Chelsea Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50Lost to Arsenal 1-3, title odds down 33.4 to 36.7% 55 points 18-1-5 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 1/31 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Average seed | Arsenal 4 Watford 0 | -3.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | Sunderland 0 Tottenham Hotspur 2 | -2.5 | | -0.2 | | | | West Ham 1 Manchester City 2 | -1.1 | | -0.2 | | | | Manchester United 2 Hull City 0 | -0.5 | | -0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 2/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | UEFA CL | 100.0* | Average seed | Burnley vs Chelsea | -8.7-2.4+10.7 | | -4.5-0.5+4.9 | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | Arsenal vs Hull City | -3.9+1.0+3.1 | | -0.8+0.1+0.7 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Liverpool vs Tottenham Hotspur | -0.1+1.7-1.3 | | -0.2+0.2*+0.1 | | | | Bournemouth vs Manchester City | +1.0+0.4-1.3 | | +1.0+0.3-1.3 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Manchester United vs Watford | -0.3+0.2+0.2 | | -1.0+0.3+0.7 | | | | Middlesbrough vs Everton | | | +0.4+0.2-0.5 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chelsea finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | UEFA CL | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Championship | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 91 | -97 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,633 | * | 90 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 99.9 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,612 | | 89 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,891 | * | 88 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,628 | * | 87 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,526 | * | 86 | | 9 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,783 | * | 85 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,159 | * | 84 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 98.5 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,535 | * | 83 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 97.2 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,612 | * | 82 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 95.3 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 91,650 | * | 81 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 92.0 | | Yes | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 65,320 | | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 92.6 | | Yes | 93 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,879 | * | 80 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 88.3 | | Yes | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 162,078 | * | 79 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 81.9 | | Yes | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 142,675 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 82.6 | | Yes | 83 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,848 | * | 78 | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 74.4 | | 100.0 | % | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 134,062 | | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 73.5 | | 100.0 | | 74 | 24 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 112,794 | * | 77 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 64.2 | | 100.0 | | 64 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 204,634 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 64.4 | | 100.0 | | 64 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 81,227 | * | 76 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 52.3 | | 100.0 | | 52 | 39 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,967 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 53.9 | | 100.0 | | 54 | 38 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,508 | * | 75 | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 41.1 | | 100.0 | | 41 | 44 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,405 | | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 40.3 | | 99.9 | | 40 | 44 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 142,352 | * | 74 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 28.8 | | 99.8 | | 29 | 46 | 22 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 287,705 | * | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 30.5 | | 99.8 | | 30 | 46 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 64,595 | * | 73 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 6 | 18.2 | | 99.3 | | 18 | 43 | 30 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,884 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 19.4 | | 99.4 | | 19 | 44 | 29 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 149,926 | * | 72 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 10.9 | | 98.1 | | 11 | 36 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 200,462 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 7 | 10.5 | | 97.9 | | 10 | 36 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 131,615 | * | 71 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 5.2 | | 94.9 | | 5 | 26 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 237,349 | * | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 6.0 | | 95.8 | | 6 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 65,850 | * | 70 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 7 | 2.1 | | 88.3 | | 2 | 16 | 37 | 33 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 143,221 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 2.5 | | 89.7 | | 3 | 18 | 38 | 31 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,926 | * | 69 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 0.9 | | 79.2 | | 1 | 9 | 31 | 38 | 18 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 133,568 | | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 8 | 0.8 | | 77.9 | | 1 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 85,400 | * | 68 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.2 | | 64.5 | | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 29 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 174,275 | * | 67 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 8 | 0.0 | | 46.2 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,783 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 49.2 | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 37 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,375 | * | 66 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 31.2 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 43 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 94,058 | * | 65 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | 17.7 | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 34 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 64,315 | * | 64 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | 8.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 44 | 14 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 40,892 | * | 63 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 3.6 | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 48 | 24 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,379 | * | 62 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | 1.3 | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 45 | 35 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,602 | * | 61 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 7 | 39 | 45 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,822 | * | 60 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 29 | 53 | 14 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,225 | * | 59 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | 1 | 18 | 56 | 24 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,318 | * | 58 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | 10 | 51 | 35 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 492 | * | 57 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | 5 | 39 | 45 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 132 | | 56 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | 27 | 40 | 30 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 30 | | 55 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 47 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 543 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 36.7 | % | 89.9 | % | 37 | 25 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 4,331,520 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |