How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/31100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Blainville-Boisbriand 2 Rouyn-Noranda 1 (ot)-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Acadie-Bathurst vs Charlottetown-0.1-0.4*-0.1*-0.2-0.3+0.3
Charlottetown vs Acadie-Bathurst+0.2*-0.2*-0.1*-0.2*-0.2-0.1
Quebec vs Chicoutimi+0.2*+0.2*+0.0*-0.1*-0.3-0.1
Blainville-Boisbriand vs Charlottetown+0.2*+0.0*-0.1*+0.0*-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Sherbrooke finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inJean RougeauChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy123456789101112131415161718Count
104410-0In99.7%1000319
96363-2InYes1001
95364-1InNo1001
94354-2In60.060405*
93344-3In60.060103010*
92345-2In75.075661316*
91335-3In52.853192836*
90325-4In25.626187451282*
89326-3In17.7182334916192*
88316-4In9.710194522120402*
87317-3In4.95137544171792*
86307-4In1.6286498250301,331*
85308-3In0.715541110320502,236*
84298-4In0.3023291314001013,608*
83288-5In0.10121814145216206,009*
82289-4InNo01913243325409,339*
81279-5InNo004933860338013,917*
802710-4InNo0015227804114120,100*
792610-5InNo00221710043223028,433*
782611-4InNo0011891413270038,037*
772511-5InNo00013613440131050,009*
762512-4InNo0014124442320063,735*
752412-5InNo0002114423471078,855*
742413-4InNo0011832421520094,498*
732313-5InNo00003214326610111,197*
722314-4InNo000011236351320125,230*
712214-5100.0%No00005253923610137,022*
702215-4100.0No00021535331320146,693*
692115-599.8No001726382350151,966*
682116-499.3No00031636331110153,425*
672016-598.1No01929392020151,054*
662017-495.4No00420413150144,599*
651917-590.8No00212374090135,529*
641918-483.8No0162947151122,274*
631818-574.5No0032150242108,131*
621819-464.0No01144932392,235*
611719-552.5No0184441676,800*
601720-441.7No0537481063,086*
591620-531.4No00229531649,731*
581621-423.2No0122552237,966*
571521-515.9No015543028,662*
561522-410.8No011513920,805*
551422-56.8No07454814,616*
541423-44.4No04415510,145*
531323-52.2No0233656,741*
521324-41.2No126734,455*
511224-50.6No122782,855*
501225-40.4No016831,708*
491125-50.1No010901,002*
481126-40.2No0991602*
471026-5OutNo496331*
461027-4OutNo595167*
45927-5OutNo29882*
22-44OutNo100412*
Total:86.0%0.0%0000001104811121416171132,311,484

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs