How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 1/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 4 Watford 0 -0.7
Sunderland 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 -0.9
West Ham 1 Manchester City 2 -0.8
Manchester United 2 Hull City 0 -0.7
-0.1
Middlesbrough 1 West Brom 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 2/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough vs Everton-0.3-0.1+0.4
-3.9-1.6+5.2
-0.4-0.1+0.4
Burnley vs Chelsea+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.4*-0.0-0.4
Arsenal vs Hull City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.7+0.1+0.6
Bournemouth vs Manchester City+0.9+0.2-1.0
Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.3+0.3*-0.0
Manchester United vs Watford-0.7+0.1+0.5
-0.1+0.0+0.1
West Ham vs West Brom+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Everton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
8414-0-098.9%Yes991No540
8213-1-095.5Yes955No22
8113-0-192.9Yes937No28
8012-2-095.0Yes9541No139
7912-1-182.1Yes8218No319
7811-3-076.1Yes76222No619*
7711-2-164.2Yes643050No1,590
7611-1-253.4100.0%5337910No2,918*
7510-3-141.099.941431520No5,587*
7410-2-227.799.5284423500No10,526*
739-4-117.698.71839311110No16,866*
729-3-28.896.1932371840No27,769*
719-2-34.190.74213827810No44,010*
708-4-21.581.021232351630No63,425*
698-3-30.566.90623382670No91,199*
688-2-40.149.8021434351410No124,661*
677-4-30.033.001726402330No162,023*
667-3-40.018.800316393480No205,326*
656-5-3No9.80193343140No133,643
7-2-5No8.50183144160No112,852*
646-4-4No3.900423482510No285,333*
636-3-5No1.300113463720No200,337
5-6-3No1.500115473510No119,534*
625-5-4No0.4008414830No201,275
6-2-6No0.3007394940No142,620*
615-4-5No0.10033158700No246,597
4-7-3No0.1003325870No108,003*
605-3-6No0.00121641400No200,713
4-6-4No0.00123631200No149,986*
594-5-5No0.00014642010No200,281
5-2-7No0.00013642110No131,184*
584-4-6NoNo086030200No205,363
3-7-4NoNo086129200No97,427*
574-3-7NoNo045140600No155,100*
3-6-5No0.00045238500No108,753
563-5-6NoNo0240471110No219,387*
553-4-7NoNo1285019200No173,840*
543-3-8NoNo0174728610No132,210*
532-5-7NoNo09393613200No94,227*
522-4-8NoNo042740226100No64,079*
512-3-9NoNo0116363113300No40,902*
501-5-8NoNo072535238100No24,152*
491-4-9NoNo0214313117410No13,438*
481-3-10NoNo151933281230No7,038*
471-2-11NoNo029253322810No3,279*
460-4-10NoNo031527301950No1,262*
450-3-11NoNo141633271540No451*
440-2-12NoNo1825332671No117
430-1-13NoNo3313828No29
420-0-14NoNo315323413303.0%541
Total:0.4%9.5%013511223615521000000000.0%4,331,520

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship