How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Chicago 3 Manitoba 4 +0.5
San Jose 2 Colorado 1 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Chance in playoffs
Bakersfield vs Colorado+0.5*-0.4*-0.1-0.6-0.9-0.6
San Antonio vs Rockford-0.3*-0.3*-0.3*-0.1*+0.0+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Iowa finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
109-136In100217*
1084412-4In92824*
1074413-3In94636*
1064313-4In8114558*
1054314-3In849797*
1044214-4In692011160*
1034215-3In701713248*
1024216-2In5723200409*
1014116-3In5126221640*
1004016-4In442925201,043*
994017-3In382930201,614*
983917-4In2829376002,399*
973918-3In232841803,578*
963818-4In15284412104,946*
953819-3In10244518206,852*
943719-4In7204424409,778*
933720-3In417413071013,105*
923620-4In2123736121017,341*
913621-3In1929391830022,719*
903521-4In1622402561028,942*
893522-3In04153832111036,436*
883422-4In02103237163044,886*
873423-3In0152539245054,073*
863323-4100.0%013183731101063,376*
853324-399.901113237162074,128*
843224-499.700625402440085,678*
833225-399.200317383281095,584*
823125-497.80011133391520105,448*
813126-395.00005254123500114,541*
803026-489.50021640319100122,186*
793027-380.700110333716300127,630*
782927-468.2005243925610131,001*
772928-353.60216363212200133,125*
762828-438.4019293720500132,291*
752829-324.60042037289100129,316*
742729-414.30213323416300123,046*
732730-37.2017243625710116,279*
722630-43.30031634321320107,924*
712631-31.201928362150098,329*
702531-40.400520362991087,234*
692532-30.1002123235162076,348*
682432-40.00172539245066,095*
672433-30.00031737329055,916*
662333-4Out0110323916146,437*
652334-3Out016254224338,083*
642234-4Out003184232530,195*
632235-3Out01113840924,196*
622135-4Out00731471418,452*
612136-3Out0425502114,375*
602036-4Out0217513010,485*
592037-3Out011349377,861*
581937-4Out0943485,541*
571938-3Out0541543,884*
561838-4Out0234642,607*
551839-3Out328701,792*
541840-2Out124751,136*
531740-3Out01882736*
521741-2Out01386498*
511641-3Out1090312*
501541-4Out0792213*
491542-3Out496117*
481442-4Out29859*
471443-3Out39735*
461343-4Out59522*
16-45Out100226*
Total:50.6%012471013131211975312,502,338

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

SundayNone
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Tuesday100.0*Lottery seed
Bakersfield vs Colorado-0.0*+0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
109-136100
1084412-4928
1074413-3928
1064313-47822
1054314-371254
1044214-459364
1034215-3583741
1024216-24344121
1014116-33640204
1004016-4264324610
994017-3204027103
983917-412323417510
973918-372534239200
963818-4416322914410
953819-32102431229300
943719-415162928155100
933720-3029222923114100
923620-40141424271982000
913621-300171726251562000
903521-400392026231351000
893522-3001411222521114100
883422-40001513222519104100
873423-300161423251893100
863323-400261523251783000
853324-300271524241782000
843224-4000271624251761000
833225-3000281726271531000
823125-40001282032278200000
813126-3001311283617311000
803026-4000141938283331000
793027-300110333635641000
782927-400052438259952000
772928-3021636149141162000
762828-40192902715181362000
752829-3004200141220201351000
742729-402130026162321124100
732730-3017000310202520114100
722630-400300141322251993000
712631-30100026152425177200
702531-4000002818262414510
692532-30000141122282210300
682432-40001514262818610
672433-3000282029261230
662333-400141226312160
652334-300017193228121
642234-40003122834183
632235-300172237275
622135-400315353610
612136-30029304316
602036-4015234624
592037-3003184732
581937-402124442
571938-30174349
561838-4053659
551839-343067
541840-212673
531740-312080
521741-211485
511641-301188
501541-40892
491542-3496
481442-4298
471443-3397
461343-4595
16-45100
Total:000111122333461012112345555443321