How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Toronto 6 Long Island 5 (so)-0.2
Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Calgary vs Philadelphie+0.2*-0.0*-0.0*-0.2-0.2-0.2
Washington vs Ottawa-0.1*-0.1*-0.1*+0.1*-0.1+0.2
Tampa vs Seattle-0.1*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Quebec finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112Count
127370-0In991152
123341-2In1001
121332-2In1003
120333-1In80205*
119323-2In891119*
118324-1In772339*
117314-2In68249105*
116304-3In622711222*
115305-2In493615467*
114295-3In413920843*
113296-2In31422701,682*
112286-3In22443312,930*
111287-2In16424024,938*
110277-3In104046407,868*
109267-4In636517012,433*
108268-3In4325312017,840*
107258-4In2265418025,651*
106259-3In1215226034,540*
105249-4In01648341045,115*
1042410-3In01243432056,881*
1032310-4In0836514069,493*
1022311-3In06285780081,272*
1012211-4In42261131091,724*
1002212-3In0215612020100,164*
992112-4In01105728400105,482*
982113-3In164936700108,497*
972013-4In0340421310106,354*
962014-3100.0%02294521300101,831*
951914-4100.00120442960094,161*
941915-3100.000123837121084,646*
931815-499.80063041203072,753*
921816-399.50032041297161,290*
911716-498.6001123636131049,704*
901717-396.60072841213039,209*
891617-492.70031941307030,279*
881618-386.701123638130022,280*
871518-479.10062844201015,381*
861519-367.7032044312011,174*
851419-456.101134240407,389*
841420-342.6173550704,931*
831320-431.30427571112,994*
821321-320.00218591921,838*
811221-413.21125627401,066*
801222-37.80854354613*
791122-44.304473910345*
781123-32.93434014173*
771124-21.722451221116*
761024-3Out245024246*
75924-4Out57020520*
74925-3Out171750176*
73825-4Out171750176*
70-72Out1002*
53037-0Out100152
Total:98.2%04143222148420001,477,125

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa 1 Minnesota 6 -0.1
Vancouver 1 New York 2 +0.0
Montreal 3 Ottawa 1 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Tampa vs Seattle+0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Washington vs Ottawa+0.0+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Calgary vs Philadelphie-0.0+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324
127370-0991
123341-2100
121332-2100
120333-18020
119323-28911
118324-17723
117314-2671249
116304-35572711
115305-24543615
114295-335639020
113296-2247422700
112286-31574413301
111287-2974113912
110277-34638244140
109267-42432447370
108268-3132664761200
107258-40219744101800
106259-30113837152500
105249-400882820332100
1042410-30481923385200
1032310-402611254110400
1022311-301552338198000
1012211-4032193031122100
1002212-300211420401552000
992112-4001010114617123000
982113-30106544152161000
972013-4003238123194100
962014-3020297381193000
951914-401019341111851000
941915-30001213792793100
931815-40006029635118300
921816-30030203381316711
911716-4001012135112512210
901717-300702883316430
891617-4003019536219700
881618-30101223322161310
871518-400612721231920
861519-30302016282840
851419-40101312303491
841420-317728401610
831320-404324412440
821321-302217373580
811221-4111230411420
801222-300725452020
791122-40041647293
781123-33134231101
771124-2232844203
761024-32837287
75924-42040355
74925-31717331717
73825-417173333
72826-3100
70727-3100
53037-010865
Total:0022681220615410353110000000