"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/31100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough vs West Brom-9.2+1.5+8.0
+0.8-0.2-0.7
Tottenham Hotspur vs Middlesbrough+8.1+1.5-9.2
-0.7-0.2+0.8
Hull City vs Liverpool+1.7-0.4-1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Manchester City vs Swansea City-1.4-0.3+1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Manchester United vs Hull City-1.3-0.4+1.6
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur+1.5-0.4-1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Swansea City vs Southampton+1.4-0.4-1.1
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace-1.1-0.3+1.3
Leicester City vs Manchester United+1.1-0.2-1.0
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Burnley vs Leicester City-0.7*-0.1+0.8
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland+0.4-0.7+0.2
Arsenal vs Watford-0.6*-0.0+0.6
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Everton vs Bournemouth-0.4*+0.0+0.3
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Watford vs Burnley+0.3*-0.1-0.2
West Ham vs Manchester City+0.2*-0.0-0.2
West Brom vs Stoke City-0.2*+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Middlesbrough finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
6816-0-03.1%93.6%324412661No358
6615-1-0NoYes6733No3
6515-0-1No40.0202060No5
6414-2-0No17.61859186No17
6314-1-1No15.231245363No33
6213-3-0No12.61292839173No87*
6113-2-1No6.8062344260No207
6013-1-2No1.511642346No405*
5912-3-1No0.4073144152No806*
5812-2-2No0.10320442850No1,614*
5711-4-1NoNo1114037101No2,897*
5611-3-2NoNo0532421820No5,253*
5511-2-3NoNo02204328710No8,497*
5410-4-2NoNo011136361420No13,648*
5310-3-3NoNo05254023610No21,162*
529-5-2NoNo0214343314300No31,422*
519-4-3NoNo0072536248100No44,584*
509-3-4NoNo0214313216400No61,624*
498-5-3NoNo01621342610200No81,159*
488-4-4NoNo002112733206100No104,160*
478-3-5NoNo000417313014300No129,090*
467-5-4NoNo01822332591000.0%153,024*
457-4-5NoNo002122833195100.0117,850
6-7-3NoNo003122833185100.059,368*
447-3-6NoNo0014163231142000.296,505
6-6-4NoNo015183329112000.1101,608*
436-5-5NoNo00182435237100.9211,509*
426-4-6NoNo003133133163003.6137,144
5-7-4NoNo003143232153003.182,058*
415-6-5NoNo00162336258108.9110,115
6-3-7NoNo001521362791010.6110,213*
405-5-6NoNo002123135174021.3211,665*
395-4-7NoNo00420362910139.4134,215*
4-7-5NoNo00152237268134.664,478
384-6-6NoNo0212323617354.891,740
5-3-8NoNo0210303619358.185,763*
374-5-7NoNo005213928773.1152,529*
364-4-8NoNo0021334381385.5126,533*
353-6-7NoNo01626442393.1100,483*
343-5-8NoNo00318443597.076,349*
333-4-9NoNo00110414899.055,744*
322-6-8NoNo005336199.638,411*
312-5-9NoNo02257299.925,165*
302-4-10NoNo011782100.015,699*
292-3-11NoNo01188Yes9,162*
281-5-10NoNo0793Yes5,115*
271-4-11NoNo0397Yes2,594*
261-3-12NoNo298Yes1,161*
250-5-11NoNo199Yes481*
20-24NoNo100Yes608*
Total:0.0%0.0%000000012356810121313129627.5%2,884,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship