Arizona Coyotes Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.3 to 90.8%

72 points 31 20-10

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	+5.4		+0.3
Flyers 1 Blues 6	-0.7
Panthers 2 Stars 4	-0.3
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	*+0.2
Bruins 3 Flames 4			-0.1
Kings 4 Canadiens 3			-0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Hurricanes vs Wild	+0.9+0.3+0.2-0.4-0.8-0.7
Red Wings vs Flames			+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

104	16	0		-	0	In		0.8	%	2	70	15	12													123
103	15	0		-	1	In		No			51	13	36													84
102	15	1		-	0	In		No			42	17	39	1												379	*
101	14	1		-	1	In		No		0	30	10	55	5		0										988	*
100	13	1		-	2	In		No			19	6	64	11		1										2,807	*
99	13	2		-	1	In		No			11	4	64	20	0	1										5,710	*
98	12	2		-	2	In		No			5	2	60	30	0	3										12,320	*
97	12	3		-	1	In		No			2	1	49	41	0	7										21,174	*
96	11	3		-	2	In		No			1	0	35	48	1	15										20,543
	12	4		-	0	In		No			1	0	35	48	1	15										15,463	*
95	11	4		-	1	In		No			0	0	23	50	2	24										33,860	*
	10	3		-	3	In		No			0	0	22	50	2	26	0									18,490
94	10	4		-	2	In		No			0	0	13	44	4	38	0									42,745
	11	5		-	0	In		No			0	0	14	45	4	38	0									31,712	*
93	10	5		-	1	In		No			0		7	35	6	51	0									57,575	*
	9	4		-	3	In		No			0	0	7	35	6	53	0									34,632
92	9	5		-	2	100.0	%	No			0		3	24	8	65	0	0								64,608
	10	6		-	0	100.0		No					3	25	8	63	0	0								27,577
	8	4		-	4	In		No					3	23	8	67	0									20,509	*
91	9	6		-	1	100.0		No					1	14	8	75	1	0								66,594
	8	5		-	3	100.0		No					1	13	8	76	2	0								55,145	*
90	8	6		-	2	99.9		No					0	7	7	81	5	0								73,332
	9	7		-	0	99.9		No					1	8	7	81	4	0								29,656
	7	5		-	4	99.9		No					0	6	7	82	5	0								25,620	*
89	8	7		-	1	99.5		No					0	3	5	81	11	0	0							64,879
	7	6		-	3	99.5		No					0	2	5	81	11	1	0							55,329	*
88	7	7		-	2	97.6		No					0	1	3	72	22	2	0	0						63,052
	8	8		-	0	98.0		No					0	1	3	73	21	2	0							25,148
	6	6		-	4	97.4		No					0	1	3	71	23	3	0							22,054	*
87	7	8		-	1	93.1		No					0	0	2	58	33	6	0	0						48,582
	6	7		-	3	92.1		No					0	0	2	56	35	7	1	0						42,063	*
86	6	8		-	2	81.0		No						0	1	38	43	16	2	0						41,680
	7	9		-	0	82.7		No					0	0	1	39	43	15	2	0						16,880
	5	7		-	4	79.8		No						0	1	36	43	17	3	0						14,374	*
85	6	9		-	1	64.0		No						0	0	21	43	28	7	1	0					28,656
	5	8		-	3	60.7		No							0	19	41	30	8	1	0					23,765	*
84	5	9		-	2	40.7		No						0	0	9	32	38	18	4	0					21,317
	6	10		-	0	41.4		No							0	9	32	37	18	3	0					15,616	*
83	5	10		-	1	22.1		No							0	3	19	37	30	10	1					22,940	*
82	4	10		-	2	9.1		No							0	1	8	28	38	21	4					13,901	*
81	4	11		-	1	3.3		No								0	3	16	37	34	10	0				7,306	*
80	3	11		-	2	1.0		No								0	1	7	28	41	22	0				3,819	*
79	3	12		-	1	0.2		No									0	3	17	42	37	0				1,739	*
78	2	12		-	2	Out		No										1	9	38	50	2				708	*
77	2	13		-	1	Out		No											4	21	70	6				257	*
76	2	14		-	0	Out		No												22	71	7				90	*
75	1	14		-	1	Out		No												13	75	13				32	*
74	1	15		-	0	Out		No													50	50				6	*
73	0	15		-	1	Out		No														100				1
72	0	16		-	0	Out		No													42	58				100

Total:						90.8	%	0.0	%	0	0	0	6	15	4	53	12	5	2	1	0	0				1,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	-0.7
Kings 4 Canadiens 3	+0.1
Bruins 3 Flames 4	+0.1
Flyers 1 Blues 6	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Red Wings vs Flames	-0.1-0.0*+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

104	16	0		-	0	1	2	50	20	15	1	12
103	15	0		-	1			33	18	7	6	32	4
102	15	1		-	0			15	27	9	8	36	3	1
101	14	1		-	1		0	5	26	2	8	44	11	4	1			0
100	13	1		-	2			2	17	1	6	39	25	7	3			1
99	13	2		-	1			0	11	0	4	27	38	10	10	0		1
98	12	2		-	2			0	5		2	14	46	9	21	0	0	3	0
97	12	3		-	1				2		1	6	43	7	34	0	0	7	0
96	11	3		-	2			0	1		0	2	33	4	45	1	0	14	1
	12	4		-	0				1		0	2	34	4	44	1	0	14	1
95	11	4		-	1				0		0	0	23	1	49	1	1	23	2
	10	3		-	3				0		0	0	22	1	48	1	1	24	2	0
94	10	4		-	2				0		0	0	13	0	44	1	3	32	7	0
	11	5		-	0				0		0	0	14	0	44	1	3	31	7	0
93	10	5		-	1				0			0	7	0	35	1	5	37	15	0
	9	4		-	3				0		0	0	7	0	34	1	5	36	17	0	0
92	9	5		-	2				0			0	3	0	24	0	7	36	29	0	0	0
	10	6		-	0								3	0	25	0	7	37	27	0	0	0
	8	4		-	4								3	0	23	1	7	34	33	0	0
91	9	6		-	1								1		14	0	8	29	46	1	0	0
	8	5		-	3								1	0	13	0	8	28	49	1	0	0
90	8	6		-	2								0		7	0	7	18	63	3	1	0	0	0
	9	7		-	0								1		8	0	7	20	60	3	1	0
	7	5		-	4								0		6	0	7	16	66	3	2	0	0
89	8	7		-	1								0		3	0	5	9	71	6	5	0	0	0
	7	6		-	3								0		2	0	5	8	73	6	6	0	0	0
88	7	7		-	2								0		1	0	3	3	69	7	15	2	1	0	0
	8	8		-	0								0		1	0	3	4	69	7	14	1	0	0	0
	6	6		-	4								0		1		3	2	69	6	17	2	1	0	0
87	7	8		-	1								0		0		2	1	57	5	29	4	2	1	0	0
	6	7		-	3								0		0	0	2	1	55	5	30	4	3	1	0	0
86	6	8		-	2										0		1	0	38	2	40	5	7	5	2	0	0
	7	9		-	0								0		0		1	0	39	3	40	5	7	4	1	0	0
	5	7		-	4										0		1	0	36	2	41	5	8	5	2	0	0	0
85	6	9		-	1										0		0	0	21	1	42	4	11	13	7	2	0
	5	8		-	3												0	0	19	1	41	4	11	14	8	2	0	0
84	5	9		-	2										0		0		9	0	32	2	10	20	19	8	2	0
	6	10		-	0												0		9	0	32	2	9	19	18	8	2	0	0
83	5	10		-	1												0		3	0	19	1	5	16	27	20	7	1	0	0
82	4	10		-	2												0		1		8	0	1	8	24	30	20	7	1	0
81	4	11		-	1														0		3	0	0	3	12	27	32	18	5	0
80	3	11		-	2														0		1		0	0	4	15	31	32	15	2	0
79	3	12		-	1																0				1	6	20	34	30	8	1	0
78	2	12		-	2																				0	1	10	27	40	19	4
77	2	13		-	1																						3	12	42	33	9	1
76	2	14		-	0																							8	38	33	18	3
75	1	14		-	1																							3	13	50	31	3
74	1	15		-	0																								17	33	17	17	17
73	0	15		-	1																										100
72	0	16		-	0																									11	25	49	14	1

Total:						0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0	14	0	4	16	37	2	10	1	2	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0