Mookie Monster Playoff Chances 2016
Beat Speedy 1633-1371, playoff odds up 9.5 to 53%
6-4 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Monster 1633 Speedy 1371 | +5.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Boyz 1226 Nothing 1456 | +0.6 | |||
| Jebens 1401 Foundation 1364 | -0.1 | |||
| Teds 1087 Squids 1235 | -0.1 | |||
| Kings 1584 Dancers 949 | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Indians vs Monster | -5.9+0.9 | -0.5+0.1 | ||
| Tigers vs Kings | +0.5-0.1 | |||
| Dancers vs Teds | +0.2-0.1 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Monster finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 17 | 11 | - | 0 | 82.5 | % | 30 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20,601 | |||
| 16 | 10 | - | 1 | 75.9 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 194,025 | |||
| 15 | 9 | - | 2 | 70.1 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 861,871 | |||
| 14 | 8 | - | 3 | 63.7 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,135,730 | |||
| 13 | 7 | - | 4 | 56.6 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,242,917 | |||
| 12 | 6 | - | 5 | 49.1 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3,133,067 | |||
| 11 | 5 | - | 6 | 41.6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1,939,552 | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 7 | 34.2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 764,111 | |||
| 9 | 3 | - | 8 | 27.2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 188,372 | |||
| 8 | 2 | - | 9 | 21.1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 27,718 | |||
| 7 | 1 | - | 10 | 15.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2,243 | |||
| 6 | 0 | - | 11 | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 | 2,001 | ||||||
| Total: | 53.0 | % | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12,512,208 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Monster 1633 Speedy 1371 | -0.6 | |
| Boyz 1226 Nothing 1456 | -0.1 | |
| Kings 1584 Dancers 949 | +0.0 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Indians vs Monster | +0.7-0.1 | |
| Tigers vs Kings | -0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| 17 | 11 | - | 0 | 30 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 0 | |||||||||
| 16 | 10 | - | 1 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 15 | 9 | - | 2 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 14 | 8 | - | 3 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 13 | 7 | - | 4 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 12 | 6 | - | 5 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 11 | 5 | - | 6 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 7 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 23 | 27 | 9 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 9 | 3 | - | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 29 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 8 | 2 | - | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 54 | 7 | 0 | |||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 57 | 22 | 3 | 0 | ||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 45 | 7 | 0 | |||||||||
| Total: | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:31 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
