Los Angeles Kings Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Plays Sharks, playoff odds unchanged at 99.5%

76 points 34 18-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	+0.5		+0.2
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	+0.1		-0.0
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	*+0.1
Flyers 1 Blues 6	-0.1
Bruins 3 Flames 4			-0.1

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6			-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Hurricanes vs Wild	+0.1+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1
Red Wings vs Flames			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Kings finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

110	17	0		-	0	In		44.4	%	47	53															108
109	16	0		-	1	In		33.3		38	62															39
108	16	1		-	0	In		17.2		23	76	1														192	*
107	15	1		-	1	In		4.4		8	89	2	1													541	*
106	14	1		-	2	In		2.0		5	89	4	2													1,575	*
105	14	2		-	1	In		0.6		2	85	7	5	0												3,484	*
104	13	2		-	2	In		0.1		1	79	9	11	0												7,926	*
103	13	3		-	1	In		0.0		0	69	10	21	0												14,434	*
102	12	3		-	2	In		No		0	55	10	34	1												25,346	*
101	12	4		-	1	In		No		0	42	8	49	2												38,393	*
100	11	4		-	2	In		No			28	6	61	5												32,915
	12	5		-	0	In		No			29	6	61	5												24,228	*
99	11	5		-	1	In		No			18	3	68	10	0	0										40,812
	10	4		-	3	In		No			16	3	70	11	0	0										34,419	*
98	10	5		-	2	In		No			10	2	70	18	0	0										54,970
	11	6		-	0	In		No			11	2	70	17	0	0										21,020
	9	4		-	4	In		No			8	1	70	20	0	0										20,009	*
97	10	6		-	1	In		No			5	1	66	28	0	0										56,654
	9	5		-	3	In		No			4	1	65	30	0	0										52,860	*
96	9	6		-	2	In		No			2	0	56	40	1	1										69,411
	10	7		-	0	In		No			2	0	58	38	0	1										25,140
	8	5		-	4	In		No			1	0	54	43	1	2										26,997	*
95	9	7		-	1	In		No			1	0	46	49	1	3										60,887
	8	6		-	3	In		No			1	0	43	52	2	4										60,373	*
94	8	7		-	2	In		No			0	0	32	58	4	7										67,008
	7	6		-	4	In		No			0	0	30	59	4	8										24,870
	9	8		-	0	In		No			0	0	34	56	3	7										26,505	*
93	8	8		-	1	In		No			0	0	22	59	7	12	0									51,984
	7	7		-	3	In		No			0	0	20	59	8	14	0									52,902	*
92	7	8		-	2	In		No			0		12	54	12	21	0									50,743
	6	7		-	4	In		No			0		11	52	14	23	0									18,576
	8	9		-	0	In		No			0		13	54	12	21	0									19,814	*
91	7	9		-	1	100.0	%	No					7	44	17	31	0	0								34,958
	6	8		-	3	100.0		No					6	42	19	33	1	0								34,654	*
90	6	9		-	2	100.0		No					3	30	22	43	2	0								29,710
	7	10		-	0	100.0		No					3	29	22	44	2	0								22,415	*
89	6	10		-	1	99.7		No					1	17	23	52	6	0								35,757	*
88	5	10		-	2	98.5		No					0	8	21	54	15	1	0	0						23,689	*
87	5	11		-	1	94.3		No					0	3	16	48	28	5	0	0						13,946	*
86	4	11		-	2	82.9		No					0	1	11	34	38	15	2	0						7,999	*
85	4	12		-	1	65.5		No						0	6	20	40	26	8	1	0					4,150	*
84	3	12		-	2	39.9		No							3	8	28	37	19	4	0					2,050	*
83	3	13		-	1	21.8		No							1	3	19	36	31	10	2					820	*
82	2	13		-	2	7.2		No								1	6	30	36	22	5					362	*
81	2	14		-	1	1.5		No									1	15	40	34	10					134	*
80	1	14		-	2	Out		No										11	40	34	15					47	*
79	1	15		-	1	Out		No											8	50	42					12	*
78	1	16		-	0	Out		No										50			50					2
77	0	16		-	1	Out		No													100					1
76	0	17		-	0	Out		No												8	83	9				99

Total:						99.5	%	0.0	%	0	8	1	38	34	6	11	1	0	0	0	0	0				1,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	-0.5
Bruins 3 Flames 4	+0.1
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	+0.1

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6	+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames	-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

110	17	0		-	0	44	3	53
109	16	0		-	1	33	5	62
108	16	1		-	0	17	6	73	3	1
107	15	1		-	1	4	4	85	4	2		1
106	14	1		-	2	2	3	82	8	3	0	2
105	14	2		-	1	1	2	68	18	7	1	5		0
104	13	2		-	2	0	1	51	28	7	3	11	0	0
103	13	3		-	1	0	0	32	36	6	4	20	1	0	0
102	12	3		-	2		0	17	38	4	6	31	3	1	0
101	12	4		-	1		0	7	35	2	6	37	11	2	0
100	11	4		-	2			2	26	0	5	36	25	3	2
	12	5		-	0			2	26	0	5	36	25	3	2
99	11	5		-	1			1	18	0	3	28	40	5	5	0		0
	10	4		-	3			1	16	0	3	27	43	5	6	0		0
98	10	5		-	2			0	9	0	2	17	54	6	13	0	0	0
	11	6		-	0			0	11	0	2	18	52	6	11	0	0	0
	9	4		-	4			0	8	0	1	15	55	6	15	0	0	0
97	10	6		-	1			0	5	0	1	9	58	5	23	0	0	0
	9	5		-	3			0	4		1	7	57	5	25	0	0	0
96	9	6		-	2				2		0	3	53	3	37	0	0	1	0
	10	7		-	0			0	2		0	4	54	3	35	0	0	1	0
	8	5		-	4			0	1		0	3	51	3	39	0	0	1	0
95	9	7		-	1				1		0	1	44	2	48	1	1	3	0
	8	6		-	3			0	1		0	1	42	2	50	1	1	3	0
94	8	7		-	2				0		0	0	31	1	57	1	3	6	1
	7	6		-	4				0		0	0	29	1	58	1	3	7	1
	9	8		-	0				0		0	0	34	1	55	1	2	6	1
93	8	8		-	1				0		0	0	22	0	59	1	6	9	3	0
	7	7		-	3				0		0	0	20	0	59	1	7	10	4	0
92	7	8		-	2				0			0	12	0	54	1	12	13	8	0
	6	7		-	4				0				11	0	52	1	13	14	9	0	0
	8	9		-	0				0				13	0	53	1	11	13	8	0	0
91	7	9		-	1								7	0	44	1	17	14	17	0	0	0
	6	8		-	3								6	0	42	1	18	14	19	1	0	0
90	6	9		-	2								3		30	0	22	12	31	2	0	0	0
	7	10		-	0								3		29	0	22	12	32	2	0	0
89	6	10		-	1								1		17	0	23	8	44	4	3	0	0
88	5	10		-	2								0		8	0	21	3	51	6	9	1	0	0	0
87	5	11		-	1								0		3	0	16	1	47	5	22	3	2	1	0	0
86	4	11		-	2								0		1		11	0	34	3	35	6	6	4	1	0	0
85	4	12		-	1										0		6		20	1	38	5	11	12	5	1	0
84	3	12		-	2												3		8	0	28	2	12	21	17	7	1	0
83	3	13		-	1												1		3		19	1	5	20	26	18	6	2	0
82	2	13		-	2														1		6		3	10	25	28	19	6	1
81	2	14		-	1																1			3	11	42	22	17	4
80	1	14		-	2																				6	19	34	23	15	2
79	1	15		-	1																						17	42	42
78	1	16		-	0																						50			50
77	0	16		-	1																								100
76	0	17		-	0																						1	4	29	45	17	3

Total:						0	0	2	6	0	1	8	30	2	32	0	5	5	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0