Tampa Express Playoff Chances 2011-2012Lost to Minnesota 1-6, playoff odds down 3.4 to 94.3% 49 points 24 19-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 | -1.4 | | -0.3 | | Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so) | -0.2 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Tampa vs Seattle | +1.3+1.3+1.1-0.5-0.3-2.4 | | +0.2+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3 | | Calgary vs Philadelphie | +0.4*-0.1*-0.2*-0.2-0.4-0.4 | | | | Washington vs Ottawa | -0.1-0.2*-0.1*+0.0*+0.1+0.4 | | -0.0-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Long Island vs Miami | -0.2*-0.2-0.3*+0.0*-0.0+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Tampa finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 125 | | 38 | 0 | - | 0 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | 152 | | 117 | | 33 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 60 | | 40 | | | | | | | | | | 5 | * | 116 | | 32 | 3 | - | 3 | In | 63 | 13 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | 16 | * | 115 | | 32 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 52 | 20 | 27 | | | | | | | | | | 44 | * | 114 | | 31 | 4 | - | 3 | In | 55 | 18 | 27 | | | | | | | | | | 101 | * | 113 | | 31 | 5 | - | 2 | In | 44 | 22 | 33 | 1 | | | | | | | | | 190 | * | 112 | | 30 | 5 | - | 3 | In | 30 | 21 | 46 | 3 | | | | | | | | | 437 | * | 111 | | 30 | 6 | - | 2 | In | 21 | 21 | 52 | 6 | | | | | | | | | 798 | * | 110 | | 29 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 13 | 20 | 60 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | 1,505 | * | 109 | | 28 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 9 | 16 | 64 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | 2,704 | * | 108 | | 28 | 7 | - | 3 | In | 5 | 14 | 64 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | | 4,521 | * | 107 | | 27 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 2 | 10 | 63 | 23 | 0 | | | | | | | | 7,134 | * | 106 | | 27 | 8 | - | 3 | In | 1 | 7 | 59 | 32 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 10,755 | * | 105 | | 26 | 8 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 5 | 52 | 40 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 15,811 | * | 104 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 3 | 44 | 48 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 22,744 | * | 103 | | 25 | 9 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 2 | 35 | 54 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | 31,035 | * | 102 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 1 | 27 | 58 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 40,658 | * | 101 | | 24 | 10 | - | 4 | In | 0 | 0 | 19 | 58 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 51,539 | * | 100 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | In | 0 | 0 | 13 | 54 | 30 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | 62,985 | * | 99 | | 23 | 11 | - | 4 | In | | 0 | 8 | 48 | 38 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 74,711 | * | 98 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | | 0 | 4 | 39 | 45 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | 85,595 | * | 97 | | 22 | 12 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | | 0 | 2 | 29 | 49 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 94,180 | * | 96 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | In | | 0 | 1 | 20 | 49 | 26 | 4 | 0 | | | | | 101,081 | * | 95 | | 21 | 13 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 44 | 34 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | 105,060 | * | 94 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | | | 0 | 7 | 36 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | 105,068 | * | 93 | | 20 | 14 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 44 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | | 102,288 | * | 92 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | 99.6 | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 42 | 31 | 7 | 0 | | | | 96,288 | * | 91 | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | 98.8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 38 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | 88,176 | * | 90 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | 97.2 | | | | | 0 | 6 | 29 | 43 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | | 78,510 | * | 89 | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | 94.6 | | | | | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 29 | 5 | 0 | | | 67,035 | * | 88 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | 89.3 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 12 | 39 | 37 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | 56,090 | * | 87 | | 17 | 17 | - | 4 | 82.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 43 | 17 | 1 | | | 45,323 | * | 86 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | 72.2 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 45 | 26 | 2 | 0 | | 35,615 | * | 85 | | 16 | 18 | - | 4 | 61.2 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 44 | 36 | 3 | 0 | | 26,817 | * | 84 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | 48.9 | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 39 | 45 | 6 | 0 | | 20,097 | * | 83 | | 15 | 19 | - | 4 | 36.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 31 | 54 | 9 | 0 | | 14,238 | * | 82 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | 26.4 | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 24 | 56 | 17 | 1 | | 9,851 | * | 81 | | 14 | 20 | - | 4 | 17.6 | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 58 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 6,664 | * | 80 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | 10.8 | | | | | | | | 0 | 10 | 55 | 32 | 3 | 0 | 4,399 | * | 79 | | 13 | 21 | - | 4 | 7.0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 5 | 0 | 2,828 | * | 78 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | 2.9 | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 41 | 49 | 7 | 0 | 1,688 | * | 77 | | 12 | 22 | - | 4 | 1.2 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 32 | 54 | 13 | 0 | 1,012 | * | 76 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | 1.1 | | | | | | | | | 1 | 25 | 54 | 20 | 0 | 552 | * | 75 | | 11 | 23 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 18 | 49 | 30 | 3 | 314 | * | 74 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 12 | 49 | 37 | 3 | 182 | * | 73 | | 10 | 24 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 5 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 93 | * | 72 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 7 | 37 | 52 | 4 | 46 | * | 71 | | 8 | 24 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 39 | 61 | | 18 | * | 70 | | 8 | 25 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 71 | 29 | 14 | * | 69 | | 9 | 27 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 67 | 33 | 3 | | 68 | | 8 | 27 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 1 | | 49 | -66 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 154 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 94.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 21 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1,477,125 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryYe of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds. Big GamesThursday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 | +0.7 | | Vancouver 1 New York 2 | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Friday | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Tampa vs Seattle | -0.4-0.3-0.3+0.2+0.2+0.6 | | Washington vs Ottawa | +0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Calgary vs Philadelphie | -0.0+0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0 | |
