Calgary Flames Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Plays at Jets, playoff odds up 0.08 to 99.6%

78 points 37 21-4

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	+0.5				+0.2
Flyers 1 Blues 6	-0.1
Panthers 2 Stars 4	-0.1
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	+0.1				-0.0
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	*+0.1
Kings 4 Canadiens 3					-0.1

Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Pres Trophy	100.0*	Average seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6					-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames	-0.4+0.1+0.0+0.3+0.3+0.3		NoNo+0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0		-0.3-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Hurricanes vs Wild	+0.1-0.0-0.0*-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Flames finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

108	15	0		-	0	In		10.6	%	16	84															132
107	14	0		-	1	In		3.1		6	87	5	2													131
106	14	1		-	0	In		1.6		4	91	4	1													618	*
105	13	1		-	1	In		0.4		2	84	7	7													1,605	*
104	12	1		-	2	In		0.1		1	76	9	13	0												4,527	*
103	12	2		-	1	In		No		0	66	10	23	0												9,246	*
102	11	2		-	2	In		No		0	53	10	36	1												18,795	*
101	11	3		-	1	In		No		0	40	8	50	2												20,709
	10	2		-	3	In		No		0	38	8	52	2												9,734	*
100	10	3		-	2	In		No			27	6	63	5		0										28,227
	11	4		-	0	In		No		0	27	6	62	4												21,920	*
99	10	4		-	1	In		No		0	17	4	71	9	0	0										43,561
	9	3		-	3	In		No			16	3	71	10	0	0										25,063	*
98	9	4		-	2	In		No			9	2	73	16	0	0										53,562
	10	5		-	0	In		No			10	2	73	15	0	0										27,386
	8	3		-	4	In		No			9	1	72	18	0	0										13,300	*
97	9	5		-	1	In		No			5	1	69	25	0	0										65,938
	8	4		-	3	In		No			4	1	68	26	0	0										44,198	*
96	8	5		-	2	In		No			2	0	61	36	0	1										72,136
	9	6		-	0	In		No			2	0	62	34	0	1										34,349
	7	4		-	4	In		No			1	0	58	38	1	1										20,317	*
95	8	6		-	1	In		No			1	0	50	45	1	3										75,406
	7	5		-	3	In		No			1	0	47	47	2	3										53,713	*
94	7	6		-	2	In		No			0	0	37	53	3	6	0									73,509
	8	7		-	0	In		No			0	0	39	53	3	5										33,422
	6	5		-	4	In		No			0	0	34	54	4	7										21,705	*
93	7	7		-	1	In		No			0	0	27	56	6	11	0									64,623
	6	6		-	3	In		No			0	0	24	55	8	13	0									47,982	*
92	6	7		-	2	In		No			0	0	16	51	13	20	0									55,308
	7	8		-	0	In		No			0		18	53	11	19	0									25,149
	5	6		-	4	In		No				0	15	49	14	22	0									16,475	*
91	6	8		-	1	In		No			0		10	42	18	30	0									46,729	*
	5	7		-	3	100.0	%	No				0	9	40	20	31	1	0								26,953
90	5	8		-	2	100.0		No					5	28	24	41	2	0								31,133
	6	9		-	0	100.0		No					5	31	23	39	2	0								14,699
	4	7		-	4	100.0		No					4	25	25	42	3	0								8,756	*
89	5	9		-	1	99.8		No					2	17	26	49	6	0								21,532
	4	8		-	3	99.6		No					2	14	26	51	7	0								14,347	*
88	4	9		-	2	98.3		No					1	7	24	51	15	2	0							13,240
	5	10		-	0	98.5		No					1	8	24	51	14	1	0							10,049	*
87	4	10		-	1	94.5		No					0	2	18	45	28	5	0	0						12,930	*
86	3	10		-	2	83.1		No					0	1	12	33	38	15	2	0						7,035	*
85	3	11		-	1	64.9		No						0	7	18	40	28	7	1						3,296	*
84	2	11		-	2	41.6		No							4	7	31	38	18	3	0					1,558	*
83	2	12		-	1	21.7		No							1	2	18	36	32	9	1					539	*
82	2	13		-	0	9.9		No							0	1	9	27	41	20	2					222	*
81	1	13		-	1	1.8		No									2	19	28	49	2					57	*
80	1	14		-	0	Out		No										21	16	37	21	5				19	*
79	0	14		-	1	Out		No												100						1
78	0	15		-	0	Out		No										1	7	38	52	2				99

