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Siemian Toast Crunch Playoff Chances 2016 50/50
Beat S Crouch 126.1-115.9, playoff odds up 11.6 to 39.6%
1-1-0 .500
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 9/15 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lassiter 126.1 S Crouch 115.9 | +10.4 | +0.8 | ||
| Purvis 146.9 Flores 126.2 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Metheny 79.4 Smith 94.8 | +0.2 | -0.0 | ||
| Lippincott 116.9 M Crouch 106.8 | *-0.1 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 9/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Lassiter vs McNichols | +11.9-2.3-11.7 | +0.9-0.2-0.8 | ||
| Flores vs Lippincott | -0.1+0.7*+0.0 | |||
| S Crouch vs M Crouch | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Lassiter finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | Count | |||
| 11 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | 0 | 6,971 | |||||||||||
| 10 | .5 | 9 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 100 | 0 | 5,185 | ||||||||||
| 10 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 2 | 0 | 48,912 | ||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 2 | In | 97 | 3 | 0 | 2,491 | |||||||||||
| 9 | .5 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 95 | 5 | 0 | 46,521 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 3 | In | 86 | 14 | 0 | 696 | |||||||||||
| 9 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 84 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 219,261 | |||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 2 | In | 79 | 20 | 1 | 19,328 | |||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 4 | In | 38 | 48 | 13 | 1 | 130 | ||||||||||
| 8 | .5 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 1 | In | 67 | 31 | 3 | 0 | 185,305 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 38 | 47 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 4,772 | ||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 95.5 | 5 | 18 | 41 | 32 | 5 | 22 | |||||||||
| 8 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 39 | 46 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 586,213 | ||||||||
| 6 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 28 | 50 | 20 | 2 | 0 | 68,327 | |||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 93.0 | 2 | 21 | 46 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 785 | ||||||||
| 7 | .5 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.5 | 14 | 44 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 431,339 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 91.0 | 1 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 14,339 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 29.4 | 9 | 21 | 44 | 22 | 4 | 68 | |||||||||
| 7 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 91.8 | 3 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1,025,801 | ||||||
| 5 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 83.4 | 0 | 9 | 34 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 136,641 | |||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 15.7 | 1 | 14 | 38 | 35 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1,862 | * | ||||||
| 6 | .5 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 59.6 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 41 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 645,972 | ||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 9.8 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 23,839 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 5 | Out | 3 | 15 | 35 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 156 | ||||||||
| 6 | 5 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 17.5 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 33 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1,228,768 | |||||
| 4 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 3.8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 43 | 25 | 4 | 0 | 169,308 | ||||||
| 3 | - | 3 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 2,480 | * | |||||||
| 5 | .5 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 647,533 | ||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 43 | 22 | 3 | 23,897 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 3 | - | 5 | Out | 1 | 20 | 46 | 32 | 142 | ||||||||||
| 5 | 4 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 33 | 39 | 16 | 2 | 1,025,723 | |||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 2 | 18 | 43 | 31 | 5 | 135,948 | ||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 15 | 47 | 36 | 1,927 | * | |||||||||
| 4 | .5 | 3 | - | 6 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 43 | 13 | 431,655 | ||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 1 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 14,507 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | 2 | 19 | 79 | 63 | |||||||||||
| 4 | 3 | - | 7 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 47 | 34 | 586,542 | |||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 7 | 41 | 51 | 67,847 | ||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 17 | 82 | 757 | * | ||||||||||
| 3 | .5 | 2 | - | 7 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 4 | 33 | 63 | 185,362 | ||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 3 | Out | 0 | 13 | 86 | 4,988 | * | ||||||||||
| 3 | 2 | - | 8 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 1 | 19 | 80 | 219,508 | |||||||||
| 1 | - | 7 | - | 2 | Out | 0 | 11 | 89 | 19,543 | |||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | 1 | 99 | 118 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | .5 | 1 | - | 8 | - | 1 | Out | 0 | 7 | 93 | 46,100 | |||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Out | 2 | 98 | 667 | ||||||||||||
| 2 | 1 | - | 9 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 3 | 97 | 48,605 | ||||||||||
| 0 | - | 8 | - | 2 | Out | 1 | 99 | 2,476 | ||||||||||||
| 1 | .5 | 0 | - | 9 | - | 1 | Out | 1 | 99 | 5,028 | ||||||||||
| 1 | 0 | - | 10 | - | 0 | Out | 0 | 100 | 7,112 | |||||||||||
| Total: | 39.6 | % | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8,351,540 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:32 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
