Washington Rednecks Playoff Chances 2011-2012Did not play, playoff odds down 0.6 to 83% 50 points 24 19-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so) | -0.9 | | | | Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 | | | +0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Washington vs Ottawa | +2.0+2.0+2.1-1.6-1.4-5.8 | | +0.1+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4 | | Calgary vs Philadelphie | +1.0*-0.2*+0.1-1.1-0.9-1.2 | | +0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Long Island vs Miami | -0.4-0.6-0.5*-0.0*+0.0+0.3 | | | | Tampa vs Seattle | -0.3*-0.3*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.5 | | -0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 124 | | 37 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 152 | | 115 | | 31 | 3 | - | 3 | In | 67 | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | 3 | * | 114 | | 30 | 3 | - | 4 | In | 40 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | * | 113 | | 30 | 4 | - | 3 | In | 44 | 31 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | 16 | * | 112 | | 30 | 5 | - | 2 | In | 45 | 24 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | 33 | * | 111 | | 29 | 5 | - | 3 | In | 28 | 31 | 37 | 4 | | | | | | | | | 54 | * | 110 | | 28 | 5 | - | 4 | In | 22 | 20 | 51 | 7 | | | | | | | | | 164 | * | 109 | | 28 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 14 | 18 | 55 | 13 | | | | | | | | | 343 | * | 108 | | 27 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 6 | 15 | 64 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | | | 618 | * | 107 | | 27 | 7 | - | 3 | In | 5 | 12 | 62 | 21 | 1 | | | | | | | | 1,134 | * | 106 | | 26 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 2 | 10 | 57 | 30 | 2 | | | | | | | | 1,921 | * | 105 | | 26 | 8 | - | 3 | In | 1 | 6 | 52 | 38 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 3,432 | * | 104 | | 25 | 8 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 4 | 44 | 45 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 5,551 | * | 103 | | 25 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 2 | 35 | 52 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | 8,560 | * | 102 | | 24 | 9 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 1 | 25 | 55 | 17 | 1 | | | | | | | 13,150 | * | 101 | | 24 | 10 | - | 3 | In | | 1 | 17 | 54 | 26 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 18,722 | * | 100 | | 23 | 10 | - | 4 | In | | 0 | 11 | 50 | 34 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 26,220 | * | 99 | | 23 | 11 | - | 3 | In | | 0 | 6 | 42 | 42 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 35,426 | * | 98 | | 22 | 11 | - | 4 | In | | 0 | 3 | 33 | 47 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 45,501 | * | 97 | | 21 | 11 | - | 5 | In | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 48 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 56,507 | * | 96 | | 21 | 12 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 46 | 32 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | 68,805 | * | 95 | | 20 | 12 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 39 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | 79,568 | * | 94 | | 20 | 13 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | | | 0 | 5 | 30 | 44 | 19 | 2 | 0 | | | | 89,511 | * | 93 | | 19 | 13 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | | | 0 | 2 | 21 | 44 | 28 | 5 | 0 | | | | 98,406 | * | 92 | | 19 | 14 | - | 4 | 99.2 | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 39 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | 103,956 | * | 91 | | 18 | 14 | - | 5 | 98.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 42 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | 106,328 | * | 90 | | 18 | 15 | - | 4 | 95.8 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 23 | 44 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | 105,095 | * | 89 | | 17 | 15 | - | 5 | 91.9 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 15 | 41 | 34 | 8 | 0 | | | 101,181 | * | 88 | | 17 | 16 | - | 4 | 85.5 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 35 | 41 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | 94,062 | * | 87 | | 16 | 16 | - | 5 | 77.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 45 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | 83,757 | * | 86 | | 16 | 17 | - | 4 | 66.4 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 46 | 32 | 2 | 0 | | 73,479 | * | 85 | | 15 | 17 | - | 5 | 53.9 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 42 | 4 | 0 | | 61,980 | * | 84 | | 15 | 18 | - | 4 | 41.8 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 51 | 7 | 0 | | 50,780 | * | 83 | | 14 | 18 | - | 5 | 30.6 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 27 | 57 | 12 | 0 | | 40,431 | * | 82 | | 14 | 19 | - | 4 | 20.6 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 60 | 18 | 1 | | 30,891 | * | 81 | | 13 | 19 | - | 5 | 13.1 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 59 | 26 | 2 | 0 | 22,840 | * | 80 | | 13 | 20 | - | 4 | 8.0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 55 | 33 | 4 | 0 | 16,513 | * | 79 | | 13 | 21 | - | 3 | 4.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 47 | 41 | 7 | 0 | 11,542 | * | 78 | | 12 | 21 | - | 4 | 2.2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 38 | 48 | 12 | 0 | 7,845 | * | 77 | | 12 | 22 | - | 3 | 1.2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 29 | 52 | 17 | 1 | 4,863 | * | 76 | | 11 | 22 | - | 4 | 0.5 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 21 | 53 | 25 | 1 | 3,185 | * | 75 | | 11 | 23 | - | 3 | 0.2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 14 | 48 | 36 | 2 | 1,875 | * | 74 | | 10 | 23 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 9 | 44 | 43 | 4 | 1,170 | * | 73 | | 10 | 24 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 5 | 40 | 48 | 7 | 648 | * | 72 | | 9 | 24 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 3 | 30 | 58 | 8 | 358 | * | 71 | | 9 | 25 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 25 | 63 | 12 | 206 | * | 70 | | 8 | 25 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 24 | 57 | 18 | 94 | * | 69 | | 8 | 26 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 2 | 9 | 60 | 30 | 57 | * | 68 | | 7 | 26 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 53 | 47 | 15 | * | 67 | | 7 | 27 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 58 | 33 | 12 | * | 50 | -66 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 160 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 83.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 15 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1,477,125 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesThursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 | -0.1 | | Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so) | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Washington vs Ottawa | -0.3-0.2-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.7 | | Tampa vs Seattle | +0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Calgary vs Philadelphie | -0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 124 | | 37 | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 31 | 3 | - | 3 | 33 | 33 | | | 33 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 30 | 3 | - | 4 | 40 | | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 30 | 4 | - | 3 | 44 | | 31 | | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 30 | 5 | - | 2 | 33 | 12 | 24 | | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 29 | 5 | - | 3 | 15 | 13 | 30 | 2 | 37 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 28 | 5 | - | 4 | 12 | 10 | 20 | 1 | 49 | 1 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 28 | 6 | - | 3 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 2 | 51 | 3 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 27 | 6 | - | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 56 | 8 | 16 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 27 | 7 | - | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 49 | 12 | 21 | 0 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 26 | 7 | - | 4 | | 2 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 29 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 26 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 35 | 3 | 3 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 25 | 8 | - | 4 | | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 25 | 39 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 25 | 9 | - | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 39 | 13 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 24 | 9 | - | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 34 | 22 | 16 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 24 | 10 | - | 3 | | | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 23 | 10 | - | 4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 24 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 23 | 11 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 22 | 11 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 30 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 21 | 11 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 37 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 21 | 12 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 15 | 6 | 40 | 15 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 95 | | 20 | 12 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 37 | 13 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 94 | | 20 | 13 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 29 | 9 | 35 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 93 | | 19 | 13 | - | 5 | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 39 | 15 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 92 | | 19 | 14 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 13 | 2 | 37 | 14 | 22 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 91 | | 18 | 14 | - | 5 | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 31 | 12 | 30 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | 90 | | 18 | 15 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | 89 | | 17 | 15 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 15 | 4 | 37 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 88 | | 17 | 16 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 33 | 25 | 17 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 87 | | 16 | 16 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 4 | 1 | 26 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 86 | | 16 | 17 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 19 | 17 | 28 | 29 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | 85 | | 15 | 17 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | 30 | 36 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 84 | | 15 | 18 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 83 | | 14 | 18 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 82 | | 14 | 19 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 2 | 17 | 37 | 35 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | 81 | | 13 | 19 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 1 | 12 | 30 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | 80 | | 13 | 20 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 23 | 45 | 21 | 2 | 0 | | | | 79 | | 13 | 21 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 44 | 30 | 6 | 0 | | | | 78 | | 12 | 21 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 9 | 40 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | 77 | | 12 | 22 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 5 | 32 | 45 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | 76 | | 11 | 22 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 45 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | 75 | | 11 | 23 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 0 | | | 74 | | 10 | 23 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 36 | 41 | 13 | 1 | | | 73 | | 10 | 24 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 29 | 46 | 18 | 1 | | | 72 | | 9 | 24 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 21 | 44 | 27 | 5 | | | 71 | | 9 | 25 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 13 | 49 | 33 | 5 | | | 70 | | 8 | 25 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 12 | 46 | 32 | 11 | | | 69 | | 8 | 26 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 4 | 23 | 61 | 11 | | | 68 | | 7 | 26 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 27 | 47 | 20 | | | 67 | | 7 | 27 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 67 | 25 | | | 66 | | 6 | 27 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | 17 | | 65 | | 5 | 27 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 64 | | 6 | 29 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 50 | | 0 | 37 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 87 | 9 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 4 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|