How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Providence 4 Hartford 3 (so)+3.6
+0.4
Toronto 2 Utica 4 +0.3
Chicago 3 Grand Rapids 1 +0.3
+0.0
Manitoba 2 Belleville 1 (so)*+0.2
Milwaukee 2 Hershey 1 (ot)*+0.0
Syracuse 2 Charlotte 1 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Springfield vs Providence-4.7*-0.3-0.9+3.8+4.5+4.7
-0.5-0.0-0.1+0.4+0.5+0.5
Rockford vs Hershey+0.3*+0.1*-0.0*-0.2*-0.3-0.3
Toronto vs Utica-0.3*+0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Providence finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
110-150In1001,198*
1095019-3In1000599*
1084919-4In9901826*
1074920-3In99011,219*
1064820-4In98111,868*
1054821-3In98122,567*
1044721-4In97123,649*
1034722-3In96235,015*
1024622-4In933406,696*
1014623-3In914509,015*
1004523-4In8767011,673*
994524-3In828100015,132*
984424-4In7611131019,615*
974425-3In6813171024,045*
964325-4In5917212029,843*
954326-3In50202640036,019*
944226-4In40233061042,958*
934227-3In2925341010050,408*
924127-4In2026361530058,306*
914128-3In13253521510066,783*
904028-4In72332271020074,695*
894029-3100.0%319263116410082,346*
883929-4100.01141831239200090,563*
873930-399.901011272916510096,990*
863830-499.5075203024113000102,852*
853831-398.2042112529197200106,823*
843731-494.3215172827155100110,079*
833732-385.610282129241130000111,214*
823632-469.600031224292082000110,722*
813633-348.800015152728175100109,545*
803533-428.100027192926134100105,305*
793534-313.200003102330239200101,208*
783434-45.00001414272918610094,751*
773435-31.60000171830271330088,508*
763335-40.4000031024312281080,898*
753336-30.10015162930164072,777*
743236-40.000282333258164,174*
733237-30.0001415303215356,650*
723137-40.000028243624548,596*
713138-3Out0141835321041,587*
703038-4Out0021131391734,569*
693039-3Out001725422528,433*
682939-4Out000418443423,186*
672940-3Out00213424318,815*
662840-4Out0018375414,790*
652841-3Out006336111,436*
642741-4Out0327698,681*
632742-3Out0222766,578*
622642-4Out0116824,931*
612643-3Out013863,619*
602543-4Out09902,636*
592544-3Out07931,866*
582444-4Out05951,300*
572445-3Out496926*
562345-4Out0496600*
552346-3Out298373*
542246-4Out199269*
51-53Out100330*
502048-4Out39739*
6-49Out100252*
Total:57.3%86887777666655432,301,346

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Providence 4 Hartford 3 (so)-0.8
Rockford 2 Texas 3 (ot)*+0.0
Toronto 2 Utica 4 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Springfield vs Providence+1.0*+0.1+0.1-0.8-1.0-1.0
Rockford vs Hershey-0.0*-0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
111-150100
1105018-4991
1095019-39910
1084919-4982
1074920-3982
1064820-4964
1054821-39550
1044721-493700
1034722-39090
1024622-4861310
1014623-3811810
1004523-47523300
994524-36629400
984424-45834810
974425-3473912200
964325-4374018410
954326-32640248100
944226-41736301330000
934227-31029331972000
924127-45203126134100
914128-321125292092000
904028-4151627261662000
894029-302819262314510000
883929-4013112126211251000000
873930-3001412212520114100000
863830-40014122125201141000000
853831-3001411202420125100200
843731-40014101823201241005100
833732-300138172219114101130000
823632-4001271418168302082000
813633-3000251014115128175100
803533-40001378632826134100
793534-3000012443213023102000
783434-40001221124292082000
773435-30000141426271872000
763335-40001616262616720000
753336-3000271625241682000
743236-4000271624241782100
733237-30000271523241782000
723137-4000027162424178200
713138-300128162425166100
703038-40013819272414410
693039-30014112128231020
682939-400151526291861
672940-30027203127122
662840-4013122634204
652841-300172135298
642741-401314323614
632742-3018274221
622642-4005204332
612643-3002144241
602543-401104049
592544-30163460
582444-4032869
572445-322375
562345-411980
552346-311188
542246-41090
532146-5595
522147-4892
512148-3595
502048-4397
492049-31387
6-48100
Total:5555544444433210665433322222111