Cape Breton Screaming Eagles Playoff Chances 2013-2014

Lost to Acadie-Bathurst 1-4, playoff odds down 0.04 to 99.9%

29 points 13 11-3

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/31	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Jean Rougeau Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Blainville-Boisbriand 2 Rouyn-Noranda 1 (ot)	-0.2		*-0.0
Halifax 4 Moncton 0	*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Charlottetown vs Acadie-Bathurst					-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Blainville-Boisbriand vs Charlottetown					+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.2-0.2
Charlottetown vs Rimouski					-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1
Acadie-Bathurst vs Charlottetown					+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cape Breton finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Jean Rougeau		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Count

111		41	0		-	0	In		99.2	%	99	1																	985
105		37	2		-	2	In		Yes		100																		1
101		35	4		-	2	In		57.1		57	43																	7	*
100		34	4		-	3	In		25.0		25	54	11	11															28	*
99		33	4		-	4	In		30.4		30	41	11	17															46	*
98		33	5		-	3	In		11.4		11	56	17	15	1														88	*
97		32	5		-	4	In		13.4		13	36	22	28	0														246	*
96		32	6		-	3	In		7.7		8	32	26	33	1														547	*
95		31	6		-	4	In		3.6		4	26	30	37	3	0													1,053	*
94		31	7		-	3	In		1.8		2	19	29	44	7	0													1,938	*
93		30	7		-	4	In		1.2		1	12	30	46	10	0	0												3,643	*
92		30	8		-	3	In		0.3		0	7	25	47	19	1													6,516	*
91		29	8		-	4	In		0.0		0	4	22	43	27	3	0	0											11,176	*
90		28	8		-	5	In		0.0		0	2	17	37	37	7	0												18,090	*
89		28	9		-	4	In		No			1	13	28	45	13	0	0											28,525	*
88		27	9		-	5	In		No			0	9	20	48	22	0	0											43,176	*
87		27	10		-	4	In		No			0	6	12	47	33	1	0	0										63,444	*
86		26	10		-	5	In		No			0	4	7	42	46	1	1	0										89,423	*
85		26	11		-	4	In		No			0	2	3	34	58	2	1	0										122,490	*
84		25	11		-	5	In		No			0	1	1	25	68	2	2	0										161,709	*
83		25	12		-	4	In		No			0	1	0	17	75	2	4	1	0	0								206,670	*
82		24	12		-	5	In		No				0	0	10	79	2	6	2	0	0								256,042	*
81		24	13		-	4	In		No				0	0	6	79	1	9	5	0	0	0							307,804	*
80		23	13		-	5	In		No				0	0	3	76	1	11	9	0	0	0							357,628	*
79		23	14		-	4	In		No				0		2	72	0	12	14	0	0	0	0						403,723	*
78		22	14		-	5	In		No				0		1	65	0	12	22	0	0	0	0						443,170	*
77		22	15		-	4	In		No				0		0	57	0	11	31	0	1	0	0	0					470,129	*
76		21	15		-	5	In		No				0		0	48	0	10	40	0	1	1	0	0					486,210	*
75		21	16		-	4	In		No				0		0	38	0	8	48	0	2	3	0	0					486,349	*
74		20	16		-	5	In		No						0	29	0	6	56	0	3	5	1	0					474,867	*
73		20	17		-	4	In		No						0	21		4	60	0	3	9	2	0	0				449,464	*
72		19	17		-	5	In		No						0	14		2	61	0	3	14	4	0	0				412,861	*
71		19	18		-	4	In		No							9		1	58	0	3	19	9	1	0	0			369,022	*
70		18	18		-	5	In		No							5		1	52	0	2	22	16	3	0	0			320,527	*
69		18	19		-	4	In		No							3		0	44	0	1	22	23	6	1	0			270,493	*
68		17	19		-	5	In		No							1		0	34	0	1	20	30	12	2	0			221,587	*
67		17	20		-	4	In		No							1		0	25		0	16	34	20	4	0			176,044	*
66		16	20		-	5	100.0	%	No							0		0	17		0	11	34	29	8	1	0		136,592	*
65		16	21		-	4	100.0		No							0		0	11		0	7	31	36	14	1	0		102,495	*
64		15	21		-	5	100.0		No							0			7		0	4	24	40	22	3	0		75,215	*
63		15	22		-	4	99.8		No							0			4		0	2	17	40	31	6	0		53,096	*
62		14	22		-	5	99.4		No										2		0	1	11	35	39	11	1		36,746	*
61		14	23		-	4	98.5		No										1			0	6	28	44	19	2		24,359	*
60		13	23		-	5	96.8		No										0			0	3	21	46	27	3	0	15,870	*
59		13	24		-	4	94.3		No										0			0	1	13	43	36	6		9,875	*
58		12	24		-	5	89.5		No										0				1	8	38	43	10	0	6,382	*
57		12	25		-	4	83.0		No										0				0	4	31	47	17	0	3,642	*
56		11	25		-	5	73.3		No															2	22	50	26	0	2,029	*
55		11	26		-	4	66.0		No															1	16	49	34	0	1,186	*
54		10	26		-	5	55.2		No															0	9	46	44	1	632	*
53		10	27		-	4	44.0		No																5	39	54	2	327	*
52		9	27		-	5	39.2		No																3	37	58	3	158	*
51		9	28		-	4	35.6		No																3	33	60	4	73	*
50		8	28		-	5	19.1		No																2	17	70	11	47	*
49		9	30		-	2	13.6		No																5	9	64	23	22	*
48		7	29		-	5	Out		No																		67	33	3	*
46	-47						Out		No																		100		5	*
29		0	41		-	0	Out		No																		0	100	985

Total:							99.9	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	1	4	38	0	6	31	0	1	6	6	3	2	0	0	0	7,135,460

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs