The Force Interpolates Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Beat Metheny 94.8-79.4, playoff odds up 11.6 to 39.5%
1-1-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Metheny 79.4 Smith 94.8 | +10.4 | +0.8 | ||
| Lassiter 126.1 S Crouch 115.9 | +0.2 | |||
| Purvis 146.9 Flores 126.2 | +0.1 | |||
| Lippincott 116.9 M Crouch 106.8 | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Smith vs Salsberry | +12.4-2.7-12.2 | +0.9-0.2-0.8 | ||
| Lassiter vs McNichols | -0.5+0.5+0.4 | |||
| Flores vs Lippincott | -0.1+0.6*+0.0 | |||
| S Crouch vs M Crouch | +0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Smith finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 11 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 6,878 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | 5,144 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 48,871 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 96 | 4 | 2,419 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 93 | 7 | 0 | 46,328 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 82 | 17 | 1 | 659 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 219,990 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 76 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 19,484 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 35 | 50 | 13 | 2 | 119 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 64 | 33 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 184,472 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | In | 34 | 47 | 18 | 1 | 4,801 | ||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 90.9 | 23 | 45 | 23 | 9 | 22 | ||||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 37 | 46 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 584,868 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 26 | 49 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 67,759 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 93.8 | 2 | 20 | 44 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 793 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.5 | 14 | 44 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 431,268 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 90.0 | 1 | 15 | 40 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14,191 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 25.5 | 2 | 23 | 44 | 28 | 3 | 94 | |||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 91.7 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1,027,014 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 83.0 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 136,003 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 17.4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 40 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 1,949 | * | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 59.5 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 645,264 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 9.9 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 23,823 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 2 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 13 | 1 | 154 | ||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 17.6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1,229,597 | ||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 3.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 170,131 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 9 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 2,501 | * | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 648,066 | ||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 23,968 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 3 | 14 | 52 | 31 | 160 | * | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 1,026,369 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 31 | 5 | 136,262 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 14 | 50 | 35 | 1,829 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 14 | 431,647 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 14,332 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 2 | 15 | 84 | 61 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 47 | 36 | 585,901 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 52 | 68,167 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 16 | 84 | 796 | * | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 31 | 66 | 185,450 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 12 | 88 | 4,760 | * | ||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 219,690 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 9 | 91 | 19,160 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 2 | 98 | 129 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 95 | 45,998 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 99 | 670 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 48,865 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 100 | 2,452 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 100 | 5,251 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 6,961 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 39.5 | % | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8,351,540 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:32 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
