Holy Gronkamole Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Lost to Smith 79.4-94.8, playoff odds down 12.5 to 39.5%
1-1-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Metheny 79.4 Smith 94.8 | -11.8 | -0.8 | ||
| Lassiter 126.1 S Crouch 115.9 | +0.2 | |||
| Purvis 146.9 Flores 126.2 | +0.2 | |||
| Lippincott 116.9 M Crouch 106.8 | -0.0 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Purvis vs Metheny | -12.1-2.5+12.4 | -0.8-0.2+0.9 | ||
| Lassiter vs McNichols | -0.5+0.5+0.4 | |||
| Flores vs Lippincott | -0.1+0.7*+0.1 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||
| Smith vs Salsberry | -0.1+0.7*-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Metheny finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 11 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 7,014 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 1 | 5,113 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 48,625 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 97 | 3 | 2,443 | ||||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 93 | 6 | 0 | 46,286 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 81 | 18 | 0 | 665 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 219,324 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 77 | 22 | 1 | 19,500 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 39 | 50 | 11 | 114 | |||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 65 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 184,422 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 35 | 48 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4,813 | * | |||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 38 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 586,046 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 27 | 49 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 68,591 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 94.0 | 4 | 24 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 761 | * | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.5 | 14 | 44 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 430,676 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 91.1 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 14,475 | ||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 18.4 | 1 | 17 | 45 | 28 | 9 | 76 | |||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 91.7 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1,024,613 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 83.2 | 0 | 8 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 135,392 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 16.8 | 2 | 15 | 38 | 35 | 9 | 1 | 1,865 | * | |||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 59.6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 648,397 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 10.3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 24,062 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 2 | 13 | 42 | 26 | 14 | 2 | 172 | ||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 17.5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1,228,925 | |||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 3.9 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 169,508 | |||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 9 | 30 | 42 | 16 | 2 | 2,555 | * | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 647,148 | ||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 5 | 26 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 23,935 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 2 | 16 | 56 | 26 | 173 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 1,026,524 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 31 | 5 | 136,011 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 14 | 49 | 37 | 2,008 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 43 | 13 | 431,111 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 11 | 46 | 42 | 14,463 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 1 | 16 | 83 | 90 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 2 | 16 | 48 | 34 | 587,048 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 0 | 7 | 41 | 52 | 68,189 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 15 | 85 | 772 | * | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 3 | 33 | 64 | 184,782 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 15 | 85 | 4,760 | * | ||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 219,892 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 10 | 90 | 19,673 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 100 | 110 | |||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 6 | 94 | 46,090 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 2 | 98 | 690 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 49,268 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 99 | 2,448 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 100 | 5,086 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 6,836 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 39.5 | % | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8,351,540 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:32 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
