Toronto Maple Leafs Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Plays Canadiens, playoff odds unchanged at 0.00008%

49 points 20 34-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Maple Leafs finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

83		17	0		-	0	0.9	%	No								1	15	23	39	21	1				108
82		16	0		-	1	Out		No									4	4	30	52	11				27
81		16	1		-	0	Out		No									1	4	23	44	26	3			180	*
80		15	1		-	1	Out		No										1	10	41	41	8			535	*
79		14	1		-	2	Out		No										0	4	29	48	18	1		1,614	*
78		14	2		-	1	Out		No											1	16	50	31	2		3,577	*
77		13	2		-	2	Out		No										0	0	9	41	42	7	0	7,970	*
76		13	3		-	1	Out		No											0	3	30	51	15	1	14,284	*
75		12	3		-	2	Out		No											0	1	19	51	27	2	14,566
		13	4		-	0	Out		No												1	19	51	27	2	10,813	*
74		12	4		-	1	Out		No												0	10	46	39	4	22,303
		11	3		-	3	Out		No												0	10	45	40	4	15,876	*
73		11	4		-	2	Out		No												0	5	36	51	9	32,757
		12	5		-	0	Out		No												0	5	37	49	9	13,862
		10	3		-	4	Out		No												0	4	36	50	9	10,103	*
72		11	5		-	1	Out		No												0	2	25	57	16	41,059
		10	4		-	3	Out		No												0	2	24	58	16	34,110	*
71		10	5		-	2	Out		No													1	15	58	26	54,782
		11	6		-	0	Out		No												0	1	16	58	26	21,126
		9	4		-	4	Out		No													0	14	58	27	19,939	*
70		10	6		-	1	Out		No													0	8	54	37	56,652
		9	5		-	3	Out		No													0	8	54	39	52,905	*
69		9	6		-	2	Out		No													0	4	46	51	68,748
		10	7		-	0	Out		No													0	4	45	51	25,092
		8	5		-	4	Out		No													0	4	45	51	26,778	*
68		9	7		-	1	Out		No													0	2	36	62	61,299
		8	6		-	3	Out		No													0	1	36	62	50,234
		7	5		-	5	Out		No													0	1	37	61	10,090	*
67		8	7		-	2	Out		No													0	1	27	73	66,955
		7	6		-	4	Out		No														0	27	73	24,562
		9	8		-	0	Out		No														1	27	73	26,678	*
66		8	8		-	1	Out		No														0	18	81	52,231
		7	7		-	3	Out		No														0	18	82	52,732	*
65		7	8		-	2	Out		No														0	12	88	51,110
		6	7		-	4	Out		No														0	12	88	18,711
		8	9		-	0	Out		No														0	12	88	20,172	*
64		7	9		-	1	Out		No														0	7	93	34,947
		6	8		-	3	Out		No															8	92	34,652	*
63		6	9		-	2	Out		No														0	4	96	29,722
		7	10		-	0	Out		No														0	4	96	10,902
		5	8		-	4	Out		No															4	96	11,690	*
62		6	10		-	1	Out		No															2	98	18,528
		5	9		-	3	Out		No															2	98	17,358	*
61		5	10		-	2	Out		No															1	99	13,641
		6	11		-	0	Out		No															1	99	10,162	*
60		5	11		-	1	Out		No															1	99	14,004	*
59		4	11		-	2	Out		No															0	100	8,096	*
58		4	12		-	1	Out		No															0	100	4,089	*
57		3	12		-	2	Out		No															0	100	2,044	*
49	-56						Out		No																100	1,565	*

Total:							0.0	%	No								0	0	0	0	0	2	9	32	57	1,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

83		17	0		-	0																1	6	16	25	33	15	5
82		16	0		-	1																		7	7	15	41	22	7
81		16	1		-	0																		2	2	11	27	29	21	7	1
80		15	1		-	1																			0	1	9	25	33	23	6	1
79		14	1		-	2																				0	3	12	27	34	20	4	0
78		14	2		-	1																				0	0	4	15	33	34	13	1
77		13	2		-	2																				0	0	1	6	24	39	25	4	0
76		13	3		-	1																						0	2	11	34	40	12	1	0
75		12	3		-	2																						0	0	4	23	44	25	3	0
		13	4		-	0																							0	4	24	44	25	3	0
74		12	4		-	1																							0	1	12	41	37	8	1
		11	3		-	3																							0	1	12	40	38	9	1
73		11	4		-	2																							0	0	5	30	46	18	2
		12	5		-	0																								0	5	31	45	17	2
		10	3		-	4																								0	4	30	45	18	2
72		11	5		-	1																								0	2	18	46	29	5
		10	4		-	3																								0	1	17	46	30	5
71		10	5		-	2																								0	0	9	39	40	12
		11	6		-	0																								0	0	10	40	39	11
		9	4		-	4																									0	8	38	42	12
70		10	6		-	1																								0	0	4	30	46	20
		9	5		-	3																									0	4	28	47	21
69		9	6		-	2																									0	1	18	47	33
		10	7		-	0																									0	1	19	47	33
		8	5		-	4																									0	1	18	48	34
68		9	7		-	1																										0	11	43	46
		8	6		-	3																									0	0	10	43	47
		7	5		-	5																										0	10	42	47
67		8	7		-	2																										0	5	35	60
		7	6		-	4																										0	5	35	61
		9	8		-	0																										0	5	35	60
66		8	8		-	1																										0	2	26	72
		7	7		-	3																										0	2	25	73
		6	6		-	5																											2	26	72
65		7	8		-	2																										0	1	17	82
		6	7		-	4																											1	17	82
		8	9		-	0																											1	18	82
64		7	9		-	1																											0	11	89
		6	8		-	3																											0	11	89
63		6	9		-	2																											0	6	94
		7	10		-	0																											0	7	93
		5	8		-	4																											0	6	94
62		6	10		-	1																											0	3	97
		5	9		-	3																											0	3	97
61		5	10		-	2																											0	2	98
60		5	11		-	1																												1	99
59		4	11		-	2																												0	100
58		4	12		-	1																												0	100
57		3	12		-	2																												0	100
49	-56																																		100

Total:																						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	7	16	28	46