4
Dallas vs New Jersey-0.4*-0.3*-0.6*-0.5*+0.1+0.5
-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Los Angeles vs NY Rangers-0.4*-0.1*-0.1*-0.3*-0.6+0.4
Vancouver vs Toronto-0.2*-0.6*+0.1*-0.6*-0.1+0.3
Edmonton vs Carolina-0.0*+0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0
Nashville vs San Jose-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0*-0.1+0.0
Vegas vs Chicago+0.0*-0.0*+0.0*-0.1*-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Minnesota finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
117-143In100422*
1163712-3In1000263*
1153713-2In991411*
1143613-3In973674*
1133614-2In9641,007*
1123514-3In95501,477*
1113515-2In93702,090*
1103415-3In901002,968*
1093416-2In8613104,103*
1083316-3In80191005,683*
1073317-2In7424207,306*
1063217-3In65304009,420*
1053218-2In5735710012,161*
1043118-3In48401110014,759*
1033119-2In3743173000018,257*
1023019-3In2843245001021,357*
1013020-2In1940309101024,831*
1002920-3In12343414203028,575*
992921-2In7263621514031,920*
982821-3100.0%41934279170034,875*
972822-2In212283014311037,150*
962722-3100.0162130206151039,019*
952723-299.903132624102120040,310*
942623-399.601719261627500040,509*
932624-298.700312232131910040,262*
922524-396.300161825321430038,796*
912525-291.0003122530217100036,997*
902425-382.200172325271341034,063*
892426-268.300319182821920031,605*
882326-352.101141126271641028,028*
872327-236.0011062029231020024,364*
862227-321.600721226301741020,786*
852228-211.7041720322592017,525*
842128-35.602031329311740014,397*
832129-22.5010172234258111,719*
822029-31.0100316323214209,278*
812030-20.40019263721507,195*
801930-30.2015193729915,496*
791931-20.100021334351413,999*
781831-3Out01829402123,016*
771832-2Out0318442952,180*
761732-3Out0215403671,484*
751733-2Out110314811962*
741633-3Out04314717704*
731634-2Out03224826425*
721534-3Out1185130263*
711535-2Out3135134160*
701435-3Out111464394*
691436-2Out4375951*
681336-3Out8226936*
671337-2Out415917*
661136-5Out237713*
651137-4Out188211*
39-64Out10061*
Total:80.0%10111110991386543210713,534

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa Bay 2 NY Islanders 3 (ot)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Minnesota vs Anaheim-0.9-0.8-0.8+0.1*+0.0+1.0
Vegas vs Chicago-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.1*+0.0+0.0
Winnipeg vs Detroit-0.0*+0.0-0.1*-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Buffalo vs St Louis+0.0+0.0+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.0
Vancouver vs Toronto*+0.0*+0.1+0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0
Los Angeles vs NY Rangers+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1*+0.1-0.0
Dallas vs New Jersey+0.0*+0.1*+0.1*+0.1*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
117-143100
1163712-31000
1153713-2991
1143613-39640
1133614-29450
1123514-39280
1113515-289100
1103415-384151
1093416-2791920
1083316-3712630
1073317-2613261
1063217-350381010
1053218-2404016300
1043118-3294222610
1033119-219382911200
1023019-3123133186100
1013020-26223325113100
1002920-331327291972000
992921-217182925145100
982821-3031022272211410000
972822-20141323271993100
962722-3001514232618931000
952723-200016142325189310000
942623-3000261422251893100000
932624-2001513212419104100100
922524-300141120242011410300
912525-20001410182320124171000
902425-300138152120124134100
892426-200261319191019103000
882326-3001411181820188200
872327-20014112014211783100
862227-30015167172218103100
852228-20021028172220125100
842128-30150281823211462000
832129-200200281723221672000
822029-3010137162423167200
812030-20002717242416720
801930-30012818252415610
791931-20013921272312410
781831-301412222921920
771832-20151526311750
761732-3028213126101
751733-202142735193
741633-3242339258
731634-21213333615
721534-329284219
711535-214254823
701435-33174733
691436-2284743
681336-3113158
671337-24159
661136-52377
651137-41882
39-64100
Total:6676666555444333432222111110000