Fear The Beard Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Beat Flores 146.9-126.2, playoff odds up 11.6 to 39.6%
1-1-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Purvis 146.9 Flores 126.2 | +10.4 | +0.8 | ||
| Lassiter 126.1 S Crouch 115.9 | +0.2 | |||
| Metheny 79.4 Smith 94.8 | +0.1 | |||
| Lippincott 116.9 M Crouch 106.8 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Purvis vs Metheny | +12.4-2.6-12.2 | +0.9-0.2-0.8 | ||
| Lassiter vs McNichols | -0.5+0.5+0.5 | |||
| Flores vs Lippincott | -0.1+0.6*+0.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Purvis finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 11 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 6,908 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | 5,077 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 96 | 4 | 0 | 49,067 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 94 | 6 | 0 | 2,407 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 91 | 9 | 0 | 46,199 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 76 | 23 | 1 | 746 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 220,199 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 73 | 25 | 1 | 0 | 19,547 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 39 | 50 | 11 | 133 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 62 | 35 | 4 | 0 | 185,035 | * | |||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 32 | 50 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 4,774 | ||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 36 | 47 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 585,725 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 25 | 49 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 68,365 | * | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 94.2 | 2 | 21 | 43 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 730 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.5 | 13 | 44 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 431,287 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 90.7 | 1 | 14 | 41 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 14,230 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 26.7 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 49 | 19 | 6 | 90 | ||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 91.5 | 2 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1,025,507 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 82.8 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 135,809 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 16.6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 39 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 1,905 | * | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 59.6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 646,599 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 10.2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 23,665 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 1 | 12 | 41 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 165 | * | |||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 17.6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1,228,877 | |||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 169,784 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 10 | 34 | 39 | 15 | 1 | 2,527 | * | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 645,871 | ||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 5 | 27 | 44 | 21 | 2 | 23,788 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 1 | 19 | 52 | 28 | 148 | * | |||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 1,026,577 | |||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 31 | 5 | 136,622 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 15 | 47 | 37 | 1,866 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 44 | 14 | 432,260 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 1 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 14,414 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 18 | 82 | 67 | ||||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 15 | 47 | 36 | 586,674 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 7 | 40 | 53 | 67,914 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 774 | * | |||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 30 | 67 | 184,476 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 13 | 87 | 4,715 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | 100 | 16 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 219,779 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 9 | 91 | 19,336 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 4 | 96 | 125 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 5 | 95 | 46,430 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 2 | 98 | 704 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 98 | 49,123 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 100 | 2,475 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 100 | 5,019 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 7,010 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 39.6 | % | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8,351,540 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:32 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