What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 125 | | 38 | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | | 33 | 3 | - | 2 | 40 | 20 | | | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | | 32 | 3 | - | 3 | 63 | | 13 | | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 32 | 4 | - | 2 | 43 | 9 | 20 | | 27 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 31 | 4 | - | 3 | 47 | 9 | 18 | | 27 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 113 | | 31 | 5 | - | 2 | 33 | 11 | 22 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 112 | | 30 | 5 | - | 3 | 23 | 7 | 21 | | 46 | 0 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 111 | | 30 | 6 | - | 2 | 13 | 8 | 20 | 1 | 51 | 1 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 110 | | 29 | 6 | - | 3 | 7 | 7 | 19 | 1 | 58 | 2 | 7 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 109 | | 28 | 6 | - | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 1 | 60 | 4 | 11 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 108 | | 28 | 7 | - | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 57 | 7 | 17 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | | 27 | 7 | - | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | 52 | 12 | 23 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 106 | | 27 | 8 | - | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 31 | 1 | 1 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 105 | | 26 | 8 | - | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 31 | 21 | 39 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 104 | | 26 | 9 | - | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 24 | 43 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 103 | | 25 | 9 | - | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 24 | 44 | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | | 25 | 10 | - | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 38 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | | 24 | 10 | - | 4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 29 | 29 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | 24 | 11 | - | 3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 19 | 36 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | | 23 | 11 | - | 4 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 38 | 22 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 98 | | 23 | 12 | - | 3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 35 | 19 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 97 | | 22 | 12 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | | 2 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 36 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | 96 | | 22 | 13 | - | 3 | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 20 | 7 | 42 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 95 | | 21 | 13 | - | 4 | | | | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | 41 | 13 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 94 | | 21 | 14 | - | 3 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 35 | 10 | 31 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 93 | | 20 | 14 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 27 | 6 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 92 | | 20 | 15 | - | 3 | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 39 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 91 | | 19 | 15 | - | 4 | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 36 | 11 | 27 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | 90 | | 19 | 16 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 28 | 8 | 34 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | 89 | | 18 | 16 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 20 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | 88 | | 18 | 17 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 22 | 15 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | 87 | | 17 | 17 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | 0 | | 0 | | 7 | 1 | 31 | 21 | 22 | 16 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | 86 | | 17 | 18 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 0 | 23 | 17 | 28 | 24 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | 85 | | 16 | 18 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | 32 | 30 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | 84 | | 16 | 19 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 0 | 10 | 8 | 31 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | | | | | 83 | | 15 | 19 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 5 | 4 | 27 | 38 | 23 | 3 | 0 | | | | | 82 | | 15 | 20 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 2 | 2 | 22 | 35 | 32 | 7 | 0 | | | | | 81 | | 14 | 20 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 1 | 1 | 16 | 30 | 39 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | 80 | | 14 | 21 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 23 | 45 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | | 79 | | 13 | 21 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 43 | 29 | 5 | 0 | | | | 78 | | 13 | 22 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | | 3 | 10 | 40 | 38 | 8 | 1 | | | | 77 | | 12 | 22 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 34 | 45 | 13 | 1 | | | | 76 | | 12 | 23 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 25 | 49 | 20 | 2 | 0 | | | 75 | | 11 | 23 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 19 | 42 | 31 | 6 | 1 | | | 74 | | 11 | 24 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 41 | 37 | 12 | | | | 73 | | 10 | 24 | - | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 37 | 37 | 18 | 2 | | | 72 | | 10 | 25 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 20 | 46 | 28 | 2 | | | 71 | | 8 | 24 | - | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 17 | 56 | 28 | | | | 70 | | 8 | 25 | - | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 43 | 57 | | | | 69 | | 9 | 27 | - | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 33 | 33 | 33 | | | 68 | | 8 | 27 | - | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | | 66 | | 8 | 29 | - | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 49 | | 0 | 38 | - | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 84 | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 6 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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