California Golden Seals Playoff Chances Season18

Did not play, playoff odds unchanged at 99.97%

10 points 5 0-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Round Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Golden Seals 4 Penguins 3 (ot)	In		+0.8		+0.1
Nighthawks 1 Silverbacks 0			+0.6

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Round Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Stars vs Golden Seals	-0.3In*+0.0InIn+0.0		-5.5-1.3-1.3+0.6+0.6+0.6		-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Golden Seals finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		First		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Round Bye		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

27	-28						In		Yes		100								742,811	*
26		8	1		-	0	In		Yes		100								2,217,989
		7	0		-	2	In		Yes		98	2							36,628
25		7	1		-	1	In		Yes		95	5							742,428
		6	0		-	3	In		Yes		88	12							3,108
24		7	2		-	0	In		Yes		85	15			0				3,746,489
		6	1		-	2	In		Yes		77	23	0						94,505
		5	0		-	4	In		Yes		71	29							143
23		6	2		-	1	In		Yes		55	45	0		0				954,810
		5	1		-	3	In		Yes		46	54	0						5,849
		4	0		-	5	In		Yes		25	75							4
22		6	3		-	0	In		100.0	%	38	60	2	0	0				3,218,990
		5	2		-	2	In		99.9		30	67	4	0	0				89,178
		4	1		-	4	In		Yes		22	74	4						189
21		5	3		-	1	In		99.4		8	69	22	0	0				600,881
		4	2		-	3	In		99.3		6	65	28	0					3,889
		3	1		-	5	In		Yes			67	33						6
20		5	4		-	0	In		92.1		4	60	34	2	0				1,522,305
		4	3		-	2	In		91.7		3	56	38	3	0				39,745
		3	2		-	4	In		92.2		1	53	40	6					102
19		4	4		-	1	In		77.3		0	21	59	19	0				202,338
		3	3		-	3	In		74.8			18	61	21	0				1,240
		2	2		-	5	In		50.0			50		50					2
18		4	5		-	0	100.0	%	52.4		0	14	57	28	0	0			410,147
		3	4		-	2	In		49.8		0	12	55	32	0				9,473
		2	3		-	4	In		50.0			23	41	36					22
17		3	5		-	1	100.0		26.5			2	32	66	0	0			38,417
		2	4		-	3	In		22.7			0	32	66	2				203
16		3	6		-	0	100.0		12.4			1	25	74	1	0			64,968
		2	5		-	2	99.9		9.0			0	21	77	1	0			1,213
		1	4		-	4	In		No				33	67					3
15		2	6		-	1	In		1.9				6	93	1				4,286
		1	5		-	3	In		7.1				7	93					14
14		2	7		-	0	99.8		0.6				5	94	1	0	0		5,836
		1	6		-	2	In		No				3	97					69
13		1	7		-	1	98.9		No					97	2	1	1		187
		0	6		-	3	In		No					100					2
12		1	8		-	0	98.8		No				1	98	0	1	0		336
		0	7		-	2	In		No					100					1
11		0	8		-	1	In		No					100					5
10		0	9		-	0	0.5		No					0	0	13	54	33	4,597

Total:							100.0	%	96.8	%	60	30	8	2	0	0	0	0	14,763,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Golden Seals 4 Penguins 3 (ot)	-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Stars vs Golden Seals	+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0

Bottom three teams in the league are eligible for lottery, as well as team that loses in wild card round

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

27	-28						100
26		8	1		-	0	100
		7	0		-	2	96	4
25		7	1		-	1	94	6
		6	0		-	3	87	13
24		7	2		-	0	78	22
		6	1		-	2	69	31	0
		5	0		-	4	57	43
23		6	2		-	1	53	47	0
		5	1		-	3	45	55	0
		4	0		-	5	25	75
22		6	3		-	0	27	64	9	0
		5	2		-	2	24	66	10	0
		4	1		-	4	18	67	15
21		5	3		-	1	7	68	24	1
		4	2		-	3	6	64	30	1
		3	1		-	5		67	33
20		5	4		-	0	2	44	46	8	0
		4	3		-	2	2	42	48	8	0
		3	2		-	4	1	41	50	8
19		4	4		-	1	0	19	58	23	0
		3	3		-	3		16	58	25	0
		2	2		-	5		50		50
18		4	5		-	0	0	8	44	46	1
		3	4		-	2	0	7	43	48	2
		2	3		-	4		14	36	45	5
17		3	5		-	1		1	25	67	7
		2	4		-	3		0	22	67	10
16		3	6		-	0		0	12	67	20	0
		2	5		-	2		0	9	67	24	0
		1	4		-	4				33	67
15		2	6		-	1			2	54	42	2
		1	5		-	3			7	50	43
14		2	7		-	0			1	31	59	9	0
		1	6		-	2				23	67	10
13		1	7		-	1				11	51	36	3
		0	6		-	3						100
12		1	8		-	0				1	33	49	16	1
		0	7		-	2					100
11		0	8		-	1							80	20
10		0	9		-	0					0	19	54	27

Total:							56	31	10	3	0	0	0	0