Acadie-Bathurst Titan Playoff Chances 2013-2014 50/50

Beat Cape Breton 4-1, playoff odds up 2.5 to 91.4%

24 points 11 14-2

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/31	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blainville-Boisbriand 2 Rouyn-Noranda 1 (ot)	*-0.1
Halifax 4 Moncton 0			+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Acadie-Bathurst vs Charlottetown	+2.1+1.9+1.7-0.3-0.5-2.5		+0.6+0.5+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.7
Charlottetown vs Acadie-Bathurst	-2.5*-0.2-0.3+1.7+1.8+2.0		-0.7-0.2-0.2+0.4+0.5+0.6
Quebec vs Chicoutimi	+0.2+0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.2-0.1
Blainville-Boisbriand vs Charlottetown			+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Charlottetown vs Rimouski			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Acadie-Bathurst finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Jean Rougeau		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	Count

98	-106						In		Yes		100																		320	*
96		35	4		-	2	In		60.0	%	60	20		20															5	*
95		34	4		-	3	In		60.0		60	20		20															5	*
94		34	5		-	2	In		47.8		48	43		9															23	*
93		33	5		-	3	In		70.4		70	24		6															54	*
92		32	5		-	4	In		51.9		52	36	4	9															104	*
91		32	6		-	3	In		45.1		45	42	4	9															184	*
90		31	6		-	4	In		28.7		29	46	12	13	1														380	*
89		31	7		-	3	In		18.5		18	44	17	19	2														742	*
88		30	7		-	4	In		9.9		10	40	23	22	5	0	0												1,315	*
87		30	8		-	3	In		3.9		4	32	29	23	11	0	0												2,266	*
86		29	8		-	4	In		2.4		2	23	32	24	17	1	1												3,825	*
85		28	8		-	5	In		0.7		1	16	33	21	25	3	1	0											6,128	*
84		28	9		-	4	In		0.1		0	10	31	16	32	7	3	0		0									9,224	*
83		27	9		-	5	In		0.1		0	5	28	10	37	15	4	1	0	0									13,860	*
82		27	10		-	4	In		0.0		0	2	23	6	35	25	6	3	0	0	0								20,059	*
81		26	10		-	5	In		No			1	17	2	30	36	6	6	1	0	0	0							28,089	*
80		26	11		-	4	In		No			0	12	1	21	45	6	12	2	1	0	0							38,050	*
79		25	11		-	5	In		No			0	7	0	13	48	5	18	6	2	1	0	0						50,497	*
78		25	12		-	4	In		No			0	4	0	7	48	3	22	13	2	2	0	0						64,102	*
77		24	12		-	5	In		No			0	2	0	3	42	1	21	22	3	3	1	0						78,577	*
76		24	13		-	4	In		No			0	1		1	34	0	18	32	4	6	4	0	0					94,834	*
75		23	13		-	5	In		No				0		0	24	0	13	40	3	9	8	2	0	0				110,294	*
74		23	14		-	4	In		No				0		0	16	0	8	43	2	10	14	6	1	0	0			124,516	*
73		22	14		-	5	In		No				0		0	10	0	4	42	1	9	19	13	3	0	0			136,836	*
72		22	15		-	4	In		No				0		0	5		2	35	1	6	20	21	9	1	0			146,073	*
71		21	15		-	5	100.0	%	No				0			3		1	27	0	3	17	27	17	4	0	0		152,554	*
70		21	16		-	4	100.0		No				0		0	1		0	19	0	1	12	28	27	10	1	0		154,297	*
69		20	16		-	5	99.8		No							0		0	12	0	1	6	24	34	19	4	0	0	151,748	*
68		20	17		-	4	99.4		No							0		0	7	0	0	3	17	35	29	9	1	0	145,134	*
67		19	17		-	5	98.2		No							0		0	3	0	0	1	10	30	37	17	2	0	135,330	*
66		19	18		-	4	95.6		No							0		0	2		0	0	5	22	40	26	4	0	121,968	*
65		18	18		-	5	91.1		No							0			1		0	0	2	15	38	36	9	0	107,835	*
64		18	19		-	4	83.9		No										0			0	1	8	31	43	15	1	92,128	*
63		17	19		-	5	74.8		No										0			0	0	4	23	47	24	2	77,201	*
62		17	20		-	4	63.5		No										0				0	2	15	46	33	3	62,423	*
61		16	20		-	5	51.8		No										0				0	1	9	42	42	6	49,681	*
60		16	21		-	4	40.1		No														0	0	5	35	50	10	38,331	*
59		15	21		-	5	29.5		No														0	0	3	27	55	15	28,724	*
58		15	22		-	4	21.1		No															0	1	20	57	22	20,607	*
57		14	22		-	5	14.1		No															0	1	13	57	29	14,665	*
56		14	23		-	4	9.6		No																0	9	52	38	10,168	*
55		13	23		-	5	5.7		No																0	6	48	46	6,832	*
54		13	24		-	4	3.1		No																0	3	43	54	4,425	*
53		12	24		-	5	2.0		No																0	2	36	62	2,773	*
52		12	25		-	4	1.0		No																	1	30	69	1,645	*
51		11	25		-	5	0.5		No																	0	22	77	1,050	*
50		11	26		-	4	0.2		No																	0	18	82	602	*
49		10	26		-	5	Out		No																		12	88	338	*
48		10	27		-	4	Out		No																		16	84	169	*
47		10	28		-	3	Out		No																		9	91	80	*
46		9	28		-	4	Out		No																		4	96	50	*
24	-45						Out		No																			100	364	*

Total:							91.4	%	0.0	%	0	0	1	0	2	10	1	4	16	1	3	6	10	12	13	12	7	2	2,311,484

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs