New Jersey Devils Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Plays at Panthers, playoff odds up 0.8 to 2.4%

61 points 27 29-7

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	+0.2		+0.1
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	-0.2
Flyers 1 Blues 6			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Devils vs Blue Jackets	+1.3+1.1+0.9-0.6-0.6-1.4		+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Senators vs Sabres	*+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Devils finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

95	17	0		-	0	In		No				1	11	12	73	3									106
94	16	0		-	1	In		No					3	5	81	11									37
93	16	1		-	0	99.0	%	No					2	8	73	17	1								197	*
92	15	1		-	1	96.4		No					0	6	60	31	4								506	*
91	14	1		-	2	89.7		No						3	48	39	10	1							1,597	*
90	14	2		-	1	78.7		No					0	1	32	46	18	3	0						3,524	*
89	13	2		-	2	60.5		No						1	17	43	32	7	1						7,855	*
88	13	3		-	1	41.0		No						0	8	33	40	17	3	0					14,436	*
87	12	3		-	2	22.9		No						0	3	20	40	28	8	1					25,221	*
86	12	4		-	1	10.8		No						0	1	10	32	38	17	2	0				22,704
	11	3		-	3	8.8		No						0	1	8	30	39	19	3	0				15,934	*
85	11	4		-	2	3.5		No						0	0	3	19	39	30	8	0				56,773	*
84	11	5		-	1	0.9		No							0	1	10	32	40	17	0				40,832
	10	4		-	3	0.8		No							0	1	8	30	41	19	1				34,385	*
83	10	5		-	2	0.1		No								0	3	20	44	31	2	0			55,292
	11	6		-	0	0.2		No							0	0	4	22	45	27	1	0			21,038
	9	4		-	4	0.2		No								0	3	18	44	34	2	0			19,528	*
82	10	6		-	1	0.0		No								0	1	11	39	44	4	0			56,468
	9	5		-	3	0.0		No								0	1	9	37	48	5	0			52,770	*
81	9	6		-	2	0.0		No								0	0	4	28	57	10	0			69,390
	10	7		-	0	Out		No									0	5	30	55	9	0			25,217
	8	5		-	4	Out		No									0	3	25	59	12	0			26,935	*
80	9	7		-	1	Out		No									0	2	18	61	19	1			60,941
	8	6		-	3	Out		No									0	1	15	62	21	1			60,711	*
79	8	7		-	2	Out		No										0	8	57	32	2	0		69,486	*
	7	6		-	4	Out		No									0	0	7	56	34	3	0		24,937
	9	8		-	0	Out		No									0	0	10	58	29	2	0		23,987
78	8	8		-	1	Out		No										0	4	48	42	6	0		52,207
	7	7		-	3	Out		No										0	3	46	44	7	0		52,573	*
77	7	8		-	2	Out		No										0	1	34	52	13	0	0	50,480
	6	7		-	4	Out		No										0	1	33	53	14	0		18,689
	8	9		-	0	Out		No										0	2	36	51	11	0		20,035	*
76	7	9		-	1	Out		No											0	22	53	23	1	0	40,760	*
	6	8		-	3	Out		No										0	0	21	54	24	1	0	29,116
75	6	9		-	2	Out		No											0	12	49	36	3	0	29,674
	7	10		-	0	Out		No											0	12	49	35	4	0	22,390	*
74	6	10		-	1	Out		No											0	7	39	46	8	0	18,542
	5	9		-	3	Out		No												5	38	48	9	0	17,215	*
73	5	10		-	2	Out		No												2	26	54	17	1	23,690	*
72	5	11		-	1	Out		No												1	15	54	27	3	14,089	*
71	4	11		-	2	Out		No												0	9	44	40	7	8,141	*
70	4	12		-	1	Out		No												0	4	34	49	13	4,001	*
69	3	12		-	2	Out		No												0	1	21	54	23	2,040	*
68	3	13		-	1	Out		No													0	14	53	33	831	*
67	2	13		-	2	Out		No														10	43	47	367	*
66	2	14		-	1	Out		No														7	36	58	121	*
65	2	15		-	0	Out		No														3	33	64	58	*
64	1	15		-	1	Out		No															17	83	12	*
63	1	16		-	0	Out		No																100	3	*
61	0	17		-	0	Out		No															3	97	99

Total:						2.4	%	No				0	0	0	1	2	4	9	18	35	22	8	2	0	1,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	-0.1
Panthers 2 Stars 4	+0.1
Flyers 1 Blues 6	-0.1
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	-0.1
Lightning 5 Maple Leafs 3	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Devils vs Blue Jackets	-0.6-0.6-0.5+0.2+0.2+0.8
Hurricanes vs Wild	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

95	17	0		-	0							1		8	3	12		73		3
94	16	0		-	1									3		5		78	3	11
93	16	1		-	0										2	7	1	68	6	17		1
92	15	1		-	1									0		5	1	54	6	31		4
91	14	1		-	2											3	1	37	11	38	0	10	1
90	14	2		-	1										0	1	0	20	12	45	1	18	3	0
89	13	2		-	2											0	0	8	9	41	2	32	7	1
88	13	3		-	1											0	0	2	6	29	4	39	17	3	0
87	12	3		-	2											0	0	0	2	14	6	39	29	9	1	0
86	12	4		-	1												0	0	1	5	5	28	37	20	4	0	0
85	11	4		-	2													0	0	1	2	14	34	32	14	3	0	0	0
	12	5		-	0												0	0	0	1	2	14	34	31	14	3	0	0
84	11	5		-	1														0	0	1	5	21	34	26	10	2	0	0
	10	4		-	3														0	0	1	4	18	33	28	12	3	0	0
83	10	5		-	2															0	0	1	7	23	33	24	10	2	0	0
	11	6		-	0														0	0	0	1	9	25	33	22	8	1	0	0
	9	4		-	4																0	1	6	21	32	26	12	3	0	0
82	10	6		-	1																0	0	2	10	25	32	22	7	1	0
	9	5		-	3																0	0	1	8	23	32	25	9	1	0
81	9	6		-	2																0	0	0	2	11	27	33	20	5	0	0
	10	7		-	0																	0	0	3	13	28	32	19	5	0	0
	8	5		-	4																		0	2	10	25	33	22	7	1	0
80	9	7		-	1																		0	1	4	15	32	32	14	2	0
	8	6		-	3																		0	0	3	13	30	34	17	3	0
79	8	7		-	2																			0	1	5	20	36	29	8	1	0
	7	6		-	4																			0	0	4	18	36	31	10	1
	9	8		-	0																			0	1	6	21	37	27	8	1
78	8	8		-	1																			0	0	1	9	29	39	19	3	0
	7	7		-	3																			0	0	1	8	28	39	21	3	0	0
77	7	8		-	2																			0	0	0	2	16	39	34	8	0	0
	6	7		-	4																					0	2	14	38	36	9	0	0
	8	9		-	0																				0	0	3	18	40	32	7	0	0
76	7	9		-	1																					0	1	7	30	43	17	2	0
	6	8		-	3																					0	0	6	28	44	19	2	0
75	6	9		-	2																						0	2	17	44	31	6	0
	7	10		-	0																						0	2	17	43	31	6	0	0
74	6	10		-	1																						0	1	8	34	42	13	1	0
	5	9		-	3																						0	1	7	33	43	15	2	0
73	5	10		-	2																							0	3	21	46	25	5	0
72	5	11		-	1																							0	1	11	40	37	11	1
71	4	11		-	2																								0	5	28	42	21	3
70	4	12		-	1																								0	2	17	40	34	7
69	3	12		-	2																								0	0	8	34	44	14
68	3	13		-	1																										3	24	48	25
67	2	13		-	2																										2	13	48	37
66	2	14		-	1																											10	38	52
65	2	15		-	0																											5	38	57
64	1	15		-	1																												17	83
63	1	16		-	0																													100
61	0	17		-	0																												4	96

Total:												0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	6	7	9	10	12	14	14	11	6	2	1	0