New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Plays Blue Jackets, playoff odds up 0.004 to 99.998%

88 points 41 18-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Predators 2 Islanders 5	+1.8		+0.3

Friday	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6	+1.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Hurricanes vs Wild			-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

115	-118						In		86.1	%	100																2,605	*
114		12	1		-	2	In		73.9		100	0	0														4,601	*
113		12	2		-	1	In		61.4		100	0	0														9,127	*
112		11	2		-	2	In		49.2		99	0	0														10,257
		12	3		-	0	In		51.9		99	0	0														8,707	*
111		11	3		-	1	In		39.1		98	1	1														20,973
		10	2		-	3	In		36.6		98	1	1														9,806	*
110		10	3		-	2	In		25.6		96	2	2														34,223	*
		11	4		-	0	In		28.8		96	2	2		0												16,336
109		10	4		-	1	In		16.9		92	4	4		0												43,493
		9	3		-	3	In		14.9		91	5	4		0												25,371	*
108		9	4		-	2	In		8.7		84	8	8	0	0												53,237
		10	5		-	0	In		10.4		85	8	7	0	0												26,811
		8	3		-	4	In		7.7		83	9	8	0	0												13,465	*
107		9	5		-	1	In		4.3		73	14	13	0	0												66,374
		8	4		-	3	In		3.4		71	15	14	0	0												43,699	*
106		8	5		-	2	In		1.3		58	20	21	0	1												72,444
		9	6		-	0	In		1.8		60	20	19	0	1												35,605	*
		7	4		-	4	In		1.1		55	22	23	0	1	0											19,001
105		8	6		-	1	In		0.5		43	26	28	1	2												74,707
		7	5		-	3	In		0.3		39	27	30	1	2	0											47,284
		6	4		-	5	In		0.3		38	28	31	1	3												6,781	*
104		7	6		-	2	In		0.1		25	30	37	3	5	0											73,207
		8	7		-	0	In		0.1		28	30	35	2	5	0											33,264
		6	5		-	4	In		0.0		23	30	38	4	5	0											22,010	*
103		7	7		-	1	In		0.0		14	30	40	7	9	0											64,631
		6	6		-	3	In		0.0		12	29	41	8	10	0											41,548
		5	5		-	5	In		0.0		11	30	41	9	10	0											6,175	*
102		6	7		-	2	In		0.0		5	25	38	15	16	0											55,508
		7	8		-	0	In		No		6	26	38	14	15	0											24,912
		5	6		-	4	In		No		4	24	37	17	17	0											16,445	*
101		6	8		-	1	In		No		2	19	30	24	24	1											42,140
		5	7		-	3	In		No		1	17	28	27	25	2											30,916	*
100		5	8		-	2	In		No		0	11	18	33	33	5											31,271
		6	9		-	0	In		No		0	13	20	32	31	4											14,832
		4	7		-	4	In		No		0	10	17	34	33	6											8,864	*
99		5	9		-	1	In		No		0	7	10	35	37	11	0										21,766
		4	8		-	3	In		No		0	6	9	35	37	13											14,296	*
98		4	9		-	2	In		No		0	3	4	33	37	23	0										13,252
		5	10		-	0	In		No		0	3	4	34	37	23	0										10,051	*
97		4	10		-	1	In		No			2	1	27	32	38	0										12,948	*
96		3	10		-	2	In		No			1	0	19	25	55	0										7,075	*
95		3	11		-	1	In		No			0	0	13	15	71	1	0									3,349	*
94		2	11		-	2	In		No			0		8	10	80	2	0									1,609	*
93		2	12		-	1	In		No					4	3	88	3	1									595	*
92		1	12		-	2	99.0	%	No					4	2	81	8	4	1								198	*
91		1	13		-	1	In		No					2		84	13	2									56	*
90		1	14		-	0	92.9		No							86		7	7								14	*
89		0	14		-	1	In		No							100											2
88		0	15		-	0	78.8		No							44	4	30	16	5							99

Total:							100.0	%	6.1	%	43	17	21	8	8	2	0	0	0	0							1,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Predators 2 Islanders 5	-0.5
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Hurricanes vs Wild	+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

118	15	0		-	0	99	1
117	14	0		-	1	96	4
116	14	1		-	0	90	10
115	13	1		-	1	83	17
114	12	1		-	2	74	26	0		0
113	12	2		-	1	61	38	0		0
112	11	2		-	2	50	49	0		0	0
111	11	3		-	1	39	59	1		1	0
	10	2		-	3	37	61	1		1	0
110	10	3		-	2	26	70	2	0	2	0
	11	4		-	0	29	67	2	0	2	0			0
109	10	4		-	1	17	75	4	0	3	0			0
	9	3		-	3	15	76	5	0	4	1			0
108	9	4		-	2	9	75	8	0	6	1	0		0
	10	5		-	0	10	75	8	0	6	1	0		0
	8	3		-	4	8	75	9	0	7	1	0		0
107	9	5		-	1	4	69	13	1	9	3	0		0
	8	4		-	3	3	68	13	1	10	4	0		0
106	8	5		-	2	1	57	17	3	13	8	0		1
	9	6		-	0	2	58	17	3	12	7	0		1
	7	4		-	4	1	54	18	3	14	9	0		1		0
105	8	6		-	1	0	42	20	6	14	15	1	0	2
	7	5		-	3	0	39	21	7	15	15	1		3		0
104	7	6		-	2	0	25	20	10	14	23	3	0	5		0
	8	7		-	0	0	28	20	10	13	22	2	0	5		0
	6	5		-	4	0	23	19	11	14	24	4	0	5		0
103	7	7		-	1	0	14	16	14	11	30	7	0	9		0
	6	6		-	3	0	12	15	14	11	30	8	0	10		0
102	6	7		-	2	0	5	10	15	7	31	15	0	16	0	0
	7	8		-	0		6	11	15	7	31	14	0	15	0	0
	5	6		-	4		4	9	15	6	31	17	1	17	0	0
101	6	8		-	1		2	5	14	3	27	23	1	24	0	1
	5	7		-	3		1	4	13	3	25	25	2	25	0	2
100	5	8		-	2		0	2	10	1	17	28	5	33	0	5
	6	9		-	0		0	2	11	1	19	28	4	30	0	4
	4	7		-	4		0	1	9	1	16	29	5	32	0	6
99	5	9		-	1		0	1	6	0	10	26	9	36	1	11		0
	4	8		-	3		0	0	5	0	9	26	9	36	1	13
98	4	9		-	2		0	0	3	0	4	19	13	35	2	23		0
	5	10		-	0		0	0	3	0	4	20	14	35	2	23		0
97	4	10		-	1			0	1	0	1	12	15	28	4	38	0	0
96	3	10		-	2				1		0	5	14	19	6	55	0	0
95	3	11		-	1				0		0	2	11	8	6	70	1	1	0	0
94	2	11		-	2				0			1	7	4	6	77	3	2	0	0
93	2	12		-	1							0	4	1	2	83	6	3	0	1
92	1	12		-	2								4	1	2	71	10	8		4		1
91	1	13		-	1								2			59	25	13		2
90	1	14		-	0											57	29			7		7
89	0	14		-	1												100
88	0	15		-	0											14	30		4	25	5	16	5

Total:						6	37	11	6	8	13	6	1	8	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0