Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Boston Bruins Playoff Chances 2014-2015 50/50

Plays at Lightning, playoff odds up 10.6 to 20.8%

69 points 30 27-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	-5.7		-0.4
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	-1.1		-0.0
Flyers 1 Blues 6			+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Senators vs Sabres	+0.3-1.2-1.3-1.6-1.3+0.6
Devils vs Blue Jackets	+0.8-0.0+0.0-0.8-1.0-0.6		+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bruins finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance in		Pres	Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	playoffs		Trophy	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

97	14	0		-	0	In		No		2	1	34	25	21	17										157
96	13	0		-	1	In		No		1	0	18	23	25	31	0									220
95	13	1		-	0	In		No			0	10	11	33	43	3									1,155	*
94	12	1		-	1	99.9	%	No		0		3	5	28	58	6	0								2,811	*
93	12	2		-	0	99.4		No				1	1	18	64	14	1	0							7,503	*
92	11	2		-	1	97.5		No				0	0	10	61	25	2	0							14,618	*
91	10	2		-	2	91.9		No				0	0	4	51	37	8	0							14,953
	11	3		-	0	93.0		No				0	0	5	52	35	7	0							13,312	*
90	10	3		-	1	83.8		No				0	0	2	37	45	15	2	0						31,056
	9	2		-	3	81.9		No						2	34	46	17	2	0						12,974	*
89	9	3		-	2	67.6		No						1	22	45	27	5	0						38,130	*
	10	4		-	0	70.4		No				0		1	23	46	25	5	0						23,718
	8	2		-	4	64.3		No				0		0	20	44	29	6	0						6,611
88	9	4		-	1	50.3		No						0	11	39	37	12	1	0					58,232
	8	3		-	3	47.5		No						0	10	37	39	13	1	0					30,259	*
87	8	4		-	2	31.0		No						0	5	26	43	23	3	0					64,103
	9	5		-	0	32.6		No						0	5	27	43	21	3	0					36,040
	7	3		-	4	28.6		No						0	4	24	43	24	4	0					14,234	*
86	8	5		-	1	16.6		No						0	2	15	40	35	8	0					78,889
	7	4		-	3	15.2		No						0	1	14	40	36	9	0					46,094	*
85	7	5		-	2	7.0		No							0	7	30	44	18	1	0				77,364
	8	6		-	0	7.6		No							0	7	31	43	17	1	0				41,103
	6	4		-	4	6.3		No							0	6	29	44	19	1	0				18,888	*
84	7	6		-	1	2.6		No						0	0	2	19	45	30	3	0				79,843
	6	5		-	3	2.2		No							0	2	17	45	31	4	0				43,565
	5	4		-	5	1.9		No							0	2	17	45	32	5	0				5,511	*
83	6	6		-	2	0.6		No							0	1	9	38	43	9	0	0			68,005
	7	7		-	0	0.7		No							0	1	10	39	42	8	0				35,378
	5	5		-	4	0.5		No								1	8	37	45	10	0				17,138	*
82	6	7		-	1	0.1		No								0	4	27	51	17	1	0			60,711
	5	6		-	3	0.1		No								0	3	26	51	19	1	0			37,056	*
81	5	7		-	2	0.0		No								0	1	16	50	29	4	0			44,046
	6	8		-	0	0.0		No								0	1	17	51	28	3	0			23,372
	4	6		-	4	Out		No									1	14	49	30	5	0			10,885	*
80	5	8		-	1	Out		No									0	8	43	40	9	0			36,697	*
	4	7		-	3	Out		No									0	7	41	41	10	0	0		18,162
79	4	8		-	2	Out		No									0	3	30	47	19	1	0		20,947
	5	9		-	0	Out		No									0	3	31	47	18	1			16,465	*
78	4	9		-	1	Out		No									0	1	19	47	29	4	0		14,489
	3	8		-	3	Out		No									0	1	16	47	31	4	0		7,532	*
77	3	9		-	2	Out		No										0	9	39	42	10	0		6,978
	4	10		-	0	Out		No										0	10	41	40	9	0		5,792	*
76	3	10		-	1	Out		No										0	4	27	48	21	1		6,047	*
75	2	10		-	2	Out		No											1	17	46	33	3	0	3,033	*
74	2	11		-	1	Out		No											0	8	39	47	6	0	1,159	*
73	2	12		-	0	Out		No												3	25	58	14	0	448	*
72	1	12		-	1	Out		No												1	18	54	26	1	116	*
71	1	13		-	0	Out		No													5	62	30	3	37	*
70	0	13		-	1	Out		No													20	40	20	20	5
69	0	14		-	0	Out		No													2	32	43	22	99

