Chop Talk Playoff Chances 2016
Lost to Burgers 1635-1645, playoff odds up 4.5 to 75.9%
6-4 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Talk 1635 Burgers 1645 | -3.7 | -0.3 | ||
| Boyz 1226 Nothing 1456 | +0.4 | |||
| Teds 1087 Squids 1235 | *-0.1 | |||
| Kings 1584 Dancers 949 | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Nothing vs Talk | -5.2+0.3 | -0.5+0.0 | ||
| Indians vs Monster | +0.5-0.1 | |||
| Tigers vs Kings | +0.4-0.1 | |||
| Dancers vs Teds | +0.1-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Talk finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 17 | 11 | - | 0 | 88.8 | % | 34 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 348,528 | ||
| 16 | 10 | - | 1 | 85.2 | 28 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,597,678 | |||
| 15 | 9 | - | 2 | 81.0 | 22 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,164,776 | |||
| 14 | 8 | - | 3 | 75.9 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,526,986 | |||
| 13 | 7 | - | 4 | 69.9 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,437,292 | |||
| 12 | 6 | - | 5 | 63.3 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,072,585 | |||
| 11 | 5 | - | 6 | 56.0 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 302,860 | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 7 | 48.2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 53,465 | |||
| 9 | 3 | - | 8 | 40.4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5,733 | |||
| 8 | 2 | - | 9 | 34.6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 350 | |||
| 7 | 1 | - | 10 | 36.4 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 11 | ||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 100 | 1,944 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 75.9 | % | 18 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12,512,208 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Talk 1635 Burgers 1645 | +0.4 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Nothing vs Talk | +0.6-0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| 17 | 11 | - | 0 | 34 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 0 | 0 | ||||||||
| 16 | 10 | - | 1 | 28 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 15 | 9 | - | 2 | 22 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 14 | 8 | - | 3 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 13 | 7 | - | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 12 | 6 | - | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 11 | 5 | - | 6 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 7 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 9 | 3 | - | 8 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 20 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 9 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 17 | 43 | 3 | 0 | ||||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 10 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 9 | 45 | 9 | |||||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 11 | 6 | 32 | 50 | 11 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 18 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:31 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
