Toronto Les Abrutis Playoff Chances 2011-2012Beat Long Island 6-5 (so), playoff odds up 5.3 to 60.2% 46 points 22 21-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so) | +3.5 | | +0.1 | | Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 | +0.3 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Calgary vs Philadelphie | +2.1*-0.1-0.6-2.3-2.4-2.5 | | +0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1 | | Washington vs Ottawa | -0.7-0.8-0.7*+0.6*+0.3+2.0 | | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Long Island vs Miami | -0.7-0.5-0.8*+0.0*+0.1+0.5 | | | | Tampa vs Seattle | -0.3-0.5*-0.1*-0.3*-0.1+0.7 | | | | Minnesota vs Edmonton | -0.2*-0.0*-0.3*-0.0*+0.2+0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Toronto finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 120 | | 37 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | 152 | | 112 | | 31 | 2 | - | 4 | In | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 111 | | 32 | 4 | - | 1 | In | | 20 | 80 | | | | | | | | | | 5 | * | 110 | | 31 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 20 | 20 | 60 | | | | | | | | | | 5 | * | 109 | | 30 | 4 | - | 3 | In | 33 | 25 | 42 | | | | | | | | | | 12 | * | 108 | | 29 | 4 | - | 4 | In | 4 | 40 | 48 | 8 | | | | | | | | | 25 | * | 107 | | 29 | 5 | - | 3 | In | 3 | 33 | 52 | 12 | | | | | | | | | 73 | * | 106 | | 28 | 5 | - | 4 | In | 1 | 32 | 46 | 20 | 1 | | | | | | | | 143 | * | 105 | | 28 | 6 | - | 3 | In | | 21 | 52 | 26 | 2 | | | | | | | | 281 | * | 104 | | 27 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 1 | 19 | 40 | 38 | 2 | | | | | | | | 525 | * | 103 | | 27 | 7 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 12 | 32 | 49 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,049 | * | 102 | | 26 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 9 | 27 | 53 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | 1,888 | * | 101 | | 26 | 8 | - | 3 | In | | 5 | 19 | 54 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 3,174 | * | 100 | | 25 | 8 | - | 4 | In | | 3 | 13 | 51 | 28 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 5,322 | * | 99 | | 25 | 9 | - | 3 | In | | 2 | 7 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 8,165 | * | 98 | | 24 | 9 | - | 4 | In | | 1 | 4 | 37 | 43 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 12,313 | * | 97 | | 24 | 10 | - | 3 | In | | 0 | 2 | 26 | 46 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 17,866 | * | 96 | | 23 | 10 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 31 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | 25,410 | * | 95 | | 23 | 11 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 37 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | 34,168 | * | 94 | | 22 | 11 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 4 | 0 | | | | 44,427 | * | 93 | | 21 | 11 | - | 5 | 99.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 41 | 31 | 8 | 0 | | | | 55,882 | * | 92 | | 21 | 12 | - | 4 | 98.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 38 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | 67,530 | * | 91 | | 20 | 12 | - | 5 | 96.9 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | 79,137 | * | 90 | | 20 | 13 | - | 4 | 94.0 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 32 | 6 | 0 | | | 89,522 | * | 89 | | 19 | 13 | - | 5 | 88.6 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 40 | 11 | 0 | | | 98,680 | * | 88 | | 19 | 14 | - | 4 | 81.3 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 29 | 46 | 18 | 0 | | | 104,110 | * | 87 | | 18 | 14 | - | 5 | 71.7 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 48 | 27 | 1 | | | 106,903 | * | 86 | | 18 | 15 | - | 4 | 61.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 46 | 37 | 2 | 0 | | 106,212 | * | 85 | | 17 | 15 | - | 5 | 49.1 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 47 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 101,769 | * | 84 | | 17 | 16 | - | 4 | 37.5 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 33 | 56 | 6 | 0 | | 94,706 | * | 83 | | 16 | 16 | - | 5 | 27.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 25 | 62 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 85,364 | * | 82 | | 16 | 17 | - | 4 | 18.8 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 64 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 74,293 | * | 81 | | 15 | 17 | - | 5 | 12.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 64 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 62,729 | * | 80 | | 15 | 18 | - | 4 | 7.5 | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 59 | 30 | 3 | 0 | 51,659 | * | 79 | | 14 | 18 | - | 5 | 4.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 53 | 37 | 6 | 0 | 40,806 | * | 78 | | 14 | 19 | - | 4 | 2.2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 45 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 31,275 | * | 77 | | 14 | 20 | - | 3 | 1.1 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 36 | 48 | 15 | 1 | 23,083 | * | 76 | | 13 | 20 | - | 4 | 0.5 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 27 | 50 | 21 | 1 | 16,647 | * | 75 | | 13 | 21 | - | 3 | 0.2 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 19 | 49 | 29 | 3 | 11,537 | * | 74 | | 12 | 21 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 13 | 45 | 36 | 5 | 7,767 | * | 73 | | 12 | 22 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 39 | 44 | 8 | 4,986 | * | 72 | | 11 | 22 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 5 | 33 | 49 | 13 | 3,029 | * | 71 | | 11 | 23 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 3 | 24 | 53 | 21 | 1,896 | * | 70 | | 10 | 23 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 16 | 51 | 32 | 1,103 | * | 69 | | 10 | 24 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 13 | 52 | 34 | 612 | * | 68 | | 9 | 24 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 8 | 42 | 50 | 384 | * | 67 | | 9 | 25 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 38 | 57 | 188 | * | 66 | | 8 | 25 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 32 | 67 | 76 | * | 65 | | 8 | 26 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 27 | 73 | 45 | * | 64 | | 8 | 27 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 19 | 76 | 21 | * | 63 | | 7 | 27 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 91 | 11 | * | 62 | | 6 | 27 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 83 | 6 | * | 46 | -61 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 153 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 60.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1,477,125 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesThursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so) | -0.2 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Washington vs Ottawa | +0.0+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Calgary vs Philadelphie | -0.1+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Tampa vs Seattle | +0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 120 | | 37 | 0 | - | 0 | 99 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 31 | 2 | - | 4 | | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 32 | 4 | - | 1 | | | 20 | | 80 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 31 | 4 | - | 2 | | 20 | 20 | | 60 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 30 | 4 | - | 3 | 8 | 25 | 25 | | 25 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 29 | 4 | - | 4 | | 4 | 32 | 8 | 36 | 12 | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 29 | 5 | - | 3 | 1 | 1 | 29 | 4 | 37 | 15 | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 28 | 5 | - | 4 | | 1 | 22 | 10 | 32 | 14 | 20 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 28 | 6 | - | 3 | | | 10 | 11 | 31 | 21 | 25 | 1 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 27 | 6 | - | 4 | | 1 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 23 | 32 | 6 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 27 | 7 | - | 3 | | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 23 | 41 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 26 | 7 | - | 4 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 22 | 34 | 19 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 26 | 8 | - | 3 | | | 0 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 25 | 8 | - | 4 | | | 0 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 17 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 25 | 9 | - | 3 | | | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 24 | 9 | - | 4 | | | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 33 | 19 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 97 | | 24 | 10 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | 2 | 1 | 24 | 12 | 34 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 96 | | 23 | 10 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | 37 | 17 | 14 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 95 | | 23 | 11 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | 34 | 15 | 23 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 94 | | 22 | 11 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 27 | 10 | 32 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 93 | | 21 | 11 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 35 | 18 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 92 | | 21 | 12 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 11 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 21 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 91 | | 20 | 12 | - | 5 | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 28 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 90 | | 20 | 13 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | 89 | | 19 | 13 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 32 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | 88 | | 19 | 14 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 87 | | 18 | 14 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 25 | 23 | 26 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 86 | | 18 | 15 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 13 | 19 | 27 | 34 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 85 | | 17 | 15 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 84 | | 17 | 16 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 45 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | 83 | | 16 | 16 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 45 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 82 | | 16 | 17 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 2 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | 81 | | 15 | 17 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 41 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | 80 | | 15 | 18 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 27 | 45 | 18 | 2 | 0 | | | | 79 | | 14 | 18 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 46 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | 78 | | 14 | 19 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 42 | 34 | 9 | 1 | 0 | | | 77 | | 14 | 20 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 7 | 36 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | | | 76 | | 13 | 20 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 43 | 22 | 4 | 0 | | | 75 | | 13 | 21 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 30 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | 74 | | 12 | 21 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 38 | 36 | 13 | 1 | | | 73 | | 12 | 22 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 29 | 42 | 19 | 3 | | | 72 | | 11 | 22 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 22 | 43 | 27 | 5 | 0 | | 71 | | 11 | 23 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 13 | 38 | 37 | 10 | 0 | | 70 | | 10 | 23 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 8 | 29 | 45 | 18 | 0 | | 69 | | 10 | 24 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 25 | 44 | 24 | 0 | | 68 | | 9 | 24 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 17 | 47 | 32 | 3 | | 67 | | 9 | 25 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 41 | 45 | 4 | | 66 | | 8 | 25 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 39 | 55 | 4 | | 65 | | 8 | 26 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 36 | 44 | 18 | | 64 | | 8 | 27 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 19 | 76 | | | 63 | | 7 | 27 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 9 | 45 | 45 | | 62 | | 6 | 27 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | 50 | | 61 | | 7 | 29 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 46 | | 0 | 37 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 60 | 39 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 21 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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