Schnurbach Foundation Playoff Chances 2016
Lost to Jebens 1364-1401, playoff odds down 0.4 to 73.1%
6-4 .600
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jebens 1401 Foundation 1364 | -3.8 | -0.3 | ||
| Boyz 1226 Nothing 1456 | +0.4 | |||
| Teds 1087 Squids 1235 | *-0.1 | |||
| Kings 1584 Dancers 949 | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Burgers vs Foundation | -3.6+2.4 | -0.3+0.2 | ||
| Indians vs Monster | +0.5-0.1 | |||
| Squids vs Whip | -0.0+0.2 | |||
| Nothing vs Talk | +0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Foundation finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | |||
| 17 | 11 | - | 0 | 88.5 | % | 33 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 182,955 | ||
| 16 | 10 | - | 1 | 84.8 | 27 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,038,555 | |||
| 15 | 9 | - | 2 | 80.4 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,543,905 | |||
| 14 | 8 | - | 3 | 75.3 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3,496,186 | |||
| 13 | 7 | - | 4 | 69.3 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2,961,736 | |||
| 12 | 6 | - | 5 | 62.5 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1,599,558 | |||
| 11 | 5 | - | 6 | 55.2 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 552,271 | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 7 | 47.8 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 118,724 | |||
| 9 | 3 | - | 8 | 39.8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15,176 | |||
| 8 | 2 | - | 9 | 31.1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1,149 | |||
| 7 | 1 | - | 10 | 25.5 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 47 | ||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 11 | Out | 0 | 0 | 100 | 1,946 | ||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 73.1 | % | 16 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12,512,208 | |||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Big Games
| Week of 6/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jebens 1401 Foundation 1364 | +0.4 | |
| If winner is:HomeAway | ||
| Week of 6/19 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Burgers vs Foundation | +0.4-0.3 | |
| Nothing vs Talk | -0.1+0.0 | |
| Indians vs Monster | -0.1+0.0 | |
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | |
| 17 | 11 | - | 0 | 33 | 20 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 0 | |||||||||
| 16 | 10 | - | 1 | 27 | 19 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||||
| 15 | 9 | - | 2 | 21 | 17 | 14 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | ||||||
| 14 | 8 | - | 3 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||||
| 13 | 7 | - | 4 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 11 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 12 | 6 | - | 5 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 11 | 5 | - | 6 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 10 | 4 | - | 7 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 6 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 9 | 3 | - | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 1 | 11 | 28 | 19 | 1 | 0 | |||||
| 8 | 2 | - | 9 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 41 | 7 | 0 | |||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 10 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 15 | 2 | |||||||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 11 | 5 | 32 | 50 | 12 | 0 | ||||||||||||
| Total: | 16 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:31 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