Total:						20.8	%	No		0	0	0	0	1	7	14	20	25	22	10	3	0	0	0	1,195,940

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Bruins 3 Flames 4	+0.8
Capitals 2 Wild 1 (so)	+0.0
Coyotes 3 Canucks 1	-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Devils vs Blue Jackets	-0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.0
Hurricanes vs Wild	-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0
Senators vs Sabres	-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

						100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:						Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

97	14	0		-	0				2		1	21	13	24	1	21		17
96	13	0		-	1				1		0	8	10	19	5	25		31		0
95	13	1		-	0						0	2	8	8	3	33	0	43	0	3
94	12	1		-	1				0			0	3	3	2	28	0	56	2	6		0
93	12	2		-	0							0	1	1	1	17	1	59	4	14		1	0
92	11	2		-	1							0	0	0	0	9	1	53	8	25	0	2	0
91	10	2		-	2								0		0	3	1	38	13	37	0	8	0
	11	3		-	0								0	0	0	5	1	40	13	35	0	6	0
90	10	3		-	1								0	0	0	1	1	22	14	45	0	15	2	0
	9	2		-	3											1	1	21	13	46	0	17	2	0
89	9	3		-	2											0	0	10	12	44	2	27	5	0
	10	4		-	0								0			0	1	10	13	45	2	25	5	0
	8	2		-	4								0			0	0	9	11	42	2	29	6	0
88	9	4		-	1											0	0	3	8	35	4	37	12	1	0
	8	3		-	3											0	0	3	7	33	4	38	13	1	0
87	8	4		-	2											0	0	1	4	20	7	42	23	4	0	0
	9	5		-	0											0	0	1	4	21	6	42	22	4	0	0
	7	3		-	4												0	1	4	18	6	42	25	5	0
86	8	5		-	1											0	0	0	1	8	7	36	35	11	1	0
	7	4		-	3											0	0	0	1	7	7	36	36	12	1	0	0
85	7	5		-	2													0	0	2	5	23	40	24	5	1	0	0
	8	6		-	0													0	0	2	5	24	40	22	5	1	0	0
	6	4		-	4													0	0	2	4	21	40	25	6	1	0	0
84	7	6		-	1												0		0	0	2	10	33	35	15	4	0	0
	6	5		-	3														0	0	2	9	31	35	17	5	1	0
	5	4		-	5														0	0	2	9	30	35	18	6	1	0
83	6	6		-	2														0	0	1	3	17	33	29	14	3	0	0
	7	7		-	0														0	0	1	3	18	34	28	12	3	0	0
	5	5		-	4															0	0	2	15	31	30	16	4	1	0
82	6	7		-	1															0	0	1	6	21	32	26	11	3	0	0
	5	6		-	3																0	0	5	19	31	27	13	3	0	0
81	5	7		-	2																0	0	1	8	22	32	25	10	2	0
	6	8		-	0																0	0	1	9	24	32	24	9	1	0
	4	6		-	4																	0	1	7	20	32	26	11	2	0
80	5	8		-	1																	0	0	2	10	25	33	21	7	1	0
	4	7		-	3																		0	2	9	24	33	23	8	1	0
79	4	8		-	2																		0	0	3	12	29	33	18	4	0	0
	5	9		-	0																		0	0	3	13	30	33	17	4	0
78	4	9		-	1																			0	1	5	17	35	30	11	1	0
	3	8		-	3																			0	1	4	17	33	31	13	2	0
77	3	9		-	2																			0	0	1	6	23	38	26	6	0
	4	10		-	0																				0	1	8	24	38	24	5	0
76	3	10		-	1																				0	0	2	11	32	39	15	1
75	2	10		-	2																						0	4	22	43	27	4	0
74	2	11		-	1																						0	1	11	36	40	11	1	0
73	2	12		-	0																								4	21	48	25	3
72	1	12		-	1																								1	12	38	39	10
71	1	13		-	0																									3	38	49	8	3
70	0	13		-	1																										20	40	20	20
69	0	14		-	0																										11	40	32	16

Total:									0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	4	3	11	3	17	18	14	10	8	6	4	2	1	0	0	0	0