Florida Panthers Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Plays Devils, playoff odds up 0.2 to 99.7%

80 points 38 21-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Panthers 2 Stars 4	-0.2		-0.3		-0.4
Predators 2 Islanders 5			+0.1
Kings 4 Canadiens 3					+0.1

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6			+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames					-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Panthers finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

114	17	0		-	0	In		78.4	%	100																111
113	16	0		-	1	In		66.7		97	3															36
112	16	1		-	0	In		51.5		99	1															194	*
111	15	1		-	1	In		33.8		96	3	0														523	*
110	14	1		-	2	In		24.2		94	6	1														1,590	*
109	14	2		-	1	In		15.4		85	13	2														3,613	*
108	13	2		-	2	In		8.3		76	21	4	0	0												7,926	*
107	13	3		-	1	In		3.6		61	31	8	0	0												14,165	*
106	12	3		-	2	In		1.1		45	40	14	1	0												25,737	*
105	12	4		-	1	In		0.3		28	47	21	3	1	0											38,562	*
104	11	4		-	2	In		0.0		14	48	27	8	3	0											32,912
	12	5		-	0	In		0.1		15	48	27	7	3	0											24,355	*
103	11	5		-	1	In		0.0		7	44	28	15	6	0											41,163
	10	4		-	3	In		0.0		6	41	28	18	7	0											34,044	*
102	10	5		-	2	In		No		2	33	24	28	12	1	0										54,891
	11	6		-	0	In		No		3	36	25	25	10	1											21,236	*
	9	4		-	4	In		No		1	30	23	31	13	1	0										19,590	*
101	10	6		-	1	In		No		1	23	18	38	18	3	0										56,475
	9	5		-	3	In		No		0	21	16	40	19	4	0										53,142	*
100	9	6		-	2	In		No		0	13	9	44	25	9	0										69,056
	10	7		-	0	In		No		0	14	11	44	23	8	0										27,830	*
	8	5		-	4	In		No		0	11	8	45	25	10	0	0									24,510
99	9	7		-	1	In		No		0	7	5	43	28	17	0										61,216
	8	6		-	3	In		No		0	6	4	42	28	20	0										60,541	*
98	8	7		-	2	In		No			3	1	36	27	32	1	0									66,481
	7	6		-	4	In		No			3	1	35	26	35	1										24,471
	9	8		-	0	In		No			4	2	37	28	29	1										26,723	*
97	8	8		-	1	In		No			1	0	27	23	45	3	0									52,139
	7	7		-	3	In		No			1	0	26	21	49	3	0									52,341	*
96	7	8		-	2	In		No			0	0	17	16	60	5	0									50,552
	6	7		-	4	In		No			0	0	17	15	62	6	0									18,871
	8	9		-	0	In		No			1	0	19	17	58	5	0									20,078	*
95	7	9		-	1	In		No			0	0	11	11	68	10	0									34,839
	6	8		-	3	100.0	%	No			0	0	10	9	69	11	0	0								34,972	*
94	6	9		-	2	100.0		No			0		6	5	71	17	1	0								29,721
	7	10		-	0	100.0		No			0		6	5	70	17	1	0								22,395	*
93	6	10		-	1	99.9		No			0		3	3	66	25	3	0								35,828	*
92	5	10		-	2	99.6		No					1	1	56	34	8	0	0							23,532	*
91	5	11		-	1	98.0		No					0	0	43	38	16	2	0							13,961	*
90	4	11		-	2	93.3		No					0	0	29	37	28	6	1	0						8,012	*
89	4	12		-	1	83.6		No					0		18	28	38	14	2	0						4,057	*
88	3	12		-	2	67.2		No							10	17	41	26	6	1						2,075	*
87	3	13		-	1	46.2		No							5	10	32	33	18	2						860	*
86	2	13		-	2	26.9		No							1	3	23	39	27	6	1					338	*
85	2	14		-	1	12.4		No							2	2	9	30	38	18	2					121	*
84	2	15		-	0	6.8		No									7	7	43	32	11					44	*
83	1	15		-	1	Out		No										11	11	78						9
82	0	15		-	2	Out		No												50	50					2
81	0	16		-	1	Out		No											100							1
80	0	17		-	0	Out		No											5	41	34	19				99

