Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto 2 Utica 4 +0.3
Milwaukee 2 Hershey 1 (ot)*-0.3
*-0.1
Chicago 3 Grand Rapids 1 +0.3
+0.0
Manitoba 2 Belleville 1 (so)*-0.1
Cleveland 4 W-B/Scranton 1 *+0.1
Syracuse 2 Charlotte 1 (ot)*-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockford vs Hershey-4.4*-0.3-0.5+3.5+4.3+4.4
-0.5*-0.0-0.1+0.4+0.5+0.5
Toronto vs Utica-0.4*-0.5*-0.4*+0.1*-0.1+0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hershey finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
110-150In1001,429*
1095019-3In10000654*
1084919-4In100001,002*
1074920-3In99101,574*
1064820-4In99112,229*
1054821-3In98113,014*
1044721-4In97214,265*
1034722-3In95415,659*
1024622-4In935307,799*
1014623-3In9064010,443*
1004523-4In8695013,404*
994524-3In81127017,085*
984424-4In7515100021,606*
974425-3In6720131026,951*
964325-4In58241610032,544*
954326-3In49282120039,307*
944226-4In39322440047,128*
934227-3In29352871054,449*
924127-4In2036311120062,719*
914128-3In13353116410071,355*
904028-4In7312923810079,191*
894029-3100.0%4272527144100086,677*
883929-4100.01211829218200094,266*
873930-399.9015112627154100100,341*
863830-499.60106202922102000104,488*
853831-398.50621226281861000109,114*
843731-495.20316182926134100110,749*
833732-387.22029222922102000111,730*
823632-472.71014132629197100110,413*
813633-352.200016172827155100107,139*
803533-431.6000029212924123000103,569*
793534-315.40000312243021820097,985*
783434-46.10001515272817510091,077*
773435-31.90000282030261230084,055*
763335-40.500031125312171076,567*
753336-30.100015163029153068,584*
743236-40.0000292332248160,239*
733237-30.00001415313115352,462*
723137-40.000029253623544,764*
713138-3Out00141835321037,892*
703038-4Out0021131391731,710*
693039-3Out001625432525,934*
682939-4Out00318433420,684*
672940-3Out0213414516,481*
662840-4Out0018365513,005*
652841-3Out005316310,001*
642741-4Out0326727,531*
632742-3Out0221785,735*
622642-4Out0116834,237*
612643-3Out0012873,044*
602543-4Out08922,119*
592544-3Out06941,522*
582444-4Out4961,087*
572445-3Out496724*
562345-4Out298521*
552346-3Out199331*
542246-4Out397228*
532247-3Out199142*
522147-4Out19977*
6-51Out100315*
Total:60.4%910877777666555432,301,346

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Milwaukee 2 Hershey 1 (ot)*+0.1
Syracuse 2 Charlotte 1 (ot)+0.1
Providence 4 Hartford 3 (so)*+0.0
Toronto 2 Utica 4 -0.0
Chicago 3 Grand Rapids 1 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockford vs Hershey+1.0+0.1+0.1-0.8-0.9-1.0
Toronto vs Utica+0.0*+0.1*+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0
Springfield vs Providence*-0.0*+0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
111-150100
1105018-4991
1095019-3991
1084919-4991
1074920-39730
1064820-49730
1054821-39640
1044721-49460
1034722-39090
1024622-4861310
1014623-38217100
1004523-47423300
994524-36728500
984424-45834810
974425-3473912200
964325-43741184000
954326-32740247100
944226-4183630133000
934227-3102933197100
924127-462131261241000
914128-321226291982000
904028-4161727261562000
894029-3029202723125100000
883929-401411222620114100000
873930-3001513222519104100000
863830-40015132124191041000000
853831-3000151221241911410001000
843731-400014111923191141004100
833732-3000141018221910310102000
823632-400138151916820197100
813633-30001261214115127155100
803533-400001489632924123000
793534-30001245323292292000
783434-400001221325281972000
773435-30001151627271661000
763335-400001717262515620000
753336-30000271725241572000
743236-40000271624241682000
733237-30000027162324178200
723137-4000127162424167200
713138-3000128172524166100
703038-40013919262414410
693039-300014102328221020
682939-400151525291861
672940-30027193127122
662840-40013122733194
652841-300172035298
642741-400313313715
632742-30018274123
622642-4004204530
612643-303154141
602543-41103851
592544-3163559
582444-4022969
572445-3012573
562345-421682
552346-31585
542246-421286
532247-31189
522147-4694
512047-5100
502149-2496
6-49100
Total:5555555444433210655433222221110