Vancouver Dynamite Playoff Chances Season18

Did not play, playoff odds down 16.5 to 10.8%

4 points 2 3-0

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Saturday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Round Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Nighthawks 1 Silverbacks 0	-0.4		+0.7		-0.1
Wolves 9 Stars 1	-0.4				+0.0
Golden Seals 4 Penguins 3 (ot)	-0.3		-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	First Round Bye	100.0*	Average seed
Stars vs Golden Seals	-1.4-1.3-1.2-0.4-0.4+0.2				-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.0

Chances based on how well the Dynamite finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		First		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Round Bye		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	Count

22	9	0		-	0	In		Yes		48	49	2						4,595
21	8	0		-	1	In		Yes		4	63	30		4				27
20	8	1		-	0	In		99.6	%	1	33	61	1	4				275
	7	0		-	2	In		98.0		4	20	65	8	4				51
19	7	1		-	1	In		89.7		0	14	64	9	13				917
	6	0		-	3	In		83.3			6	60	15	19				48
18	7	2		-	0	99.8	%	67.0		0	2	47	28	24	0			4,626
	6	1		-	2	99.5		55.9			1	35	34	29	1			1,377
	5	0		-	4	In		66.7				30	44	26				27
17	6	2		-	1	98.9		28.8			0	22	34	42	1			13,250
	5	1		-	3	98.4		19.8			0	15	32	51	2			1,058
	4	0		-	5	In		33.3				22	11	67				9
16	6	3		-	0	96.7		14.1			0	6	33	57	3	0		44,877
	5	2		-	2	95.7		8.9				3	29	63	4	0		15,602
	4	1		-	4	93.9		4.8				1	25	68	6			460
	3	0		-	6	In		No					50	50				2
15	5	3		-	1	89.8		1.5				1	17	72	10	0		105,783
	4	2		-	3	86.6		0.5				0	12	75	13	0		9,362
	3	1		-	5	83.2		No					7	76	16	1		107
14	5	4		-	0	79.1		0.5				0	9	70	21	0		267,825
	4	3		-	2	74.6		0.2				0	5	69	25	0	0	94,066
	3	2		-	4	70.4		0.1					2	68	29	0		3,012
	2	1		-	6	64.3		No					7	57	36			14
13	4	4		-	1	57.3		0.0				0	1	56	41	1	0	479,429
	3	3		-	3	50.9		No					1	50	47	2		40,024
	2	2		-	5	46.2		No						46	51	3		511
	1	1		-	7	33.3		No						33	67			3
12	4	5		-	0	39.1		0.0				0	0	39	56	4	0	968,088
	3	4		-	2	33.0		No					0	33	61	6	0	307,068
	2	3		-	4	25.6		No					0	26	65	9	0	8,524
	1	2		-	6	12.2		No						12	76	12		41
11	3	5		-	1	15.2		No					0	15	67	17	0	1,239,490
	2	4		-	3	10.1		No					0	10	66	23	1	85,310
	1	3		-	5	4.7		No						5	61	33	1	791
10	3	6		-	0	5.8		No					0	6	59	34	2	2,089,385
	2	5		-	2	3.1		No					0	3	53	41	3	518,875
	1	4		-	4	1.2		No					0	1	43	51	5	10,262
	0	3		-	6	Out		No							32	64	5	22
9	2	6		-	1	0.3		No					0	0	31	58	11	1,748,014
	1	5		-	3	0.1		No					0	0	21	62	17	83,868
	0	4		-	5	Out		No							9	64	27	445
8	2	7		-	0	0.1		No					0		13	61	26	2,525,661
	1	6		-	2	0.1		No					0		7	57	36	426,328
	0	5		-	4	0.2		No					0		3	46	51	4,519
7	1	7		-	1	0.1		No					0		2	40	58	1,229,527
	0	6		-	3	0.1		No					0		0	27	73	30,734
6	1	8		-	0	0.1		No					0			22	78	1,552,852
	0	7		-	2	0.1		No					0			10	90	131,957
5	0	8		-	1	0.1		No					0			4	96	333,913
4	0	9		-	0	0.1		No					0				100	380,397

Total:						10.8	%	0.2	%	0	0	0	1	10	30	33	26	14,763,408

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Saturday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Nighthawks 1 Silverbacks 0	+0.1
Wolves 9 Stars 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Monday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Stars vs Golden Seals	+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.1+0.1-0.0

Bottom three teams in the league are eligible for lottery, as well as team that loses in wild card round

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8

22	9	0		-	0	41	55	5
21	8	0		-	1	7	59	33
20	8	1		-	0	3	48	49	0
	7	0		-	2	8	31	59	2
19	7	1		-	1	0	18	71	10	0
	6	0		-	3		6	77	17
18	7	2		-	0	0	7	60	32	1
	6	1		-	2	0	4	51	41	3
	5	0		-	4		4	63	33
17	6	2		-	1		0	28	59	12	0
	5	1		-	3		0	20	60	21
	4	0		-	5			33	44	22
16	6	3		-	0		0	14	58	27	0
	5	2		-	2		0	9	55	35	1
	4	1		-	4			5	44	49	2
	3	0		-	6				50	50
15	5	3		-	1			1	33	61	5	0
	4	2		-	3			1	24	68	8	0
	3	1		-	5				11	75	14
14	5	4		-	0			0	20	67	13	0
	4	3		-	2			0	14	70	16	0
	3	2		-	4			0	8	72	20	0
	2	1		-	6				7	57	36
13	4	4		-	1			0	3	61	36	1	0
	3	3		-	3				1	55	42	1
	2	2		-	5				0	53	45	2
	1	1		-	7					33	67
12	4	5		-	0			0	1	45	50	4	0
	3	4		-	2				0	39	55	5	0
	2	3		-	4				0	32	60	8	0
	1	2		-	6					17	73	10
11	3	5		-	1				0	17	66	16	0
	2	4		-	3					12	66	22	1
	1	3		-	5					6	59	34	1
10	3	6		-	0				0	8	58	32	2
	2	5		-	2					4	53	40	3
	1	4		-	4					1	43	49	6
	0	3		-	6						36	64
9	2	6		-	1					0	30	58	12
	1	5		-	3						18	62	20
	0	4		-	5						7	59	35
8	2	7		-	0						13	60	27
	1	6		-	2						6	56	38
	0	5		-	4						2	43	55
7	1	7		-	1						1	37	62
	0	6		-	3							20	80
6	1	8		-	0							21	79
	0	7		-	2							8	92
5	0	8		-	1							1	99
4	0	9		-	0								100

Total:						0	0	0	1	11	28	32	27