How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Florida 3 Vegas 1 -0.3
Washington 3 Montreal 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Carolina-5.8*-0.1*-0.0+5.6+6.5+6.7
-0.5-0.0-0.0+0.5+0.6+0.6
San Jose vs Pittsburgh+1.0*+0.0*-0.1-1.1-1.2-1.1
+0.1*+0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Colorado vs NY Rangers+0.7*+0.2*+0.2-0.6-0.6-0.8
+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Dallas-0.5-0.7*-0.3*-0.1*-0.2+0.5
Chicago vs NY Islanders+0.3*-0.0*+0.2*-0.4-0.7-0.5
+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1
Philadelphia vs New Jersey+0.4*-0.2*-0.1*-0.4-0.5-0.3
Montreal vs Boston-0.4*-0.5-0.5*-0.1*-0.1+0.3
Nashville vs Florida+0.5*+0.0+0.5*-0.1*-0.3-0.3
Minnesota vs Tampa Bay+0.2*+0.1*+0.1*-0.2*-0.5-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
125370-0In982248
116324-1In1002
115325-0In67336*
114315-1In14867*
113305-2In29571414*
112306-1In34511547*
111296-2In264725199*
110297-1In1258290212*
109287-2In1046441399*
108288-1In542512715*
107278-2In2365741,300*
106279-1In12865602,145*
105269-2In120691003,866*
1042610-1In0146816106,285*
1032510-2In010652329,991*
1022511-1In0659323014,884*
1012411-2In04513960022,492*
1002412-1In24146111031,180*
992312-2In0130501720043,584*
982313-1In020512530057,615*
972213-2100.0%0124634700075,755*
962214-1100.00739411210093,480*
952114-299.9033045192100117,660*
942115-199.40121452832100136,739*
932015-298.10134136442000160,096*
922016-194.8073342584100176,740*
911916-287.80424445119300194,780*
901917-175.8021642413167100202,626*
891817-259.20193521222154100211,739*
881818-141.1052619232310200207,359*
871718-225.10217052030196100204,302*
861719-113.201100213292813300189,921*
851619-26.10050172332238100176,970*
841620-12.500200314293116410155,511*
831520-20.90100172132261020136,802*
821521-10.3000021228321951112,830*
811421-20.1001619332911294,131*
801422-10.0000211283421472,505*
791322-20.00015193530956,903*
781323-1Out00021132391641,739*
771223-2Out01624432631,056*
761224-1Out0316433821,338*
751124-2Out0110385014,672*
741125-1Out00532639,513*
731025-2Out0226726,218*
721026-1Out0118813,684*
71926-2Out114862,302*
70927-1Out08921,197*
69827-2Out0495706*
68828-1Out397415*
67728-2Out298185*
66729-1Out298100*
51-65Out100311*
Total:50.6%0038141924899865323,105,376

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

FridayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Carolina+0.8+0.0+0.0-0.8-0.9-0.9
San Jose vs Pittsburgh-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Montreal vs Boston+0.0+0.1*+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
St Louis vs Arizona-0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0
Buffalo vs Dallas+0.0*+0.1*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Colorado vs NY Rangers-0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
125370-0982
116324-1100
115325-05050
114315-1147114
113305-2295021
112306-126382611
111296-2173925162
110297-18394014
109287-2423432461
108288-111739311110
107278-21831391730
106279-104223726810
105269-2021336331430
1042610-116243624710
1032510-20316323114300
1022511-10182533238100
1012411-20415313015410
1002412-1001822322410200
992312-2003132730196100
982313-100161729271441000
972213-200292230231130000
962214-101313252920820000
952114-2001515262717710000
942115-1002718272515510100
932015-2002919272412302000
922016-1000310212822924100
911916-200141123271759300
901917-100014132424101581000
891817-2001515231520155100
881818-10001616181923123000
871718-2000281514272292000
861719-1000310722281982000
851619-2001531225271772000
841620-1002151626261661000
831520-2010171827251561000
821521-1000028192724145100
811421-2000039202723124100
801422-1000131122282211300
791322-200014132428208200
781323-10015162728175100
771223-2002820292612300
761224-101311243122710
751124-20151730301430
741125-1002924352460
731025-2014163532121
721026-10192839203
71926-2142138306
70927-10114353812
69827-215324715
68828-113224727
67728-23125134
66729-1184744
65629-2103952
64630-14753
63530-282369
51-62100
Total:0000112334567775677654432211000