The Tragically Whip Playoff Chances 2016
Lost to Biscuits 1194-1330, playoff odds down 3.7 to 15.5%
5-5 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Whip 1194 Biscuits 1330 | -1.1 | -0.1 | ||
| Boyz 1226 Nothing 1456 | +0.2 | |||
| Kings 1584 Dancers 949 | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Squids vs Whip | -1.1+3.9 | -0.1+0.5 | ||
| Indians vs Monster | +0.3-0.1 | |||
| Tigers vs Kings | +0.3-0.0 | |||
| Burgers vs Foundation | -0.1+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Whip finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 16 | 11 | - | 0 | 97.6 | % | 92 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,056 | ||||
| 15 | 10 | - | 1 | 49.7 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,435 | |||
| 14 | 9 | - | 2 | 42.3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 38,136 | |||
| 13 | 8 | - | 3 | 34.9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 234,625 | |||
| 12 | 7 | - | 4 | 28.2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 883,981 | |||
| 11 | 6 | - | 5 | 21.9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2,122,585 | |||
| 10 | 5 | - | 6 | 16.5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3,262,921 | |||
| 9 | 4 | - | 7 | 12.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3,184,081 | |||
| 8 | 3 | - | 8 | 8.4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 1,929,472 | |||
| 7 | 2 | - | 9 | 5.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 699,299 | |||
| 6 | 1 | - | 10 | 3.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 6 | 138,182 | |||
| 5 | 0 | - | 11 | 2.3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 22 | 13,435 | |||
| Total: | 15.5 | % | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 12,512,208 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Whip 1194 Biscuits 1330 | +0.2 | |
| Boyz 1226 Nothing 1456 | -0.1 | |
| Teds 1087 Squids 1235 | -0.0 | |
| Kings 1584 Dancers 949 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Squids vs Whip | +0.2-0.6 | |
| Dancers vs Teds | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Speedy vs Boyz | -0.0+0.1 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| 16 | 11 | - | 0 | 92 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 15 | 10 | - | 1 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | |||||||
| 14 | 9 | - | 2 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 0 | ||||||
| 13 | 8 | - | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 27 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 12 | 7 | - | 4 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 11 | 6 | - | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 10 | 5 | - | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 42 | 19 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| 9 | 4 | - | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 39 | 40 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 8 | 3 | - | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 62 | 6 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 7 | 2 | - | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 64 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 6 | 1 | - | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 36 | 43 | 15 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| 5 | 0 | - | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 48 | 17 | 1 | |||||
| Total: | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:31 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
