How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Saturday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Syracuse 2 Charlotte 1 (ot)*-0.6
-0.1
Toronto 2 Utica 4 +0.3
Chicago 3 Grand Rapids 1 +0.3
Milwaukee 2 Hershey 1 (ot)*+0.3
*+0.0
Manitoba 2 Belleville 1 (so)*-0.2
*-0.0
Providence 4 Hartford 3 (so)*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Rockford vs Hershey+0.2*+0.1*+0.1*-0.1-0.8-0.2
+0.0*-0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Toronto vs Utica-0.3*-0.5*-0.4*+0.1*+0.1+0.3
-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*+0.0*-0.0+0.0
Bridgeport vs Rochester-0.0*-0.0*-0.1*-0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Charlotte finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
110-150In1001,395*
1095019-3In1000621*
1084919-4In99011,007*
1074920-3In99101,387*
1064820-4In99102,115*
1054821-3In98112,996*
1044721-4In97214,149*
1034722-3In96315,672*
1024622-4In93527,869*
1014623-3In906309,991*
1004523-4In8695013,009*
994524-3In81126016,869*
984424-4In761590021,331*
974425-3In6819121026,172*
964325-4In59241610032,721*
954326-3In50282020039,023*
944226-4In40322440046,261*
934227-3In303528710054,180*
924127-4In2036311120061,761*
914128-3In1335311641070,495*
904028-4100.0%73229238200078,014*
894029-3100.0427242714410086,166*
883929-4100.01211829208200093,362*
873930-399.901511262715410099,981*
863830-499.60106202922102000104,218*
853831-398.6062122628186100108,049*
843731-495.4031618282613410111,013*
833732-387.22021022292210200111,185*
823632-472.310141325281972000111,285*
813633-352.300016172827155100107,813*
803533-431.40002821292512300103,697*
793534-315.200003112430218200098,246*
783434-46.000001515272817510092,165*
773435-31.90000282030261230085,535*
763335-40.500031124312171077,209*
753336-30.100015173029153069,154*
743236-40.0000292333248160,786*
733237-30.0001416313214253,119*
723137-40.000029253523545,529*
713138-3Out00151835321037,959*
703038-4Out0021231381631,959*
693039-3Out001725422526,183*
682939-4Out00419433421,238*
672940-3Out00213424416,584*
662840-4Out018375413,360*
652841-3Out005326210,217*
642741-4Out0326717,741*
632742-3Out0221775,942*
622642-4Out116834,280*
612643-3Out113863,110*
602543-4Out09912,232*
592544-3Out6941,583*
582444-4Out04961,063*
572445-3Out298745*
562345-4Out298528*
552346-3Out298327*
542246-4Out100222*
532247-3Out199131*
522147-4Out19971*
50-51Out10083*
491948-5Out49624*
6-48Out100214*
Total:60.0%910777777666555432,301,346

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Saturday100.0*Lottery seed
Syracuse 2 Charlotte 1 (ot)+0.1
Bakersfield 3 Tucson 2 (ot)-0.1
Manitoba 2 Belleville 1 (so)+0.1
Rockford 2 Texas 3 (ot)*-0.1
Providence 4 Hartford 3 (so)+0.0
Milwaukee 2 Hershey 1 (ot)*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Sunday100.0*Lottery seed
Rockford vs Hershey-0.0*+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0
Toronto vs Utica+0.0*+0.1*+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT12345678910111213141516171819202122232425262728293031
115-150100
1145216-4991
1135217-3100
1125117-4991
1115118-3100
1105018-41000
1095019-3991
1084919-4982
1074920-39820
1064820-49730
1054821-39640
1044721-49370
1034722-39090
1024622-487131
1014623-3821710
1004523-47522300
994524-36729400
984424-45834710
974425-3483812200
964325-43841184000
954326-32741247100
944226-4183629133000
934227-31129321971000
924127-45213225124100
914128-321226291982000
904028-41618272615620000
894029-3029202723135100000
883929-40141121262011410000
873930-3001513222519104100000
863830-400015132124191041000000
853831-30015122124191141000100
843731-40001511202319114100410
833732-300014101822191031010200
823632-4001381519168201972000
813633-3000261215115127155100
803533-400001489632825123000
793534-3001245322292292000
783434-400001221326281872000
773435-30001151626271661000
763335-40000161726251562000
753336-300000271725241572000
743236-40000281724241672000
733237-3000028162324168200
723137-4000127162424167200
713138-3000128172624156100
703038-400013919262413410
693039-30014112228221020
682939-400151426291860
672940-30028203127122
662840-40013122733204
652841-300172035298
642741-400314313714
632742-30018284022
622642-405214430
612643-302154240
602543-401104050
592544-3053758
582444-4142967
572445-3012376
562345-421682
552346-311683
542246-41486
532247-3991
522147-4892
512148-3496
502048-4100
491948-5496
6-48100
Total:5555555444433210655433222221110