Fear The Beard Playoff Chances 2016
Beat Flores 146.9-126.2, playoff odds up 7.2 to 25.4%
1-1-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Purvis 146.9 Flores 126.2 | +10.4 | +0.8 | ||
| Lassiter 126.1 S Crouch 115.9 | +0.3 | |||
| Metheny 79.4 Smith 94.8 | +0.3 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Purvis vs Metheny | +14.7+0.9-7.2 | +1.0+0.1-0.5 | ||
| Lassiter vs McNichols | -0.7+0.8+1.1 | |||
| Flores vs Lippincott | -0.5+0.6+0.3 | |||
| S Crouch vs M Crouch | -0.2+0.8+0.1 | |||
| Smith vs Salsberry | -0.1+0.8*+0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Purvis finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 11 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | 10,413 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 96 | 4 | 5,138 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 88 | 12 | 0 | 54,900 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 87 | 13 | 0 | 2,820 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 80 | 19 | 0 | 58,985 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 61 | 37 | 2 | 869 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 61 | 36 | 3 | 0 | 314,248 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 56 | 40 | 4 | 0 | 28,464 | ||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 28 | 40 | 28 | 4 | 174 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | % | 42 | 48 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 301,474 | ||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 99.8 | 18 | 51 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 7,876 | * | ||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 99.8 | 18 | 49 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1,062,792 | |||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.7 | 13 | 47 | 34 | 6 | 0 | 125,145 | * | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 88.7 | 1 | 13 | 40 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 1,420 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 98.5 | 5 | 34 | 44 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 885,802 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 85.0 | 0 | 9 | 36 | 40 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 29,974 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 24.1 | 2 | 22 | 44 | 28 | 4 | 1 | 187 | ||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 83.9 | 1 | 10 | 35 | 38 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2,343,270 | |||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 75.1 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 44 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 314,729 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 15.1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 39 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 4,444 | * | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 48.6 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1,661,334 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 9.8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 61,861 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 3 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 9 | 0 | 414 | ||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 12.6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 3,508,407 | ||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 4.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 489,835 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 38 | 37 | 10 | 0 | 7,298 | * | ||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2,069,029 | |||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 42 | 15 | 1 | 76,880 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 0 | 4 | 32 | 46 | 17 | 547 | * | ||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 39 | 14 | 1 | 3,630,643 | |||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 46 | 24 | 2 | 485,920 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 3 | 23 | 53 | 21 | 6,782 | * | ||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 41 | 7 | 1,703,122 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 18 | 54 | 27 | 57,262 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 3 | 32 | 65 | 347 | * | ||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 53 | 23 | 2,556,061 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 1 | 11 | 52 | 37 | 299,915 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 0 | 2 | 30 | 68 | 3,418 | * | |||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 0 | 5 | 43 | 51 | 896,049 | |||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 23 | 76 | 23,148 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | 3 | 97 | 62 | ||||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 28 | 71 | 1,170,642 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 17 | 82 | 104,632 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 5 | 95 | 675 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 271,980 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 4 | 96 | 4,035 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 5 | 95 | 314,751 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 2 | 98 | 15,702 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 99 | 36,871 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 43,874 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 25.4 | % | 3 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 25,054,620 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:32 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
