San Antonio Silverbacks Playoff Chances Season18 50/50

Beat Crusaders 5-3, playoff odds up 11.1 to 57.4%

6 points 2 2-2

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Round Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks 1 Silverbacks 0	-9.0		-9.7		-0.5
Wolves 9 Stars 1	+0.3		-0.4		+0.0
Golden Seals 4 Penguins 3 (ot)	*-0.1		-1.2		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Round Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Stars vs Golden Seals	-1.6-1.3-1.3-0.1+0.3+1.7		+0.6-0.8-0.8-1.3-0.8-0.4		-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Silverbacks finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		First		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Round Bye		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

22	8	0		-	0	In		Yes		75	24	1		1				20,162
21	7	0		-	1	100.0	%	100.0	%	59	36	2		3	0			13,485
20	7	1		-	0	100.0		99.9		34	50	10	0	6	0			137,363
	6	0		-	2	100.0		99.8		32	50	11	0	7	0			4,164
19	6	1		-	1	99.6		98.7		18	49	19	1	14	0	0		87,114
	5	0		-	3	99.7		97.9		16	46	21	1	16	0			752
18	6	2		-	0	98.7		93.1		5	35	35	3	21	1	0		435,950
	5	1		-	2	98.0		90.0		3	31	35	5	24	2	0		23,078
	4	0		-	4	In		84.5			31	32	4	33				84
17	5	2		-	1	94.1		69.2		1	15	35	9	34	6	0	0	234,717
	4	1		-	3	93.0		61.1		0	12	33	10	37	7	0		3,448
	3	0		-	5	In		Yes				100						2
16	5	3		-	0	86.0		39.0		0	4	25	17	40	13	1	0	793,035
	4	2		-	2	82.3		29.5		0	2	21	18	41	16	1	0	52,874
	3	1		-	4	78.7		22.3			3	13	19	44	18	3		319
15	4	3		-	1	64.9		6.5			0	10	20	35	29	6	0	356,057
	3	2		-	3	58.5		3.5			0	8	19	32	33	9	0	6,406
	2	1		-	5	42.9		No				7	14	21	36	21		14
14	4	4		-	0	47.7		1.0			0	5	20	23	37	15	1	900,367
	3	3		-	2	41.7		0.3			0	4	19	18	38	19	2	63,988
	2	2		-	4	35.4		No				3	19	13	39	23	2	427
	1	1		-	6	In		No						100				1
13	3	4		-	1	29.3		0.0			0	3	19	7	31	32	7	324,715
	2	3		-	3	26.7		No			0	2	20	5	28	36	9	5,829
	1	2		-	5	21.1		No					21		37	37	5	19
12	3	5		-	0	24.0		No			0	1	20	2	20	40	16	657,917
	2	4		-	2	23.3		No			0	1	21	1	16	40	21	43,792
	1	3		-	4	25.7		No				2	23	1	12	37	25	253
11	2	5		-	1	22.0		No			0	1	21	0	6	35	36	177,593
	1	4		-	3	22.6		No				1	22	0	5	32	40	2,589
	0	3		-	5	18.2		No					18			27	55	11
10	2	6		-	0	21.7		No				0	21	0	2	26	51	299,530
	1	5		-	2	22.1		No				0	22		1	21	56	15,924
	0	4		-	4	13.0		No					13			20	67	54
9	1	6		-	1	21.9		No				0	22		0	12	66	53,743
	0	5		-	3	23.3		No					23			9	67	498
8	1	7		-	0	22.1		No				0	22		0	6	72	78,050
	0	6		-	2	22.1		No					22			3	75	2,360
7	0	7		-	1	21.2		No					21			2	77	7,008
6	0	8		-	0	19.0		No					19			0	81	10,244

Total:						57.4	%	25.1	%	2	7	12	16	19	18	15	10	4,813,936

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nighthawks 1 Silverbacks 0	+0.6
Golden Seals 4 Penguins 3 (ot)	+0.1
Wolves 9 Stars 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Stars vs Golden Seals	+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0

Bottom three teams in the league are eligible for lottery, as well as team that loses in wild card round

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

22	8	0		-	0	84	16	0
21	7	0		-	1	63	35	2	0
20	7	1		-	0	47	46	7	0
	6	0		-	2	42	49	9	0
19	6	1		-	1	21	55	23	1	0
	5	0		-	3	18	53	28	2
18	6	2		-	0	9	45	39	7	0	0
	5	1		-	2	6	40	44	10	0
	4	0		-	4	2	37	45	15
17	5	2		-	1	1	18	50	28	3	0
	4	1		-	3	0	13	47	33	6	0
	3	0		-	5			100
16	5	3		-	0	0	5	34	45	15	1	0
	4	2		-	2	0	3	27	48	21	2	0
	3	1		-	4		3	20	47	25	5
15	4	3		-	1		0	6	37	44	12	1	0
	3	2		-	3		0	3	29	47	19	1
	2	1		-	5				29	29	36	7
14	4	4		-	0		0	1	15	45	33	6	0
	3	3		-	2		0	0	9	39	41	10	0
	2	2		-	4				5	29	49	15	2
	1	1		-	6					100
13	3	4		-	1			0	1	17	47	30	4
	2	3		-	3				0	11	44	37	7
	1	2		-	5						68	26	5
12	3	5		-	0				0	5	33	48	14
	2	4		-	2				0	3	26	51	20
	1	3		-	4					0	22	52	25
11	2	5		-	1					0	10	48	41
	1	4		-	3					0	7	44	49
	0	3		-	5							27	73
10	2	6		-	0					0	3	36	61
	1	5		-	2						2	29	70
	0	4		-	4							24	76
9	1	6		-	1						0	16	84
	0	5		-	3							11	89
8	1	7		-	0						0	8	92
	0	6		-	2							4	96
7	0	7		-	1							2	98
6	0	8		-	0							0	100

Total:						3	9	13	16	17	16	15	11