Total:						99.7	%	0.2	%	5	15	9	24	15	26	4	1	0	0	0	0	0				1,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Panthers 2 Stars 4	+0.7
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	-0.2

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Red Wings vs Flames	+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Hurricanes vs Wild	+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

114	17	0		-	0	78	22
113	16	0		-	1	67	31	3
112	16	1		-	0	52	47	1
111	15	1		-	1	34	62	3		0
110	14	1		-	2	24	70	6		1
109	14	2		-	1	15	69	13	0	2	0
108	13	2		-	2	8	68	20	1	3	1	0		0
107	13	3		-	1	4	58	28	2	6	2	0		0
106	12	3		-	2	1	44	35	5	9	5	1		0
105	12	4		-	1	0	28	37	10	10	10	3		1		0
104	11	4		-	2	0	15	33	15	10	17	8	0	3		0
103	11	5		-	1	0	7	25	18	8	20	15	0	6		0
	10	4		-	3		6	23	18	8	20	17	0	7		0
102	10	5		-	2		2	15	18	4	20	27	1	12	0	1		0
	11	6		-	0		3	16	20	5	20	24	0	10	0	1
	9	4		-	4		1	12	18	4	19	30	1	13		1		0
101	10	6		-	1		1	7	16	2	16	35	2	18	0	3		0
	9	5		-	3		0	6	14	2	14	37	2	19	0	4		0
100	9	6		-	2		0	3	11	1	9	38	6	24	0	9		0
	10	7		-	0		0	3	11	1	10	39	5	23	0	8		0
	8	5		-	4		0	2	9	0	7	39	6	25	0	10		0		0
99	9	7		-	1		0	1	7	0	5	33	10	27	0	17		0
	8	6		-	3		0	1	6	0	4	32	10	27	1	20		0
98	8	7		-	2			0	3	0	1	22	14	25	1	32		1		0
	7	6		-	4			0	2	0	1	21	14	24	1	35	0	1
	9	8		-	0			0	4	0	2	23	14	26	1	29		1
97	8	8		-	1			0	1	0	0	12	14	20	2	46	0	3		0
	7	7		-	3			0	1	0	0	12	14	19	2	48	0	3	0	0
96	7	8		-	2			0	0		0	5	12	13	3	60	0	5	0	0
	6	7		-	4			0	0		0	5	12	12	3	62	0	6	0	0
	8	9		-	0			0	1		0	6	13	14	3	58	0	5	0	0
95	7	9		-	1				0		0	2	9	7	4	67	1	10	0	0
	6	8		-	3				0		0	2	8	6	3	69	1	11	0	0		0
94	6	9		-	2				0			1	5	3	3	69	2	17	1	1		0
	7	10		-	0				0			1	5	3	3	68	2	17	1	1		0
93	6	10		-	1				0			0	3	1	2	62	5	22	2	3		0
	5	9		-	3				0			0	3	1	2	60	5	24	2	3		0
92	5	10		-	2							0	1	0	1	48	9	28	5	8	0	0	0
91	5	11		-	1								0	0	0	31	12	28	10	16	0	2	0
90	4	11		-	2								0		0	16	13	21	16	27	0	6	1	0
89	4	12		-	1								0			7	10	12	16	36	2	14	2	0
88	3	12		-	2											3	8	4	12	34	7	26	7	1
87	3	13		-	1											1	4	1	9	22	10	33	19	2	0
86	2	13		-	2											0	1		3	11	12	33	29	9	2	1
85	2	14		-	1												2		2	4	5	18	31	27	9	2
84	2	15		-	0																7	2	27	36	23	5
83	1	15		-	1																		22	11	56			11
82	0	15		-	2																				50		50
81	0	16		-	1																				100
80	0	17		-	0																				7	26	29	26	10	1

Total:						0	5	8	7	2	7	18	6	14	1	25	1	4	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0