Chop Talk Playoff Chances 2016

Lost to Burgers 1635-1645, playoff odds up 4.4 to 75.9%
6-4   .600

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 6/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Talk 1635 Burgers 1645 -3.6
-0.3
Boyz 1226 Nothing 1456 +0.4
Monster 1633 Speedy 1371 -0.1
Kings 1584 Dancers 949 -0.1
Teds 1087 Squids 1235 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Nothing vs Talk-5.3+0.3
-0.5+0.0
Indians vs Monster+0.4-0.1
Tigers vs Kings+0.4-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well Talk finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1711-088.7%3420139754321100000295,985
1610-185.2281914118654321100001,351,484
159-281.0221714119765321100002,676,481
148-375.91715131210876432100002,986,100
137-470.01313131211987643210002,056,768
126-563.3911111111109875421000907,436
115-656.0691010101010987532100256,330
104-748.54689101111109864210045,431
93-840.7356891010121197532104,672
82-931.22339791311109125432266
71-1018.2182799189911
60-11Out1001,644
Total:75.9%18151311108764321100010,582,608
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 6/12100.0*Lottery seed
Talk 1635 Burgers 1645 +0.4
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 6/19100.0*Lottery seed
Nothing vs Talk+0.6-0.0
Tigers vs Kings-0.1+0.0

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L12345678910111213141516
1711-0342013975110
1610-128191411861410
159-22217141197135100
148-3171513121088114100
137-413131312119311124000
126-591111111110051612300
115-66910101010011320910
104-746891011062020600
93-8356891011128191
82-9233979018455
71-1018927369
60-1153350121
Total:181513111088753100000