Total:						99.6	%	0.0	%	0	6	1	41	33	6	11	1	0	0	0	0	0				1,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	-0.5
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	+0.2
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	+0.1

Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blackhawks 3 Oilers 6	+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Red Wings vs Flames	+0.6+0.1+0.1-0.4-0.5-0.5

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

108	15	0		-	0	11	5	84
107	14	0		-	1	3	3	82	5	5		2
106	14	1		-	0	2	3	83	8	4	0	1
105	13	1		-	1	0	1	70	14	6	1	7
104	12	1		-	2	0	1	51	25	7	2	13	0	0
103	12	2		-	1		0	33	33	6	4	23	1	0	0
102	11	2		-	2		0	17	36	4	6	33	3	1	0
101	11	3		-	1		0	8	33	2	6	40	10	2	0
	10	2		-	3		0	7	31	1	6	41	12	2	0
100	10	3		-	2			2	24	1	5	39	23	3	2			0
	11	4		-	0		0	3	25	1	5	40	22	3	1
99	10	4		-	1		0	1	16	0	4	32	39	4	4	0		0
	9	3		-	3			1	15	0	3	30	42	5	5	0		0
98	9	4		-	2			0	9	0	2	19	54	6	11	0		0
	10	5		-	0			0	10	0	2	21	51	5	10	0		0
	8	3		-	4			0	9	0	1	17	55	5	12	0		0
97	9	5		-	1			0	5	0	1	10	59	5	20	0	0	0	0
	8	4		-	3			0	4		1	9	59	5	22	0	0	0	0
96	8	5		-	2			0	2		0	4	56	3	32	0	0	1	0
	9	6		-	0			0	2		0	5	58	4	30	0	0	1	0
	7	4		-	4				1		0	3	55	3	35	0	0	1	0
95	8	6		-	1				1		0	1	49	2	43	1	1	2	0
	7	5		-	3				1		0	1	46	2	45	1	1	3	0
94	7	6		-	2				0		0	0	37	1	52	1	2	5	1	0
	8	7		-	0				0		0	0	39	1	52	1	2	5	1
	6	5		-	4				0		0	0	34	1	54	1	3	6	1
93	7	7		-	1				0		0	0	26	0	56	1	5	9	2	0
	6	6		-	3				0		0	0	24	0	55	1	7	10	3	0
92	6	7		-	2				0		0	0	16	0	51	1	12	13	8	0	0
	7	8		-	0				0			0	18	0	52	1	10	12	7	0
	5	6		-	4						0		15	0	49	1	13	13	9	0
91	6	8		-	1				0				10	0	43	1	17	14	16	0	0
	5	7		-	3						0		9		40	1	19	13	18	1	0	0
90	5	8		-	2								5		28	0	23	12	30	2	0	0
	6	9		-	0								5		31	0	23	11	28	1	0	0
	4	7		-	4								4		25	0	25	11	31	2	1	0
89	5	9		-	1								2		17	0	26	8	42	3	2	0	0
	4	8		-	3								2		14	0	26	7	44	4	3	0	0
88	4	9		-	2								1		7	0	24	3	48	6	9	1	0	0	0
	5	10		-	0								1		8	0	24	3	48	6	9	1	0	0
87	4	10		-	1								0		2	0	18	1	44	5	23	3	2	1	0	0
86	3	10		-	2								0		1		12	0	33	3	35	6	6	4	1	0
85	3	11		-	1										0		7		18	1	39	5	13	11	5	1	0
84	2	11		-	2												4		7		31	3	11	20	16	6	1	0
83	2	12		-	1												1		2		18	1	5	19	27	19	7	1
82	2	13		-	0												0		1		9		2	14	24	28	18	5
81	1	13		-	1																2			2	19	28	37	7	5
80	1	14		-	0																				11	16	26	21	21	5
79	0	14		-	1																							100
78	0	15		-	0																						12	33	35	18	1

Total:						0	0	1	5	0	1	8	33	2	31	0	6	5	6	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0