Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Victoriaville Tigres Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Lost to Gatineau 2-3 (so), playoff odds down 0.2 to 94.1%

25 points 11 13-3

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/31	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Jean Rougeau Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Halifax 4 Moncton 0	*+0.0		*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Acadie-Bathurst vs Charlottetown	-0.1-0.2-0.2-0.1+0.0+0.2
Charlottetown vs Acadie-Bathurst	+0.1+0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.2-0.1
Charlottetown vs Rimouski					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Rimouski vs Quebec					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Quebec vs Chicoutimi					+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Victoriaville finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Jean Rougeau		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Count

98	-107						In		Yes		100																		321	*
97		34	3		-	4	In		87.5	%	88	13																	8	*
96		34	4		-	3	In		72.7		73	27																	11	*
95		33	4		-	4	In		66.7		67	28		6															18	*
94		33	5		-	3	In		72.2		72	22	3	3															36	*
93		32	5		-	4	In		57.9		58	29	2	9			1												95	*
92		32	6		-	3	In		45.8		46	41	4	9															201	*
91		31	6		-	4	In		42.1		42	39	6	13	1														361	*
90		31	7		-	3	In		26.4		26	40	11	21	1		1												720	*
89		30	7		-	4	In		18.2		18	44	12	23	2		1												1,348	*
88		30	8		-	3	In		8.9		9	36	17	30	5		3			0									2,273	*
87		29	8		-	4	In		5.0		5	31	20	31	8	0	5			0									3,768	*
86		28	8		-	5	In		2.0		2	22	20	31	15	0	9	0		0									6,037	*
85		28	9		-	4	In		1.0		1	15	20	27	22	1	13	1		1									9,201	*
84		27	9		-	5	In		0.3		0	9	18	20	29	1	19	2		1									13,919	*
83		27	10		-	4	In		0.0		0	5	14	13	34	3	24	5	0	3	0								20,204	*
82		26	10		-	5	In		No			2	10	7	33	5	25	11	0	5	0	0							28,338	*
81		26	11		-	4	In		No			1	6	3	29	7	24	20	0	9	1	0							38,190	*
80		25	11		-	5	In		No			0	4	1	21	9	19	29	1	13	2	0	0						49,920	*
79		25	12		-	4	In		No			0	2	0	13	9	12	37	2	17	6	1	0						63,822	*
78		24	12		-	5	In		No			0	1	0	7	8	7	39	3	20	11	2	0						79,377	*
77		24	13		-	4	In		No			0	0	0	3	7	3	36	6	20	18	6	0	0					94,035	*
76		23	13		-	5	In		No				0		1	4	1	28	9	16	25	13	1	0					110,372	*
75		23	14		-	4	In		No				0		0	3	0	19	11	11	28	22	5	0	0				125,194	*
74		22	14		-	5	In		No				0		0	1	0	11	11	6	26	32	10	1	0	0			136,909	*
73		22	15		-	4	In		No				0		0	1	0	6	10	3	20	37	20	4	0	0			146,519	*
72		21	15		-	5	In		No				0		0	0	0	2	8	1	12	36	30	9	1	0			152,367	*
71		21	16		-	4	100.0	%	No				0		0	0		1	6	0	6	28	37	18	4	0	0		153,437	*
70		20	16		-	5	100.0		No							0		0	3	0	3	19	37	28	9	1	0		151,740	*
69		20	17		-	4	99.9		No							0		0	2	0	1	10	31	35	17	3	0		145,061	*
68		19	17		-	5	99.6		No							0		0	1	0	0	5	21	37	27	8	0	0	134,912	*
67		19	18		-	4	98.6		No							0		0	0	0	0	2	13	33	36	15	1	0	122,538	*
66		18	18		-	5	96.6		No									0	0		0	1	6	25	40	25	3	0	107,369	*
65		18	19		-	4	92.8		No										0		0	0	3	16	39	35	7	0	92,654	*
64		17	19		-	5	86.6		No										0			0	1	10	33	43	13	1	76,884	*
63		17	20		-	4	78.0		No										0			0	0	5	25	48	21	1	62,397	*
62		16	20		-	5	68.0		No										0			0	0	2	17	48	29	3	49,997	*
61		16	21		-	4	56.0		No														0	1	11	44	38	6	38,402	*
60		15	21		-	5	45.1		No														0	0	6	38	45	9	28,747	*
59		15	22		-	4	33.6		No										0					0	3	30	51	15	20,931	*
58		14	22		-	5	24.8		No															0	2	23	54	21	14,738	*
57		14	23		-	4	16.7		No																1	16	54	29	10,088	*
56		13	23		-	5	11.4		No																0	11	51	38	6,654	*
55		13	24		-	4	7.5		No																0	7	46	46	4,498	*
54		12	24		-	5	4.1		No																	4	38	58	2,701	*
53		12	25		-	4	2.4		No																	2	33	65	1,720	*
52		11	25		-	5	1.4		No																	1	27	72	959	*
51		11	26		-	4	1.5		No																	2	24	75	531	*
50		10	26		-	5	0.3		No																	0	15	84	322	*
49		10	27		-	4	Out		No																		10	90	163	*
48		9	27		-	5	Out		No																		5	95	86	*
47		9	28		-	4	Out		No																		6	94	35	*
45	-46						Out		No																			100	25	*
44		7	29		-	5	Out		No																		17	83	6	*
25	-43						Out		No																			100	325	*

Total:							94.1	%	0.1	%	0	0	1	1	3	2	2	9	4	5	8	13	13	12	11	10	5	1	2,311,484

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs