How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 1/31100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Hull City vs Liverpool+0.0NoNo
-11.0+2.4+9.1
+0.6-0.2-0.5
Manchester United vs Hull CityNoNo+0.0
+9.0+2.4-11.0
-0.5-0.2+0.6
Manchester City vs Swansea City-1.5-0.4+1.8
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur+1.7-0.3-1.4
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Middlesbrough-1.4-0.2+1.5
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Middlesbrough vs West Brom+1.5-0.3-1.3
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Swansea City vs Southampton+1.6-0.4-1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.0
Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace-1.1-0.4+1.5
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Leicester City vs Manchester United+1.3-0.2-1.2
-0.1+0.0+0.1
Burnley vs Leicester City-0.8*-0.1+0.9
Arsenal vs Watford-0.7*-0.0+0.8
Crystal Palace vs Sunderland+0.5-0.9+0.2
Watford vs Burnley+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Everton vs Bournemouth-0.3*-0.0+0.3
West Ham vs Manchester City+0.2*+0.1-0.3
Stoke City vs Everton+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Southampton vs West Ham+0.1*+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hull City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
6416-0-0No44.0%2123037172No359
6215-1-0No33.3333333No3
6115-0-1NoNo333333No3
6014-2-0NoNo7334020No15
5914-1-1No3.2332345233No31
5813-3-0NoNo31853244No80*
5713-2-1NoNo1174032111No200
5613-1-2NoNo0734431420No420*
5512-3-1NoNo320432860No827*
5412-2-2NoNo01237341420No1,658*
5311-4-1NoNo05244124610No2,910*
5211-3-2NoNo021536311330No5,202*
5111-2-3NoNo06253722710No8,577*
5010-4-2NoNo00215323215410No13,818*
4910-3-3NoNo01622332610200No21,247*
489-5-2NoNo0212273319610No31,201*
479-4-3NoNo0041731291440000.0%44,354*
469-3-4NoNo0017223225102000.062,044*
458-5-3NoNo0021126332061000.180,666*
448-4-4NoNo0014163130153000.3104,124*
438-3-5NoNo001721342692001.6128,839*
427-5-4NoNo0002112833195005.496,829
8-2-6NoNo002102734206106.457,294*
417-4-5NoNo0004173330122014.5176,904*
407-3-6NoNo00182436247131.796,134
6-6-4NoNo00192636215027.2101,379*
396-5-5NoNo000315343313247.5133,877
7-2-7NoNo00315333314248.576,848*
386-4-6NoNo0017253824567.3137,725
5-7-4NoNo0018263822464.582,834*
375-6-5NoNo003173733979.9109,256
6-3-7NoNo0031536351182.1109,981*
365-5-6NoNo01930421890.4134,404
6-2-8NoNo01830421990.777,328*
355-4-7NoNo00420463096.2118,791
4-7-5NoNo00422452895.680,409*
344-6-6NoNo0214444198.4105,264*
5-3-8NoNo00112434498.772,729
334-5-7NoNo007375599.5152,601*
324-4-8NoNo004306799.9126,564*
313-6-7NoNo0022277100.0100,980*
303-5-8NoNo011585100.076,526*
293-4-9NoNo00990100.055,428*
282-6-8NoNo0594Yes38,210*
272-5-9NoNo0397Yes24,967*
262-4-10NoNo199Yes15,578*
252-3-11NoNo199Yes9,238*
241-5-10NoNo0100Yes4,886*
231-4-11NoNo0100Yes2,516*
16-22NoNo100Yes2,262*
Total:No0.0%0000000011235791316202358.5%2,884,320

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship