How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

TuesdayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton-0.6*-0.1*-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2
Grand Rapids vs Manitoba-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Lehigh vs Hershey-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Hartford vs Springfield+0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Rochester vs Binghamton+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the W-B/Scranton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
120-128In100672*
119284-1In991465*
118285-0In10001,089*
117275-1In9821,881*
116265-2In9823,896*
115266-1In96406,311*
114256-2In937011,720*
113257-1In8911017,528*
112247-2In8416029,242*
111248-1In7822040,551*
110238-2In7129161,445*
109239-1In62372077,633*
108229-2In534430108,597*
1072210-1In435250128,876*
1062110-2In3458800166,748*
1052111-1In24631310185,240*
1042011-2In17641810220,922*
1032012-1In116324300229,704*
1021912-2In65829600256,688*
1011913-1In3523212100248,616*
1001813-2In1423319300138,418
1914-0In2433418300121,278*
991814-1In13431277100237,153*
981714-2100.0%0252633142000230,406*
971715-1100.00171936226100197,715*
961615-2100.001112333012200179,895*
951616-1100.0066263420610144,016*
941516-299.90431834281120124,598*
931517-199.6211028342050093,052*
921417-298.6105193428101075,053*
911418-196.1002112934194053,115*
901318-291.700162136288040,067*
891319-184.00003133236151026,400*
881219-273.400172540252018,846*
871220-160.300031740355011,440*
861120-245.901103545907,483*
851121-131.700526511714,404*
841021-221.502195324202,767*
831022-112.801125131501,471*
82922-28.618433981858*
81923-12.6336471310384*
80823-21.722446235240*
79824-10.911745288106*
78825-0Out1136401345*
77725-1Out821502124*
76625-2Out2040271315*
75626-1Out3333333*
74526-2Out3333333*
69329-1Out1001
62033-0Out0184934280
Total:99.1%143617139532100000003,507,360

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Milwaukee 2 San Antonio 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wednesday100.0*Lottery seed
Bridgeport vs W-B/Scranton+0.7+0.2+0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4
Rochester vs Binghamton-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.0
Tucson vs Texas-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
120-128100
119284-1991
118285-0982
117275-1973
116265-29640
115266-19280
114256-2861310
113257-1801910
112247-27126300
111248-16034600
110238-248401110
109239-1364417300
108229-2254325600
1072210-115393311100
1062110-29313719400
1052111-142137279100
1042011-2213323416400
1032012-1162335259100
1021912-203133132164100
1011913-101621332610200
1001813-2002112732206100
1914-0003122832196100
991814-1001518312814300
981714-2002923322392000
971715-10031327301861000
961615-200161830271440000
951616-10002923312392000
941516-2004132830186100
931517-10016183128133000
921417-20021024332270010
911418-1014153031151040
901318-200182334242080
891319-1003133132401510
881219-20162335702520
871220-100314331113550
861120-2172512104590
851121-10316112051171
841021-2019830532420
831022-103630513150
82922-22331433981
81923-1111136461310
80823-20102445235
79824-1115472781
78825-0112940182
77725-1817461784
76625-27274027
75626-13367
74526-2333333
69329-1100
62033-0093038231
Total:6912131211108654210001000000000000