How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Chicago 3 Manitoba 4 +0.3
San Jose 2 Colorado 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Bakersfield vs Colorado+0.3*+0.1*-0.0-0.5*-0.4-0.3
San Antonio vs Rockford-0.2*-0.1-0.5*-0.1*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Diego finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
112-132In100247*
111449-3In912746*
1104410-2In973100*
1094310-3In9145165*
1084311-2In8947289*
1074211-3In8767500*
1064212-2In83710826*
1054112-3In7710131,249*
1044113-2In72111601,958*
1034013-3In65142102,990*
1024014-2In58172404,417*
1013914-3In49212916,445*
1003915-2In422333209,308*
993815-3In3425392012,640*
983816-2In27274240017,484*
973716-3In21274570022,747*
963717-2In142747111030,031*
953617-3In102547162038,042*
943618-2In62346214047,626*
933518-3In420422860057,189*
923519-2In2173634101068,529*
913419-3In11330381620079,988*
903420-2In0102340224092,622*
893320-3In08173929700102,957*
883321-2100.0%0511353512100114,046*
873221-3100.0037294019200122,820*
863222-2100.0024224126400129,411*
853122-3100.012153834810135,212*
843123-299.9119334014200138,084*
833023-399.7005254322400138,216*
823024-299.1002174130810135,695*
812924-397.500110353714200130,307*
802925-294.200052740225000123,141*
792825-387.700218373111200114,025*
782826-277.500110313618400104,784*
772726-363.50005223627910092,691*
762727-247.20021332341630081,547*
752627-331.7001724362471070,022*
742628-218.70031533321430059,023*
732528-39.501826362261049,049*
722529-24.3004173431122039,961*
712429-31.602102836205031,854*
702430-20.500519362991024,814*
692330-30.102123136172019,126*
682331-20.00162438256014,395*
672231-3Out0316373411110,734*
662232-2Out01931391827,687*
652132-3Out00523422745,615*
642133-2Out0215413563,866*
632033-3Out01113442122,716*
622034-2Out163146171,798*
611934-3Out32254211,074*
601935-2Out2165230779*
591835-3Out185140470*
581836-2Out064648327*
571736-3Out53659197*
561737-2Out33463120*
551637-3Out2247349*
541638-2Out217929*
531639-1Out188228*
521539-2Out128817*
511439-3Out14867*
501440-2Out1003
491441-1Out33673*
481341-2Out1001
20-47Out100200*
Total:82.8%25913161713974321002,502,338

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Chicago 3 Manitoba 4 -0.0
Toronto 1 Binghamton 2 (ot)*+0.0
San Jose 2 Colorado 1 *-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Bakersfield vs Colorado-0.0*-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
112-132100
111449-3919
1104410-2937
1094310-38713
1084311-285150
1074211-384161
1064212-277212
1054112-3702730
1044113-2623250
1034013-35436910
1024014-2454013200
1013914-3344319300
1003915-22641247100
993815-317393011200
983816-211333417510
973716-372534248200
963717-23173129154100
953617-321025312182000
943618-215172927155100
933518-30210232922103100
923519-20151526271772000
913419-30028192724145100
903420-2001311222721114100
893320-300151323261993100
883321-200261625251772000
873221-300281725241562000
863222-2001391926231451000
853122-30013102026231341000
843123-200014112126231230000
833023-300141122282391000
823024-200141326321841000
812924-30001517343010110000
802925-2000018283719221000
792825-300031937292342100
782826-2001103135247631000
772726-300522361481183100
762727-20021332027141594100
752627-301724015121917103100
742628-200315002817221893100
732528-301800141121241893100
722529-20040015142325178200
712429-30200027172524166100
702430-2000013919272313410
692330-300014122228211020
682331-20001515262818610
672231-300282029261330
662232-20131326302161
652132-3017183129122
642133-213112834203
632033-30162136297
622034-200415353511
611934-30110304315
601935-215254624
591835-302135034
581836-22114543
571736-3184052
561737-253858
551637-322473
541638-22476
531639-11882
521539-21288
511439-31486
501440-2100
491441-13367
481341-2100
20-47100
Total:12234455666679108011222221111000