How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/31100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 4 Watford 0 No
+1.6
-0.3
Swansea City 3 Southampton 1 +1.1
Bournemouth 3 Crystal Palace 1 -0.6
Burnley 1 Leicester City 3 +0.4
Middlesbrough 1 West Brom 2 -0.4
+0.0
Manchester United 2 Hull City 0 -0.3
+0.0
Sunderland 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -0.2
West Ham 1 Manchester City 2 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/11100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Manchester United vs WatfordNo*No+0.0
+2.2-1.2-5.3
-0.3+0.1+1.0
Stoke City vs Crystal Palace-1.0-0.3+1.4
Middlesbrough vs Everton+1.2+0.1-0.5
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Arsenal vs Hull City-0.2+0.2+1.3
+0.0-0.0-0.1
Sunderland vs Southampton+1.0-0.1-0.5
Swansea City vs Leicester City+0.8-0.0-0.5
Burnley vs Chelsea+0.1*+0.0-0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.0
Bournemouth vs Manchester City-0.1-0.0+0.0
West Ham vs West Brom-0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Watford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
6714-0-0No1.7%21752273No1,574
6513-1-0NoNo5050No2
6413-0-1NoNo100No1
6312-2-0NoNo5050No2
6212-1-1NoNo14292929No7
6111-3-0NoNo2179No14*
6011-2-1NoNo432622No47
5911-1-2NoNo1256410No143*
5810-3-1NoNo1187012No367*
5710-2-2NoNo0868241No853*
569-4-1NoNo461342No1,798*
559-3-2NoNo2544130No3,921*
549-2-3NoNo14350600No7,908*
538-4-2NoNo032551210No14,833*
528-3-3NoNo021572020No27,136*
518-2-4NoNo0135229500No47,382*
507-4-3NoNo07443711100No77,676*
497-3-4NoNo03314319400No125,466*
486-5-3NoNo1194029910No188,977*
476-4-4NoNo010323617400No275,510*
466-3-5NoNo042137279100No386,946*
455-5-4NoNo0111303518400No516,397*
445-4-5NoNo0041935291110No658,426*
435-3-6NoNo019273621500No528,508*
4-6-4NoNo00110293620400No282,609
424-5-5NoNo0041735321110No604,492*
5-2-7NoNo003153433131000.0%343,100
414-4-6NoNo00172639234000.0728,441
3-7-4NoNo00182639234000.0330,288*
404-3-7NoNo00214363611100.0663,429
3-6-5NoNo00316373410100.0470,369*
393-5-6NoNo00162743203000.1670,254
4-2-8NoNo0162643213000.1475,652*
383-4-7NoNo0021541338100.6756,769
2-7-5NoNo0021541328100.6349,315*
373-3-8NoNo0063142182002.5594,621
2-6-6NoNo007334116202.1422,109*
362-5-7NoNo0022042296006.5509,010
3-2-9NoNo0021942297007.1369,245*
352-4-8NoNo01103539142015.9716,573*
342-3-9NoNo0042343255030.2551,836*
331-5-8NoNo0112383711148.6393,977*
321-4-9NoNo005274321367.4260,240*
311-3-10NoNo02164234782.6159,044*
301-2-11NoNo00733441592.587,747*
290-4-10NoNo0221492897.542,483*
280-3-11NoNo0111454399.418,049*
270-2-12NoNo04356199.96,222
260-1-13NoNo22474Yes1,452
250-0-14NoNo01188Yes1,740
Total:No0.0%00000246912151816115208.1%12,672,960

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship