"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Springfield 3 Chicago 2 (ot)-0.4
Hershey 3 Laval 2 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Iowa vs Syracuse-2.2*-0.3-0.3+1.8+2.5+2.6
-0.3*-0.0-0.0+0.3+0.4+0.4
Grand Rapids vs Charlotte-0.2-0.5*-0.2*+0.0*-0.1+0.3
+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Milwaukee vs Springfield+0.4*+0.1*-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.3
San Jose vs W-B/Scranton+0.4*-0.0*+0.2*-0.2*-0.3-0.4
Belleville vs Toronto+0.3*+0.0*-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.3
Laval vs Providence+0.3*+0.1*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.2
Lehigh vs Binghamton+0.2*+0.2*+0.0*-0.0*-0.1-0.1
San Antonio vs Hartford+0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Syracuse finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
120370-0In919236
109-110In1004*
108305-2In4040205*
107306-1In217914*
106296-2In967912333*
105297-1In379115178*
104287-2In16614145159*
103288-1In66916810309*
102278-2In0559221120532*
101279-1In0466251950992*
100269-2In3942126921,734*
992610-1In263183118412,988*
982510-299.9%1811431269205,130*
972511-199.611082733163007,954*
962411-298.770420342581012,215*
952412-196.64021230331630018,105*
942312-291.0201623352581026,154*
932313-181.81003143232153036,447*
922213-268.700017253523710050,218*
912214-151.700031533321420064,979*
902114-235.1001925362360083,813*
892115-120.900041734321210102,159*
882015-211.00019283720300123,946*
872016-15.0005203830810142,910*
861916-21.90021233381420163,579*
851917-10.60016254222400177,297*
841817-20.2003174031810192,032*
831818-10.0019343815200198,011*
821718-20.00005254123500201,119*
811719-1Out02173932910195,706*
801619-20.00011033381630188,043*
791620-1Out00524402460171,972*
781520-2Out002163832111157,031*
771521-1Out0193238183134,481*
761421-2Out0052340266115,647*
751422-1Out0021638341094,224*
741322-2Out011032411675,867*
731323-1Out00525442558,159*
721223-2Out0318453544,673*
711224-1Out0112424631,685*
701124-2Out007365722,725*
691125-1Out03306715,157*
681025-2Out02227610,275*
671026-1Out116836,346*
66926-2Out012874,061*
65927-1Out07932,290*
64827-2Out5951,362*
63828-1Out496761*
62728-2Out298411*
61729-1Out298195*
46-60Out100409*
Total:8.4%0000012471116181612842,944,632

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Friday100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego 2 Ontario 3 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Iowa vs Syracuse+0.6*+0.0+0.0-0.5-0.7-0.7
San Antonio vs Hartford-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0+0.1
Grand Rapids vs Charlotte-0.0+0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
120370-072262
110314-23367
109315-1100
108294-420204020
107306-11436437
106296-2915303312
105297-1183137194
104287-218223817114
103288-131332311651
102278-2271933261121
101279-1031330311851
100269-2162134251030
992610-100212243220710
982510-20151730281551000
972511-10282132231030000
962411-20031226292071010
952412-10151628281430300
942312-20028202923818100
932313-100031123271531530
922213-200141424197238100
912214-100161519103015300
902114-200027141232248100
892115-100037102732164000
882015-20013718332610200
872016-10014926321971000
861916-200024163028155100
851917-10011822302411300
841817-2000031225302182000
831818-100015152728176100
821718-2000017192926134100
811719-100021023302292000
801619-200014142729186100
791620-10016182927144100
781520-20002102330239200
771521-1001414272917610
761421-200172030261230
751422-100031226312171
741322-20016183229132
731323-10002102634225
721223-2001519353110
711224-100212313817
701124-20162442270
691125-1003164338
681025-201104049
671026-10053361
66926-20326710
65927-10119800
64827-2015840
63828-111890
62728-27930
61729-14951
60629-2298
59630-1973
55-58100
46037-03565
Total:0000000000011222578899998754310