How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona 3 Buffalo 5 +4.1
+0.4
Montreal 3 Pittsburgh 2 (ot)*-0.6
Ottawa 2 Los Angeles 5 +0.3
Florida 4 Vancouver 3 (ot)*-0.2
*-0.0
Washington 2 Toronto 3 (so)*-0.1
Philadelphia 1 Vegas 3 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Winnipeg vs Carolina+0.2*+0.4*+0.1*-0.2*-0.1-0.2
New Jersey vs San Jose-0.2*-0.3*-0.1*-0.3*-0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Buffalo finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
119-159In100281*
1185519-3In99168*
1175419-4In991125*
1165420-3In991208*
1155421-2In991302*
1145321-3In973450*
1135221-4In9730733*
1125222-3In9730954*
1115122-4In95501,392*
1105123-3In93701,906*
1095023-4In891112,783*
1085024-3In861313,729*
1074924-4In8019105,074*
1064925-3In7523206,691*
1054825-4In682840008,686*
1044826-3In6133610011,152*
1034726-4In51371010014,006*
1024727-3In424015200017,373*
1014627-4In3342214000021,733*
1004628-3In2440268101026,242*
994528-4100.0%173730122020031,590*
984529-3100.0103034184130037,600*
974429-4100.062333238151042,782*
964329-599.9315292713381049,169*
954330-499.81923291851120055,809*
944230-599.51516272281641062,099*
934231-498.6021022241320810068,023*
924131-596.40151523172412300074,002*
914132-492.10029192025186100078,102*
904032-584.200141420232312310082,646*
894033-472.300028181826187200086,276*
883933-556.300151412252413510087,910*
873934-440.000210720272010300089,090*
863834-524.800173142526166100088,871*
853835-413.40041819272412410086,801*
843735-56.40020413242719820084,393*
833736-42.70010171827261451080,747*
823636-51.00000031123292292075,564*
813637-40.3000016162828164170,890*
803537-50.1000003102330238164,911*
793538-40.000001617302914359,341*
783438-50.00000311263321552,360*
773439-40.000017203429946,874*
763339-50.000031533351440,491*
753340-4Out002928402134,400*
743240-5Out001623422929,541*
733241-4Out00317423724,459*
723141-5Out0212394720,032*
713142-4Out0018365516,310*
703042-5Out006316312,994*
693043-4Out003277010,299*
682943-5Out00221768,020*
672944-4Out0117826,123*
662945-3Out0113864,641*
652845-4Out09903,495*
642745-5Out07922,686*
632746-4Out05951,780*
622747-3Out04961,285*
612647-4Out298951*
602648-3Out298646*
592548-4Out298419*
582549-3Out199299*
5-57Out100691*
Total:45.9%45566677777777651,899,300

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 3 Buffalo 5 -0.9
NY Rangers 3 Edmonton 2 (ot)*+0.1
Minnesota 2 Carolina 3 (so)*+0.0
Washington 2 Toronto 3 (so)*-0.0
Florida 4 Vancouver 3 (ot)*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
New Jersey vs San Jose-0.0+0.0*-0.0*+0.1*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
119-159100
1185519-3991
1175419-4982
1165420-3991
1155421-2973
1145321-3946
1135221-49550
1125222-39460
1115122-49180
1105123-3881210
1095023-4811710
1085024-3752230
1074924-46728400
1064925-35933710
1054825-450371120
1044826-339401640
1034726-42940237100
1024727-3193728123000
1014627-4123032186100
1004628-36223224124100
994528-4314272818820000
984529-31719282414620000
974429-403112126211241000
964329-5015132225191041000
954330-400161422241893100000
944230-50026142224189410010
934231-40002614212318941000100
924131-500025122023181041003000
914132-400015111922181041061000
904032-50001491621181141123100
894033-400000137141817931882000
883933-500026111614722156100
873934-40000149141120211351000
863834-5000138121323211251000
853835-4000014961624211251000
843735-5000152817242214620000
833736-4000202816232215721000
823636-500100281622221683100
813637-400001271522231783100
803537-500001271523241783000
793538-40000128162324167200
783438-5000013918252414610
773439-400014102026231230
763339-50000151324282081
753340-4000027182827143
743240-50013112531237
733241-4001618323012
723141-500312293719
713142-40017244028
703042-50014174038
693043-402123947
682943-50183456
672944-40052966
662945-30032374
652845-4021979
642745-5011584
632746-401189
622747-30891
612647-4595
602648-30496
592548-4298
582549-3199
572449-40100
562450-3199
5-55100
Total:2233333333333332554444443333332