Watford Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50Tied Burnley 1-1, title odds down 0.002 to 0% 25 points 6-7-11 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 1/31 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | Average seed | Arsenal 4 Watford 0 | No | | -0.0 | | +4.2 | | -0.7 | | Burnley 1 Leicester City 3 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | West Ham 1 Manchester City 2 | | | | | | | +0.1 | | Manchester United 2 Hull City 0 | | | | | -0.7 | | | | Swansea City 3 Southampton 1 | | | | | +0.6 | | | | Sunderland 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | Bournemouth 3 Crystal Palace 1 | | | | | -0.6 | | | | Middlesbrough 1 West Brom 2 | | | | | -0.5 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 2/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | Average seed | Manchester United vs Watford | | | | | +4.5+0.5-4.9 | | -0.7-0.2+0.9 | | Stoke City vs Crystal Palace | | | | | -0.7-0.2+0.9 | | | | Middlesbrough vs Everton | | | | | +0.9-0.2-0.7 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Arsenal vs Hull City | | | | | -0.7-0.2+0.9 | | | | Sunderland vs Southampton | | | | | +0.8-0.2-0.6 | | | | Swansea City vs Leicester City | | | | | +0.4-0.1-0.3 | | | | Burnley vs Chelsea | | | | | +0.2*+0.0-0.2 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Bournemouth vs Manchester City | | | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | West Ham vs West Brom | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Championship | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 0 | No | 46.8 | % | | 3 | 9 | 35 | 41 | 11 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 539 | | 65 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 20.0 | | | | | 20 | 45 | 30 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20 | | 64 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 2.8 | | | | 3 | | 42 | 47 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 36 | | 63 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 3.4 | | | | | 3 | 16 | 44 | 32 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 118 | | 62 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 2.3 | | | | | 2 | 6 | 41 | 39 | 10 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 350 | | 61 | | 11 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 0.5 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 30 | 45 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 651 | * | 60 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 31 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,524 | | 59 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 10 | 43 | 41 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,855 | * | 58 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 5 | 34 | 50 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,508 | * | 57 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 55 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,379 | * | 56 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | No | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 52 | 29 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,765 | * | 55 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 45 | 38 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 28,176 | * | 54 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 35 | 45 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 43,507 | * | 53 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 23 | 46 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 63,500 | * | 52 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 41 | 34 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 91,353 | * | 51 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 31 | 39 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | No | 124,700 | * | 50 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 38 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 162,085 | * | 49 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 35 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 205,770 | * | 48 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 134,092 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 112,749 | * | 47 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 286,005 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 200,148 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 119,808 | * | 45 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 200,401 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | No | 142,110 | * | 44 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 245,231 | | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 107,449 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 33 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 207,416 | * | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 143,675 | * | 42 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 37 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 0.6 | | 200,663 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 0.7 | | 131,717 | * | 41 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | | 204,488 | | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 | | 97,800 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9.1 | | 143,778 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 37 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 | | 120,777 | * | 39 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 19.5 | | 219,703 | * | 38 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 35.9 | | 174,261 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 36 | 17 | 2 | 55.2 | | 132,308 | * | 36 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 39 | 28 | 6 | 73.1 | | 93,880 | * | 35 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 35 | 38 | 13 | 86.0 | | 63,925 | * | 34 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 45 | 23 | 93.8 | | 40,899 | * | 33 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 45 | 36 | 97.7 | | 24,236 | * | 32 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 39 | 51 | 99.2 | | 13,616 | * | 31 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 32 | 64 | 99.9 | | 6,894 | * | 30 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 22 | 76 | 100.0 | | 3,189 | * | 29 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 14 | 85 | Yes | 1,252 | * | 28 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 91 | Yes | 489 | * | 27 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | 157 | | 26 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | 89 | Yes | 27 | | 25 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 541 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | No | 0.0 | % | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 9.8 | % | 4,331,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |