How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Monday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Providence 2 Texas 0 +2.9
+0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto vs Peoria-0.4-0.5-0.5*+0.1*+0.1+0.6
-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Grand Rapids vs Texas-0.3*-0.2-0.2*+0.0*+0.1+0.4
-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Bridgeport vs Binghamton+0.1*-0.1*-0.1*-0.0*-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Providence finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
123-131In100303*
122344-1In802010*
121345-0In98249*
120335-1In937100*
119325-2In928270*
118326-1In85150424*
117316-2In80201,004*
116317-1In752501,668*
115307-2In693103,133*
114308-1In594004,815*
113298-2In5247108,718*
112299-1In42561012,859*
111289-2In346420020,259*
1102810-1In267130028,702*
1092710-2In197641041,606*
1082711-1In1380520055,563*
1072611-2In882730075,682*
1062612-1In581861094,185*
1052512-2In2788920120,464*
1042513-1In174812400140,838*
1032413-2In0687168100169,516*
1022414-1In06061813300187,129*
1012314-2In05141919600212,927*
1002315-1In043318251110223,639*
992215-2100.0%0332152918300238,797*
982216-1100.002511130267100236,220*
972116-299.91807273313200238,636*
962117-199.61204213721500224,676*
952017-298.670214362910100215,312*
942018-196.34018303617300191,329*
931918-291.72004223726710173,017*
921919-183.710214343314200145,167*
911819-271.70017263723500124,856*
901820-156.900031836311110099,974*
891720-240.70011029371940081,147*
881721-126.3000521372881061,433*
871621-214.80002133335152047,333*
861622-17.301725392351033,819*
851522-23.00031636321120024,710*
841523-10.901829372040016,509*
831423-20.30420372891011,624*
821424-10.101113236164007,347*
811324-2Out072337248104,831*
801325-1Out0314323414302,833*
791225-2Out18263524611,736*
781226-1Out041834311021,007*
771126-2Out2102739193598*
761127-1Out142037317291*
751027-2Out113363714166*
741028-1Out532432065*
73928-2Out25482748*
72929-1Out9325922*
71829-2Out455511*
70830-1Out1003*
69730-2Out60405*
53039-0Out100285
Total:89.9%232271314128531100003,587,670

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Monday100.0*Lottery seed
Providence 2 Texas 0 -0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Toronto vs Peoria+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0
Bridgeport vs Binghamton-0.0*+0.0+0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
131390-0991
125363-0100
124353-17525
123343-2928
122344-17030
121345-06931
120335-163298
119325-2454690
118326-13845152
117316-22647234
116317-117423191
115307-21235371420
114308-1527392350
113298-231937301010
112299-1111323617300
111289-2062337257100
1102810-10214333314300
1092710-2018263722610
1082711-100317343012200
1072611-20019283520510
1062612-100419342811200
1052512-200211293419510
1042513-10015203427112000
1032413-200212283219510
1022414-1016203327112000
1012314-2002122732206100
1002315-1001518312813300
992215-20021025322281000
982216-1001516292916410000
972116-200282231241020000
962117-10031326301971000
952017-200161829271440100
942018-100029223023913000
931918-20131325291747100
921919-1001516272410133000
911819-2000282026162071000
901820-1000311222125144100
891720-200141422252392000
881721-10017181928186100
871621-2000312122626155100
861622-10016519292412310
851522-200321023292110200
841523-10104132628188200
831423-200016172727155100
821424-10002820282513310
811324-2013102428229200
801325-1001512262918710
791225-200171728281451
781226-1002112030221130
771126-2131425321762
761127-117173228123
751027-22102430286
741028-13113432173
73928-2102740212
72929-15541419
71829-2453618
70830-16733
69730-2206020
53039-008316
Total:0012357910111098653422110000000000